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#2
07-03-2025, 02:12 PM
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Good luck guys
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#3
07-04-2025, 08:57 AM
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$8.00 wagered $0.00 returned Today — Race 2. #3 Bay Yaupon 10/1. Contessa took this two years ago with a first time starter. None of the horses here look anything special and the recent bullet work hints that maybe this one is ready. Race 4. #5 Profound 8/1. Ran into a good one last out and should appreciate the slight cut back and the fact that there doesn’t seem to be much pace signed on.
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#4
07-04-2025, 03:44 PM
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7/4/25:
Best Bet: Race 9 #4 New Century 3/1 - At 3/1 I'd place a pretty good bet here, I like everything about this horse. I think his American Turf was really nice...the race two back to Field of Gold, being within five lengths of that one is no shame. I know it's not exactly a secret but not sure everyone here grasps just how good FOG is. Oisin is as good of a turf rider as there is IMO although he hasn't quite found a ton of success in his NA chances, I have all the confidence in the world in him getting this horse getting this horse in a better spot than the last and I really do think he will win. Best Value: Race 10 #5 Bendoog 12/1 - I know the Suburban was pretty weak last year but I thought he should've won with a better trip, however more importantly I just like the pattern coming in this year better. I think Mott was a little behind with him last year pointing to this spot and I think he really does want the 1 1/4 mile trip. I think the pattern of keeping him somewhat fresh has him pointed to a peak effort. I think he also figures to get the right kind of trip in here today sitting behind what could be a good pace but possibly getting first run.
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#6
07-05-2025, 02:56 PM
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Wagered: $16.00
Returned: $24.80 Extremely disappointed in New Century, came up totally empty and I thought he was going to win as they started on the turn. Bendoog was bad. 7/5/25: Best Bet: Race 8 #5 Step Forward 10/1 - The races last summer at Woodbine and Saratoga fit with the contenders here to me, in particular at this trip at the Spa had a nightmare trip and still came up pretty fast. Dirt, Kentucky Downs, Down the Hill were some crazy spots that are all excusable. Last off the layoff ran OK with a bit of a trip....so dirtied up...bit of a guess but it feels like today is the day to get this one. Best Value: Race 12 #8 Uncle Barrie 20/1 - I know this horse is just a slow plodder and could totally be a horrible pick....if Capt Jax Parrow runs back to the last (or god forbid improves since it's trending up) obviously they're all running for second...but he's hardly trustworthy and I don't really see why Kings and Queens is getting so much love here. I don't really love any of the other logical alternatives or the firster and Uncle Barrie has just been slowly but steadily improving. Got lasix three back and is moving in the right direction...maybe the cutback is just what the doctor ordered. His races at the start of his career against Special Weights were at least similar to the efforts in those fields as the shorter prices...it's a pretty big stab on some pretty bad connections, but in this field I'll take a swing. Not an official pick but I am trying to beat Nitrogen today for better or worse. Respect her a ton but I think this field towers over what she's been facing...problem is there are so many directions to go...I don't know what she's been doing really but May Day Ready's BC Juvy Filly effort was something, I'll probably lean on her and Oppulent Restraint who looks too slow but I think is one Chad is high on especially as the year goes along and has hinted he thinks she needs the distance. Also, one more chance to unofficially look stupid but I don't see why everyone seems to prefer Intellect to Donegal Momentum. I get the racing dynamics part of it but I thought DM finished up great and was not ever threatened/might not let Intellect by if it came to it...again, I get it but I think DM is trending upward and really nice, really love the stride and think there is yet more upside. Mountain Bear is who I consider the main danger (and I'll await the return of Nantasket Beach who I was really intrigued with). Good luck everyone.
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#7
07-06-2025, 09:09 PM
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I think Opulent Restraint will be a player going forward. That was a nice race out of her yesterday.
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#8
07-06-2025, 11:01 AM
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$2.40 returned Terrible so far. Race 3. #6 In Time 4/1 Race 6. #3 Downtown Channel 5/1
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#9
07-06-2025, 03:02 PM
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7/6/25
Best Bet: Race 8: #5 Takeschargesmiling 6/1 Best Value: Race 7: #3 Danghereshecomesshang 12/1
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#10
07-06-2025, 04:22 PM
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^Great work today Mo, was hoping we would get a quad..that Forgiving Spirit just killed my nice start late multis
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#11
07-07-2025, 06:16 AM
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  Well done.. Really nice tab!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
07-06-2025, 07:56 PM
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$36.80 returned. That’s why you’ve got to love this sport. Just takes one race to turn things around.
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#13
07-09-2025, 07:23 AM
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Race 5. #5 Edict, 8/1. I think #4 Heredia is the horse to beat and am against #3 Deep Satin who will be a short price but note that her top figure two races back came on softer ground. She could win, but I don’t want her at a short price. The #2 Les Reys intrigues me but this is a tough spot coming off the layoff. For me, I like #5 Edict who was very impressive two back, beating Heredia (both off a layoff) and ultimately running second to a good horse in Dynamic Pricing. I’ll forgive Edict for last out, which was still a decent performance but won’t be good enough to win today. In the New York, she was against better horses and probably didn’t like the added ground. She’s cutting back and she’s got Johnny V back on board and she’s going to be a big price. Race 8. #7 Charlottesapproval, 6/1. I’m not totally sold on the ML favorite Movin’ On Up, even if it does bring back memories of one of my favorite TV shows growing up — The Jeffersons. Charlottesapproval seems better suited for a little more distance than her last out and she’s already run back to her 3YO figures so the hope is she’s ready to take a step forward. It’ll need to be a good step forward but it’s not impossible and I figure she’ll be a nice price. I do also like the #1 Ozara but I wouldn’t be surprised if she’s even lower than her 7/2 ML odds so I’ll go with the bigger price. Last edited by moses : 07-10-2025 at 06:38 AM.
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#14
07-11-2025, 07:44 AM
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$40.00 wagered.
$40.70 returned. Alexis Zorba ran 2nd and paid $3.90. Edict wasn’t good enough. Today. Race 7. #5 Spirited Boss, 6/1. I like his earlier sprint races. Other than last out on the dirt, he seems to break well and I think Johnny V will put him in good position. He beat Classic Q a few back so he’s got some turf talent, the question is if he’ll prefer the shorter distance. I suspect he’ll get ignored on the tote board and drift above 6/1. Race 5. #3 Ragtime Sizzle, 8/1. Fresh off the claim, this one gets wheeled back in 8 days. The race looks like there’s little pace but I expect the #4 Low Key and the #6 Another Cleeshay to apply some pressure up front. If Kantarmaci can win that race yesterday, this one fits a lot better on figures even if Ragtime sizzle is jumping up from MCL20K to CLM100K. This field isn’t very good and the upset is definitely possible here.
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