4/27: Official Hollywood Carryover Thread
 

All hands on deck.......lets make it one hell of a Friday night in the hood at the Wood.

Let the stream of consciousness start here, and we can post the actual tickets either here or under Steve's thread (hopefully he is playing this thing - we need him).

Picks for the Hollywood Carryover
 

Well this is what I have so far, but I am sure it will change.

Leg A - 3-5-6-10
Leg B - 2-4-6
Leg C - 2
Leg D - 1-2-3-4-7
Leg E - 2-3-4
Leg F - 10

UPDATED: $360 ticket.

Heck yeah...this is what I have so far.

Well this is what I have so far, but I am sure it will change.

Leg A - 3-5-6-10
Leg B - 2-4-6
Leg C - 2
Leg D - 1-2-3-4-7
Leg E - 2-3-4
Leg F - 10

I am also looking at it.

Root, look at Bafferts horse in the first leg, that looks awful like a Baffert horse that is going to fly out of the gate and pop first out. Pegram/Baffert/Silver Charm/Friday Night....I get the feeling it is all systems go, an ultra gutsy single though in the first leg, I am considering it

my take

race 4

pp 9 forsman .no cheap buy in here
pp 6 silver stetson man baffert drby connections
pp 5 frank the if he takes to it he can win


race 5

pp 6 chanell my bell oniel is steves boy right back
pp 2 dixie talkamo on the cutback
pp 4 its anouther story speed tries to steal it


race 6

pp 2 mie alcjebio the single


race 7

pp 7 annie oak leafe
pp 5 awsome begining
pp 1 silber broke bad in last two

race 8

pp 7 heated rebel doing well in the a.m,
pp 4 st christion
pp 1 and 1a
pp 3 mr triester

race 9

pp 8 stompi n gia
pp 10 can do can do
pp 2 forever in the .. delgato on st up horse..

Gotta use the 7 in the 6th, I would love to single Frankel there but the 7 has lone speed written all over him

Just started capping the card this morning, and still have a ways to go (love Friday nights at Hollywood).
Didn't realize there was a carryover, but it makes it a lot more interesting.

I'll be on periodically tomorrow, but look forward to playing the entire card from home tomorrow night.

Will go through it when I return to Greenwich Friday around noon.. But at a glance:

4: 6-5/3-4
5: 8-4/6-3
6: 6-8/7-3 (Don't care for the 5-2 Frankel...)
7: 7-1/3-4
8: 2-7/3-8
9: 7-10/3-1

a few comments.....anyone find a single yet? Is it Really Indian?

4th - Potts gets off the 5 to get on the outside horse who is a half to imperialisim. Mulhall said yesterday on TVG this one was pretty live. Looking at the works, of the firsters I like to see 6f drills which the 1 & 10 have. #2 Battle Too is a half to Battle Won. I do not like FRank the Barber, cut back and lack of his early pace leads me to toss.....Baffert could be live but not singling. I actually really like the 4, has speed and is cutting back - should be fit and running on the track where he trains.

Race 6 - Dont like the Frankel horse as well....Unlike Scavs, I see a pretty quick pace in here with the 5,6,8,9 all wanting to push it. LOVE the #2, but also have to use 5,8,10. Watch out for the 10 @ 15-1.

Race 7 - Concerned about the possibility of lack of pace, and the three I like need some to stop. #5 Awesome Beginning @ 8-1 is very interesting. 1,3,5 and maybe even the 6 who will be HUGE on the board.

If you do think their is speed in that race then Frankel is a single. He always wins with these it is just a matter when.

I am dumping into this. It looks like a ticket that will pay if you go wide enough. not a one ticketer but it could pay 40 or 50k.

regarding Muhall, is that this horse's first time starting? If so, she is an autotoss, muhall sucks with firsters, 2nd time start is when you catch them IMO

two observations from last nights handicapping.

I think the fourth race is a very tricky read with several possiblities. I would go wide on that race.

In the sixth race I like the 3 horse enough to consider it a single. He has shown a good turn of foot and been knocking on the door at one mile beating eleven horses in both starts this year. Third start of form cycle with three works since the last race, gets in light cause of facing elders this time, I think the added distance helps him to get the job done. i think its all systems going for win tonight. I wouldn't touch the Frankel horse, don't like it at all.

the horse I like alot tonight is Tug O War in the 8th. First time O'Neil and working tremendously well for the return, pumps him all the way up to an allowance race

Also think in the 7th you could probably single the 3 with some confidence, there is nothing in that race, 3 might be the only horse that can actually finish the race

5 guys; in for a hundred bucks each.....
 

Two very nice singling opportunites offers us the ability to go deep in two legs (the first and the last, which are wide open with a ton of firsters - we'll need as many as we can get in there)

R4 - 5 Frank the Barber
10 Oscar the Mayor
2 Battle Too
3 Kinslar

R5 - 3 Chanel My Belle
4 It's Another Srory
10 Do it Topper Style

R6 - 2 Mi Arcobaleno

R7 - 3 What Me Win
5 Awesome Beginning
4 Blue Cay
7 Annie Oakleaf

R8 - 2 Real Indian

R9 - 3 Chestnut Chips
7 Fleur de Lune
8 Stompin Gia
9 Leith Code
10 Can Do Can Do

4x3x1x4x1x5 = 240 x $2 = 480.00

We are no where near alike in this sequence....

4: 6,8
5: 4
6: 3,7
7: 3
8: 3,8
9: 1,3,10

$48

I am still thinking about the 7th but I am thinking that is what will hold, would rather piss my money away at Hawthorne tomorrow.

4. Tough Maiden race – I will probably wait to see who is getting bet on the board and might change these around if some of the firsters are live.
#1 Mystery Hunter 5-1 The March 29 drill BREEZING out of the gate seals the deal for me
#10 Oscar The Mayor 4-1 Gosh I hate using Mulhall at all, much less a first timer. Owner trainer combo is respectable though, and this one is training well.
#6 Silver Stetson Man 9-2 Not sold here….but use out of fear. No 6f drills and only the last two are the typical Baffert style
#4 Southern Man 12-1 Speedy, Fit and now on home track. Like better then Frank


5. To single or not single…..that is the question.
#6 Chanel My Belle 2-1 May have to single and pray. If she comes close to repeating last effort she crushes these. Love that one was at 6.5f and she can stay right off the #4 and take over turning for home. Bred for Turf/Dirt, which does well on All Weather.
#4 It’s Another Story 3-1 Speed of the speed, but not sure she can hold on stretching out from 5.5 to 6.5f
#7 Catblewbyu 12-1 Will be close enough to the first group and could be the only one left standing at the wire.
#3 Happy Celyna 6-1 This will go off closer to 10-1 and could plod along in time if the race falls apart with the 6,4,8 going psycho up front.


6. Most difficult race of the night – Tough One Part 1
#3 Legate 9-2
#5 Repetoire 8-1 Can stalk the quick pace and while lacks a real closing kick may just need to pick up the pieces.
#9 Fortunate Victory 15-1 His dam has dropped a turf winner and a stakes winner, and this one is fit and has the tactical speed to be close enough.
#8 Isipingo 6-1 Great first time out and poor effort going 9f last time. Espinoza gets off, not good, but I can’t help but think if Baze can keep this one off the pace and come with one run he may surprise.

7. Another Tough One Part 2

#3 Watch Me Win 5-2 Nice, but no lock
#5 Awesome Beginning 8-1 Back class and speed figs, and check out that April 21st drill……
#1 Silber 5-1 Will get a bigger price and not sure about this one. By Bertando, should take to the surface. Just hope the race sets up for her.
#6 So Happy Together 30-1 Interesting price play - never run this low and if regains form close to last spring she could really rock the boat.

8. Another Tough One Part 3

#2 Really Indian 3-1
#3 Mister T 6-1
#1 Entry
#4 St. Chrisjon


9. Another Tough One Part 4

#8 Stompin Gia 7-2 scratched at SA a bit back to race on the all weather here
#3 Chestnut Chips 15-1 Sneaky Trainer and LOVE the work pattern.
#7 Fleur De Lune 4-1 6yr old will love the added dist and will be around late
#9 Leith Code 12-1



Ticket (awaiting changes)
4)
5)
6)
7)
8)
9)

I am on the 8 in the 4th also now.....That being said, I am seriously considering singling the 4 horse in the 5th race. Lone speed with a good speed jock that knows how to rate, sometimes.

Essentially, I have no idea what I am doing yet

Gryder is OFF all mounts tonight. I think Mig picked up the mount on the 4 horse in the 5th...

To me, the pick 6 is a bit too challenging to dig into my pockets, but I'll be playing the rest of the card.

One horse I thought might be live longshot is the 3 horse, Happy Celyna in the 5th.
Had a couple tough trips down the hill at Santa Anita, and now freshens up to run back on the cushion track where she broke her maiden last fall (closing to beat 12 other opponents).

Should be lots of plenty of pace to give her the opportunity for a similar trip.
Not awed by the connections, but thought she deserved a second look.

Yeah.....probably jumped the gun.....the more I look at this, the more I'm rethinking those singles; especially the 2 in the 8th - gonna wait for scratches and may reasess the sicha-tation :D

Edit: And tossing the 10 in the 4th in favor of the 1