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Gander 02-18-2007 08:24 AM

Aqu 3rd
 
Oh My Stars looks very hard to run down in here and you may get 3/1 on him because Bookmaster will be 2/5 in here. Looks like a cold exacta to me, 5-4.

$80 win 5
$80 ex 5-4

zcvbfedtythkkjhyyg 02-18-2007 08:41 AM

its a monster maybe
 
And what about the speed in the race ITS A MONTER maybe in the TRI but in top of OH and BOOk

Gander 02-18-2007 08:44 AM

I think Oh My Stars is the fastest early on. Hill knows this horse's only chance is to take them all the way. I have no doubt he'll be in front turning for home.

zcvbfedtythkkjhyyg 02-18-2007 08:53 AM

remember track bias
 
With the temp freez and the track fast it will be easy for a 1:09:60 that
Monster has done in the past. Beware.

blackthroatedwind 02-18-2007 10:38 AM

Gander, I don't mean this the wrong way, but you can't be serious?

Gander 02-18-2007 10:40 AM

Yes I am.
You think Bookmaster is going to be impossible to beat?

Gander 02-18-2007 10:56 AM

Aqu 1st
 
Speedjama taking all sorts of weird early money. Currently the betting favorite and I am very surprised. Hope he wins today but wont be playing him.

blackthroatedwind 02-18-2007 10:59 AM

I think Oh My Stars has next to no chance.

brianwspencer 02-18-2007 11:03 AM

Oh My Stars's best race in the last year is just about as good as Bookmaster's worst race in the last year.

I don't see it.

Gander 02-18-2007 11:11 AM

Theres nothing wrong with taking a shot with a horse who I think is easily the controlling speed in here. Bookmaker has won 3 in a row and has the best numbers, but he will also be 2/5, maybe even lower. Thats why they run the race. I dont think this is an impossble task for Oh My Stars.

Maybe instead of betting him to win, you load up on the exacta over Bookmaster, and back up with enough on the exacta Bookmaster over Oh My Stars to get your money back. Maybe, $140 ex 5-4, $60 ex 4-5.

blackthroatedwind 02-18-2007 11:20 AM

He's a very mediocre horse Gander, who is trained by a less than successful trainer, who took advantage of track biases and SUBSTANTIALLY worse fields in his successful efforts. He is a newly turned 4YO who is now facing older horses for the second time. He was claimed by his current trainer from Mike Hushion and has run one successively worse race after another since that claim. Yes, he'll probably get the early lead as the even more hopelessly overmatched Cat's Lad appears to be the only other real contender for the front, but how that transfers into him beating Bookmaster or It's a Monster is beyond me.

It's not even like he's 10-1 ( which would be significantly less than his chances of winning ). Look, you like him, go ahead. I'm sure stranger things have happened. But to me this horse is very hard to make a legitimate case for. The only thing going for him is the small field and lack of depth. A bare minimum of two horses have to completely fail to show up for Oh My Stars to win.

I have now wasted WAY too much time discussing this....and as you can see my time isn't even that valuable.

Gander 02-18-2007 11:24 AM

Yes, he wont be more than 4/1, thats why the exacta is the play in here. And when it comes to Aqu, I throw all logic out the window. I see at least 1 horse a day that looks more overmatched than Oh My Stars get loose and wire a field. But I also wouldnt be surprised to see Bookmaster miss the exacta. It is after all Aqueduct.

Gander 02-18-2007 11:25 AM

Any opinions in here for kicks? Not playing this race but I would probably have to use the 8 in here with the 9.

Downthestretch55 02-18-2007 11:33 AM

Tim,
I'm not betting this one. Just watch Golden Gator. The post is good, Levine has some stuff, and Coa will ride his butt off.

Gander 02-18-2007 11:47 AM

I see at least 1 horse a day that looks more overmatched than Oh My Stars get loose and wire a field.

Case in point the 1st that was run at Aqu a few min ago. Robs Boy Matt.

lecasting 02-18-2007 12:00 PM

I had no interest in this race until now. I'd like to see Oh My Stars come thru.

ELA 02-18-2007 12:20 PM

1/5

Hickory Hill Hoff 02-18-2007 12:22 PM

One word...IT'S A MONSTER!!!!!!!!!!!!!

lecasting 02-18-2007 12:28 PM

Oh My!

zcvbfedtythkkjhyyg 02-18-2007 01:48 PM

and it was
 
!A mounster!


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