5/15-16 (PIM): 150th Preakness Weekend

Kasept · #1 05-15-2025, 04:25 PM

HI HO PIMLICO

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Billionaire's Row 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Toolpusher 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Katie's Notion 4-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Zip Line to Heaven 7-2 3rd

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Privman 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ennis Town 8-5 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Gung Ho 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Rhythm 'n Blues 12-1 4th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Had to Have Him SCR
Next Best: #6 Fierce and Strong 4-1 WON ($21.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Coast Along 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Tidewater 7-2 3rd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame the Tux 6-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Understudy Kitty 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Army Officer 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Worthington 15-1 6th

P4 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 7 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
6: 3-6-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x6 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x4x4 = $32 ($16 for .50)
Backup (ACAA): 2x1x4x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (4 in 5th)

8th: Allaire DuPont, F&M-3+, 9f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Sea Dancer Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Dazzling Move 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Candied 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #6 Peignoir 8-1 4th

9th: Hilltop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Me Governor 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Play With Fire 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #8 Obeissante 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Sigh No More 4-1 4th

P5 Grid:

5: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-10 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (8-9 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), 10-11 (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10-11 in 7th)

10th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (2-day All Dirt P5, P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Delray 15-1 9th
Next Best: #4 G W's Girl 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 High Pat 12-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Volleyball Princess 20-1 8th

2-day All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C)
FRI 12: 1-2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 8: 6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
SAT 10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x4x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-8 in SAT 8th)

11th: The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (2-day All STK P5, P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Anaita 30-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Loon Cry 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Simply Stated 10-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Shoshanah 20-1 6th

2-day All STK P5 Grid:

FRI 11: 1-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
FRI 13: 3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
SAT 11: 5-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 12: 10-13 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x4x2x1 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x4x2x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-6 in SAT 12th)

12th: Pimlico Special, 3+, 9.5f (P3, DD)

SCR #7 Pyrenees..

Most Likely: #8 Star of Wonder 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Awesome Aaron 12-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #1 Phileas Fogg 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Cataleya Strike 20-1 5th

13th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (BES/Prknss DBL, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Margie's Intention 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 Amarth 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Moon Cache 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Runnin N Gunnin 5-2 9th

P5 Grid:

9: 2-3 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C)
11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (8-9 in 9th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (2-8-2-4-3) Paid $2,275.55

P4 Grid:

10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C)
11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8-2-4-3) Paid $460.60

14th: MSW, F&M/3-6yo, 5f-T

CANCELLED

Most Likely: #2 Roja 3-1
Best Value: #7 Somnium 8-1
Next Best: #4 Maerdama 9-5
Exotics Use: #6 Town Light 15-1

P4 Grid:

11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 3-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
14: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-8-3-ALL) Paid $69.80 x 2 = $139.60

Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept · #2 05-15-2025, 04:25 PM

HI HO PIMLICO ~ 150TH PREAKNESS DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Band Camp 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Augusta Melody 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #4 Freeze the Fire 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Circle P 9-2 6th

2nd: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Fivecommatwo 20-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Drop the Hammer 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Betula 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Miss Ellary 8-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 3-6yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 DRILL BABY 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Varney 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Energize 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Last Man Standing 3-2 2nd

4th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

VERY difficult group with virtually everyone hot for the front end..

Most Likely: #6 Booth 7-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #3 Celtic Contender 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Epic Ride 5-1 2nd

5th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

This spot feels like a treacherous black hole that could sink a trio of big multi race plays (1st-5th, 3rd-7th, 5th-9th!)..

Most Likely: #9 Mischief Maxey 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Sally's Gold 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Glean 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 River Seine 9-2 19th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
3: 7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Striker Has Dial 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Zeitlos 2-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #1 Apple Picker 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 One Magic Philly 9-5 3rd

7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Queen of the Mud 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Charlene's Dream 20-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #9 Way to Be Marie 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Three Havanas 5-2 4th

P5 Grid:

3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)

8th: Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (Must Pay Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Keep It Easy 4-1 11th
Best Value: #7 Faster Gator 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 One Nine Hundred 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Ancient World 6-1 3rd

2-day All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C)
FRI 12: 1-2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 8: 6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
SAT 10: 6-7/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x4x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-8 in SAT 8th)

9th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Witty 10-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #5 Determined Kingdom 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 No Nay Hudson 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mattingly 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

10th: Sir Barton-R, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Just a Fair Shake 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Invictus 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Crudo 5-2 WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #2 Bestfriend Rocket 15-1 6th

11th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Curahee 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Reagan's Wit 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Barbadian Runner 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Soleil Volant 7-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-6 in 11th)

12th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

SCR 3-9..

Best Value: #1 Divin Propos 12-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Fort Washington 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #13 Trikari 5-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Balnikhov 9-2 6th

13th: Preakness Stakes (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Journalism 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 River Thames 9-2 6th
Next Best: #8 Clever Again 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Gosger 20-1 2nd

P6 P5 Grid:

9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C)
13: 2 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (6-8 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $413.70 (A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C)
13: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $88.85

Let's get lucky!
Steve

1/ST Racing 2-day Charity P5: Park Heights Renaissance

FRI 11: 1-2-4-5-9-12 (A)
FRI 13: 3-4-8-9 (A)
SAT 11: 4-7-8 (A)
SAT 12: 1-10 (A)
SAT 13: 2 (A)

All A’s Play: 6x4x3x2x1 = $144

$0.50 Pck 5 (2/3/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $199.25

ninetoone · #3 05-16-2025, 08:49 AM

I always scan Steve's picks for the famous top line ALL CAPS picks

(not sure of the statistics behind those, but in my personal rolodex, they do VERY well).

Didn't see any today, but I did take note of several top line double-digit bombs...including a 30-1 and 15-1.....hmmm....I will take those under advisement!!!

casp0555 · #4 05-16-2025, 09:45 AM

Vodka with a Twist is a scratch

knickslions2 · #5 05-16-2025, 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555

Vodka with a Twist is a scratch

That’s a fun betting race. Throw a dart

casp0555 · #6 05-16-2025, 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

That’s a fun betting race. Throw a dart

Hey Tom!....to be honest, I'm throwing 6 darts lolol

knickslions2 · #7 05-16-2025, 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555

Hey Tom!....to be honest, I'm throwing 6 darts lolol

lol ya I’m not sure what to do there. Maybe after a few beers it will look easier

Kasept · #8 05-16-2025, 10:53 AM

PIM SCR/CHG'S

ontheoutside · #9 05-16-2025, 11:46 AM

steve what is your black into preakness daily double selections?

theguarantee · #10 05-16-2025, 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

lol ya I’m not sure what to do there. Maybe after a few beers it will look easier

I thought Echo Sound looked pretty good in there but my more interesting opinion, and Steve has her second...if you draw a line through the last in the slop, cutting back to probably a better distance G W'S Girl looks pretty good no?

It's certainly not the event CD/NYRA put on but I actually think these cards are pretty intriguing from a handicapping/betting point of view....of course outside the Oxbow year I tend to not have much success at Pimlico...I'm going to tread lightly but take a few swings.

I definitely think Clever Again is the right horse to take a shot against Journalism with. Not too sure on the price but I really liked that last effort...the fresh horse angle is pretty tried and true...not a big River Thames or Sandman fan so my thought it to try to keep them out under in the verticals, use Journalism defensively and try to get Pay Billy/Gosger into the number (will probably also use Goal Oriented somewhat defensively as I think he's the other main challenger if maybe Baffert was targeting this all along and probably has a ceiling as high/higher than any of these)...

Good luck everyone.

casp0555 · #11 05-16-2025, 12:38 PM

Miss Preakness....
Mila Rose

...love the name, hoping to see her mow them down in the lane coming home but I dont believe the 10/1 ML will stand with the jockey upgrade

moses · #12 05-16-2025, 01:01 PM

Race 4, I really like your top two picks Steve but I’m including the 1 horse in my wagers. It’s 17/1 and had a really bad trip last time out in his first off the layoff. Would not be shocked to see it end up in the money.

moses · #13 05-16-2025, 01:43 PM

Guys, don’t be like me.

I just texted my cousin and told him I kind of liked the 1 in race 5 then didn’t bet it. It won going away and paid $137.

casp0555 · #14 05-16-2025, 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses

Guys, don’t be like me.

I just texted my cousin and told him I kind of liked the 1 in race 5 then didn’t bet it. It won going away and paid $137.

Baffert's horse had the odds lumped up, it was a good race to place some small win bets on the long odds just to have some action in a race with a way overbet chalk

moses · #15 05-16-2025, 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555

Baffert's horse had the odds lumped up, it was a good race to place some small win bets on the long odds just to have some action in a race with a way overbet chalk

Yeah. I foolishly keyed the 7 over top of the 1 and then others thinking the 7 wouldn’t lose. Big mistake.