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#1
02-18-2007, 08:53 AM
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remember track bias
With the temp freez and the track fast it will be easy for a 1:09:60 that
Monster has done in the past. Beware. 
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#2
02-18-2007, 10:38 AM
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Gander, I don't mean this the wrong way, but you can't be serious?
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#4
02-18-2007, 10:59 AM
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I think Oh My Stars has next to no chance.
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#5
02-18-2007, 11:03 AM
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Oh My Stars's best race in the last year is just about as good as Bookmaster's worst race in the last year.
I don't see it.
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#6
02-18-2007, 11:11 AM
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Theres nothing wrong with taking a shot with a horse who I think is easily the controlling speed in here. Bookmaker has won 3 in a row and has the best numbers, but he will also be 2/5, maybe even lower. Thats why they run the race. I dont think this is an impossble task for Oh My Stars.
Maybe instead of betting him to win, you load up on the exacta over Bookmaster, and back up with enough on the exacta Bookmaster over Oh My Stars to get your money back. Maybe, $140 ex 5-4, $60 ex 4-5.
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#7
02-18-2007, 11:20 AM
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He's a very mediocre horse Gander, who is trained by a less than successful trainer, who took advantage of track biases and SUBSTANTIALLY worse fields in his successful efforts. He is a newly turned 4YO who is now facing older horses for the second time. He was claimed by his current trainer from Mike Hushion and has run one successively worse race after another since that claim. Yes, he'll probably get the early lead as the even more hopelessly overmatched Cat's Lad appears to be the only other real contender for the front, but how that transfers into him beating Bookmaster or It's a Monster is beyond me.
It's not even like he's 10-1 ( which would be significantly less than his chances of winning ). Look, you like him, go ahead. I'm sure stranger things have happened. But to me this horse is very hard to make a legitimate case for. The only thing going for him is the small field and lack of depth. A bare minimum of two horses have to completely fail to show up for Oh My Stars to win. I have now wasted WAY too much time discussing this....and as you can see my time isn't even that valuable.
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