8/30: Saratoga (R5-13); KY Downs (R5-12); Del Mar (R7-11)

[Kasept]

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Many of the best candidates are front end types (1-11-12) and a real pace is appears assured here. Who stays on?

Most Likely: #12 Northern Chill 6-1: Fast, well-campaigned 4yo returns to turf, lures Joel.. 4th
Best Value: #9 No Ah A 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Operation Sunrise 7-2 WON ($5.54)
Exotics Use: #2 Floodlites 8-1 12th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pointsetmatch 9-2: Best effort came turf sprinting at FG in March; "Summer of Amoss".. 7th
Best Value: #8 Sunshine Daydream 15-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Senora d'Oro 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Mimi's Grace 12-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Beer Run obviously fastest, but seemingly is on way to career maidenhood. Danner's Clear the Beach has turfy page and established himself in dirt debut. Block offers O' Patrick who screams turf being by Mo Town out of a Temple City mare. Showed some speed in debut and adds blinkers & Loveberry..

Most Likely: #11 Clear the Beach 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 O' Patrick 20-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Mr Bobo 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Beer Run 3-1 WON ($4.58)


7th: Gold Cup, 3+, 16.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Limited Liability 2-1: Back to defend title.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Flatten the Curve 8-5 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 Goldeneye 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Tawny Port 9-2 2nd


8th: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Wild group of experienced KYD runners where 5 own wins and 2 have placements. Defending winner Ag Bullet commands respect, but there's several here that can intercede..

Best Value: #7 Oujda 20-1: Walden 0 for 6 here but sure to earn laurels this season; WO STK winner looms large at bonus tote.. 9th
Next Best: #6 Ag Bullet 7-5 WON ($5.34)
Exotics Use: #10 Time to Dazzle 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Zeitlos 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 9-12 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 4th)


P5 Grid:

5: 3-8 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
6: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


9th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

The most difficult race of the day? Hard not to side with the ones that have run well here..

Most Likely: #2 Howard Wolowitz 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Implementation 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Khaadem 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 One Timer SCR


10th: Nashville Derby (G3), 3yo, 12.5f (P3, DD)

Burnham Square was always going to get a turf try given turf stake winning dam Linda (a Scat Daddy daughter who was 2/1-0-1 over this course). Test Score is the division leader. Tiztastic won twice here in 10 days last season. Wimbledon Hawkeye is a small, agile type that kept top company abroad..

Most Likely: #5 Burnham Square 6-1 2nd ~ BEAT BYK
Next Best: #2 Test Score 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Tiztastic 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Wimbledon Hawkeye 7-2 WON ($6.54)


11th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Wait.. This is the most difficult race of the day..

Most Likely: #2 Special Wan 7-2 WON ($6.44)
Next Best: #6 Lady Ilze 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Sacred Wish 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Cheshire Dancer 6-1 4th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 6f

Tough call on well bred/well meant firsters v. those that have had starts..

Most Likely: #4 Drop Shot 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Boonesboro 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Wexford One 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Judicial Review 8-1 WON ($20.06)


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), 2 (B), 7-11-12 (C)
11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54 (7-11-12 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-11-12 (C)
11: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-11-12 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve