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5/15-16 (PIM): 150th Preakness Weekend
HI HO PIMLICO
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Billionaire's Row 12-1 9th Next Best: #4 Toolpusher 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Katie's Notion 4-1 8th Super Add: #10 Zip Line to Heaven 7-2 3rd 5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Privman 6-5 2nd Next Best: #4 Ennis Town 8-5 8th Exotics Use: #5 Gung Ho 8-1 5th Super Add: #3 Rhythm 'n Blues 12-1 4th 6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #10 Had to Have Him SCR Next Best: #6 Fierce and Strong 4-1 WON ($21.40) Exotics Use: #9 Coast Along 3-1 4th Super Add: #3 Tidewater 7-2 3rd 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Blame the Tux 6-1 8th Best Value: #4 Understudy Kitty 15-1 4th Next Best: #7 Army Officer 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Worthington 15-1 6th P4 Grid: 4: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 7 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 6: 3-6-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-3-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x6 = $48 ($24 for .50) All A's: 2x1x4x4 = $32 ($16 for .50) Backup (ACAA): 2x1x4x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (4 in 5th) 8th: Allaire DuPont, F&M-3+, 9f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Sea Dancer Late SCR Next Best: #1 Dazzling Move 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Candied 8-5 WON ($3.80) Super Add: #6 Peignoir 8-1 4th 9th: Hilltop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Me Governor 7-2 6th Best Value: #2 Play With Fire 6-1 WON ($9.00) Next Best: #8 Obeissante 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #9 Sigh No More 4-1 4th P5 Grid: 5: 7 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 6-10 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C) 7: 2-3-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C) 8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-3 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (AAAAC): 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (8-9 in 9th) P4 Grid: 6: 6-10 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C) 7: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), 10-11 (C) 8: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (ACAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10-11 in 7th) 10th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (2-day All Dirt P5, P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Delray 15-1 9th Next Best: #4 G W's Girl 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 High Pat 12-1 6th Super Add: #2 Volleyball Princess 20-1 8th 2-day All Dirt P5 Grid: FRI 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C) FRI 12: 1-2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) SAT 8: 6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C) SAT 10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C) SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (AACAA): 2x4x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-8 in SAT 8th) 11th: The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (2-day All STK P5, P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Anaita 30-1 5th Next Best: #9 Loon Cry 9-5 4th Exotics Use: #12 Simply Stated 10-1 7th Super Add: #4 Shoshanah 20-1 6th 2-day All STK P5 Grid: FRI 11: 1-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C) FRI 13: 3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C) SAT 11: 5-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) SAT 12: 10-13 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C) SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96 All A's: 3x2x4x2x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (AAACA): 3x2x4x2x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-6 in SAT 12th) 12th: Pimlico Special, 3+, 9.5f (P3, DD) SCR #7 Pyrenees.. Most Likely: #8 Star of Wonder 7-2 3rd Best Value: #4 Awesome Aaron 12-1 WON ($16.00) Next Best: #1 Phileas Fogg 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Cataleya Strike 20-1 5th 13th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (BES/Prknss DBL, DD) Most Likely: #3 Margie's Intention 7-2 WON ($7.00) Next Best: #8 Amarth 4-1 5th Best Value: #9 Moon Cache 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #4 Runnin N Gunnin 5-2 9th P5 Grid: 9: 2-3 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C) 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C) 11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) 12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96 All A's: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (8-9 in 9th) $0.50 Pick 5 (2-8-2-4-3) Paid $2,275.55 P4 Grid: 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C) 11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) 12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 3-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (CAAA): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-9 in 13th) $0.50 Pick 4 (8-2-4-3) Paid $460.60 14th: MSW, F&M/3-6yo, 5f-T CANCELLED Most Likely: #2 Roja 3-1 Best Value: #7 Somnium 8-1 Next Best: #4 Maerdama 9-5 Exotics Use: #6 Town Light 15-1 P4 Grid: 11: 1-9-12 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) 12: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 13: 3-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C) 14: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2 = 60 x .50 = $30 All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AACA): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-9 in 13th) $0.50 Pick 4 (2-8-3-ALL) Paid $69.80 x 2 = $139.60 Let's get lucky! Steve |
HI HO PIMLICO ~ 150TH PREAKNESS DAY
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Band Camp 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Augusta Melody 9-5 WON ($3.80) Best Value: #4 Freeze the Fire 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Circle P 9-2 6th 2nd: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Fivecommatwo 20-1 5th Next Best: #9 Drop the Hammer 2-1 6th Exotics Use: #11 Betula 9-2 2nd Super Add: #6 Miss Ellary 8-1 4th 3rd: MSW, 3-6yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 DRILL BABY 8-1 4th Next Best: #3 Varney 6-5 WON ($3.60) Exotics Use: #4 Energize 6-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Last Man Standing 3-2 2nd 4th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) VERY difficult group with virtually everyone hot for the front end.. Most Likely: #6 Booth 7-5 WON ($3.80) Best Value: #3 Celtic Contender 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Epic Ride 5-1 2nd 5th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD) This spot feels like a treacherous black hole that could sink a trio of big multi race plays (1st-5th, 3rd-7th, 5th-9th!).. Most Likely: #9 Mischief Maxey 5-1 7th Best Value: #2 Sally's Gold 15-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Glean 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #11 River Seine 9-2 19th P5 Grid: 1: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C) 3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C) 3: 7 (A), - (B), 3 (C) 4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 2-3-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 6th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Striker Has Dial 5-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Zeitlos 2-1 WON ($8.40) Best Value: #1 Apple Picker 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 One Magic Philly 9-5 3rd 7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Queen of the Mud 4-1 7th Best Value: #4 Charlene's Dream 20-1 WON ($18.20) Next Best: #9 Way to Be Marie 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Three Havanas 5-2 4th P5 Grid: 3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C) 6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th) P4 Grid: 4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C) 6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th) 8th: Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (Must Pay Rainbow 6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Keep It Easy 4-1 11th Best Value: #7 Faster Gator 6-1 7th Next Best: #8 One Nine Hundred 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Ancient World 6-1 3rd 2-day All Dirt P5 Grid: FRI 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C) FRI 12: 1-2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) SAT 8: 6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C) SAT 10: 6-7/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C) SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (AACAA): 2x4x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-8 in SAT 8th) 9th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Witty 10-1 WON ($7.80) Next Best: #5 Determined Kingdom 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 No Nay Hudson 5-2 2nd Super Add: #8 Mattingly 8-1 6th P5 Grid: 5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C) 6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) 8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th) P4 Grid: 6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C) 8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 10th: Sir Barton-R, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #9 Just a Fair Shake 6-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Invictus 9-5 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Crudo 5-2 WON ($9.40) Super Add: #2 Bestfriend Rocket 15-1 6th 11th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Curahee 8-1 5th Next Best: #7 Reagan's Wit 5-2 WON ($3.00) Exotics Use: #4 Barbadian Runner 12-1 4th Super Add: #6 Soleil Volant 7-2 2nd P5 Grid: 7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C) 8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-6 in 11th) 12th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD) SCR 3-9.. Best Value: #1 Divin Propos 12-1 4th Next Best: #10 Fort Washington 5-1 WON ($12.00) Exotics Use: #13 Trikari 5-2 9th Super Add: #6 Balnikhov 9-2 6th 13th: Preakness Stakes (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD) Most Likely: #2 Journalism 8-5 WON ($4.00) Best Value: #6 River Thames 9-2 6th Next Best: #8 Clever Again 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #9 Gosger 20-1 2nd P6 P5 Grid: 9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C) 13: 2 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (6-8 in 13th) $0.50 Pick 5 (4/1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $413.70 (A-A-A-A-A) P4 Grid: 10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C) 13: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-8-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8-9 in 13th) $0.50 Pick 4 (1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $88.85 Let's get lucky! Steve 1/ST Racing 2-day Charity P5: Park Heights Renaissance FRI 11: 1-2-4-5-9-12 (A) FRI 13: 3-4-8-9 (A) SAT 11: 4-7-8 (A) SAT 12: 1-10 (A) SAT 13: 2 (A) All A’s Play: 6x4x3x2x1 = $144 $0.50 Pck 5 (2/3/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $199.25 |
I always scan Steve's picks for the famous top line ALL CAPS picks :) (not sure of the statistics behind those, but in my personal rolodex, they do VERY well).
Didn't see any today, but I did take note of several top line double-digit bombs...including a 30-1 and 15-1.....hmmm....I will take those under advisement!!! :cool: |
Vodka with a Twist is a scratch
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steve what is your black into preakness daily double selections?
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It's certainly not the event CD/NYRA put on but I actually think these cards are pretty intriguing from a handicapping/betting point of view....of course outside the Oxbow year I tend to not have much success at Pimlico...I'm going to tread lightly but take a few swings. I definitely think Clever Again is the right horse to take a shot against Journalism with. Not too sure on the price but I really liked that last effort...the fresh horse angle is pretty tried and true...not a big River Thames or Sandman fan so my thought it to try to keep them out under in the verticals, use Journalism defensively and try to get Pay Billy/Gosger into the number (will probably also use Goal Oriented somewhat defensively as I think he's the other main challenger if maybe Baffert was targeting this all along and probably has a ceiling as high/higher than any of these)... Good luck everyone. |
Miss Preakness....
Mila Rose :{>:...love the name, hoping to see her mow them down in the lane coming home but I dont believe the 10/1 ML will stand with the jockey upgrade |
Race 4, I really like your top two picks Steve but I’m including the 1 horse in my wagers. It’s 17/1 and had a really bad trip last time out in his first off the layoff. Would not be shocked to see it end up in the money.
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Guys, don’t be like me.
I just texted my cousin and told him I kind of liked the 1 in race 5 then didn’t bet it. It won going away and paid $137. |
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Black Eyed Susan Day Pick 5
R9: 3,6,8 R10: 4,5,6,7 R11: 1,2,5,9,12 R12: 1,4,8 R13: 3,8 |
The 11 here in race 10 at 40/1 is nuts.
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PIM R11 .50 PK4
Pick 4 2,5,9,12 1,4,8,9 3,5,8 2,4 g'luck |
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