Two at Toga (2024)

[theguarantee]

Best Bet:Race 7 # 9 Good Conduct 5/1
Best Value: Race 11 #9 Turriga 6/1

[moses]

Nice work so far. I’ll add one bet. Haven’t been able to look at much.

I’m going to bet this horse Corporate Power in the Travers. I honestly wasn’t a big fan of his early in his career but think maybe he’s ready to take a step forward and should be a monster price and suspect pace will setup for him to finish well.

[theguarantee]

Thanks Moses. You're with me on Corporate Power today. Might be more likely underneath but I think is steadily improving, could get the jump on Sierra Leone and the closers. Needs to improve and run straighter (ironically enough in a race with Sierra.

Best Bet: Race 12 #6 Timberlake 5/1 - I love this horse in here today. Think hes been begging for this turnback and some of the efforts are better than they look on paper to me. Perhaps he's just not that good, clearly has a lot of improving to do on figures but he has the tactical speed and all the makings of a classic cutback. Last chance for me in here to live up to the promise and should get a square number at least.

Best Bet#2: Race 10 #4 Society 4/1 - Don't love the vibes around Munnys Gold and think she's the only one capable of running with her early. If she doesn't have it today I think Society could be gone. Another that I think they've been fooled a bit trying to stretch and gets to do what she wants today. Maybe Vahva will run her down again but I love horses like this second off the layoff. Fully expect her to run huge and be tough to reel in late.

Best Value Race 13 #4 Corporate Power 15/1 - Mentioned above but will add I think Unmatched Wisdom is dangerous in here but think CP will be a better number and can turn the tables with added ground and expected pace. Another that might not get it done but I think is sitting on a peak effort today. Well see if he can move forward enough.

Quick thoughts on the other stakes/the 8th:

I considered making Rabaja a pick in the 8th. Liked the way he finished considering the issues he had early and don't think he ever really got comfortable. Scared of the post though and there's no telling how good Rhetorical really is. Will probably take a stab at a big price though

Sword Dancer - If Measured Time doesn't win ill be looking at the pick 4. I've never really bought into Silver Knott although I get it. I don't think Buick shipped in to run second though and I just think hes the goods. May try to get Far Bridge into second for the exacta but that might get overbet as I think everyone has the same thought.

Forego - I think Mullikin feels like the type everyone is trying to beat because of ML favoritism and maybe actually ends up the value. I think hes extremely fast and very legit. My main alternative is Cagliostro. Should be motoring late and I don't see why he wouldn't take to this turnback. Sharp spotting by Cherie IMO and would not surprise me a bit. Angkor and Gun Pilot have their merits and wouldn't shock me but think ill be sticking with my top two in most everything. Anyone else would really surprise me.

In the Allen Jerkens if Timberlake doesn't get it done I lean toward Jefferson Street and Speak Easy. I thought I would like Prince of Monaco more off his last but watching him train I didn't love...hed hardly surprise me but might be underlaid off that last trip when I needed him bad. Book'em Danno might shove me in a locker again but I don't like him at all in here today. World Record will have to prove it to me again today. Everyone seems to love Domestic Product but I don't see it at all...i think Prat likes the horse but too much being made of him "choosing" to ride for Chad/Klaravich.Kind of led me by default to Soeak Easy and Jefferson Street as my backups. I don't trust either at all but if Jefferson Street can prove that race two back was no fluke, and I think the last is a line through type race, look out. I was completely against Soeak Easy in his return race and was telling myself how smart I was for about 3/4's of that race then wow was he impressive...

Last thought I agree with Steve that the filly should not be dismissed in the Travers...i have it as Sierra's race to lose with the value on Corporate Power...but ill absolutely be using her. Cant afford to break poorly again but her "cruising speed" is incredibly impressive...she has tactical speed and has those gears that make her adaptable to any pace scenario. I think she proves best of the horses racing near the lead but gets gunned down in heartbreaking fashion late...hopefully by CP.

Good luck everyone.

[theguarantee]

Will recap tomorrow but another frustrating day...some good opinions but struggling to string them together this meet...been fruitful but feel like a lot left on the table...

Haven't had a ton iof success at this Del Mar meet but I think The Chosen Vron will continue his winning ways and I like a horse in the last...

$30 double 6/3 and will come back with like $50 win on the 3 in the last if TCV gets beat...

Liked the sprints from Highplainsdrifter ad while the last looks terrible I think it was almost too bad to be true. Really hungry field...not sure how much horse he truly is but we are getting a nice price to give one more shot with the added ground today due in part to low profile connections. Kent is very inconsistent but can still give a masterful ride now and again. Worth a shot to me but again I've been terrible at Del Mar...good luck

[theguarantee]

Got tied up but for today:
Best Bet Race 11 #3 Gallant Greta 6/1
Best Value Race 7 #3 LadyJasmine 20/1 - Takes a real leap of faith but she has numbers from last summer that make her competitive in here, maybe more if you think the Beyers were a little low like I do. Needs to find form but will be a huge price.

Good luck

[theguarantee]

Best Bet: Race 7 #8 Queens Masterpiece 8/1
Best Value: Race 8 #8 Merry and Bright 8/1

[theguarantee]

Best Bet: Race 9 #6 Skyler's Starship 9/2
Best Value: Race 8 #8 Emerald Forest 9/2