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#1
04-13-2007, 10:32 AM
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When there are 50 cars in a race and 49 of them have six speeds and one has only four, the one with only four is at a distince disadvantage. When there is a race with 50 cars and 25 of them have six speed and 25 have four, the odds are more in your favor.
Usually, the ones that have come into the Derby with only two preps have had plenty of other disadvantages to overcome than just that. But in this new age, when more and more top contenders are coming in this way, it's just a matter of time before two preps becomes the norm rather than the exception. Once one wins, trainers being the copycats they are, will surely try to follow the same path with their horses.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine 
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#2
04-13-2007, 12:19 PM
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Steve Haskin's recent column mentioned the two-prep thing, and while he didn't seem to think it's will continue to be a bet against for winning the Derby, he did think it is a huge negative in terms of a horse's long-term career-- after such light careers, horses can't handle three races in five weeks and aren't able to come back after the campaign because these days they don't have the foundation.
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Gentlemen! We're burning daylight! Riders up! -Bill Murray
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