Two at Toga (2024)

[theguarantee]

Best Bet Race 12 #5 Charles J 10/1 - scratched previously if you want to scroll back I like for similar reasons but mainly because I think the turf route was far and away his best rest and has muddled up form.
Best Value Race 9 #1 Moonlight Gal 6/1 - Seems like we will get a price wanted to ensure before posting based on some of the works. I just think this one is very fast and talented. Might prove too green and will have to break. Weaver overdue and Ricardo might help the price…if breaks though the rail has been good and I think it’s a talented runner so I’ll take a shot on a tough day

[theguarantee]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

Best Bet Race 12 #5 Charles J 10/1 - scratched previously if you want to scroll back I like for similar reasons but mainly because I think the turf route was far and away his best rest and has muddled up form.

[theguarantee]

Best Bet Race 11: #2 Sherbini 8/1 - Looking for a closer, not sure I have the right Casse but thought Sherbini at least figures to turn the tables on Queens MG at 7F.

Best Value: Race 13 #4 Miztertonic 8/1 - Race looks completely wide open, wanted to actually make a case for a true bomb but kept coming back here thinking that win although just against MCL by a nose fits in here. Might be ready for a small step forward today and that would put him right there at a square price.

[theguarantee]

Best Bet Race 11 #3 Rebel Red 8/1 - couldn’t have been more impressed last out and while it’s well documented he lost an eye since the last, Cherie really shouldn’t have felt compelled to enter here, particularly with Taking Candy. Think the price will be right to see if this one can overcome the new complications because this one is definitely a runner that was improving rapidly.

Best Value Race 6 #7 Get Ready to Rock 20/1 - I’m not so sure this one has that much ability but at the expected price I’m excited to give a chance. You can toss the two dirt races, I don’t think he can stand up on it. In the lone turf route he met a field that absolutely towers over these and did more running than the line suggests. Took a minor bump early and ultimately was not winning but was within a few lengths of a much better field before getting completely crushed. The turf sprint was a sizzler and he just clearly doesn’t have enough early foot to compete in those. Giving a shot today at the right level doing what he wants to do imo.

Not an official pick but I quite like Tapit Trice today. Obviously will need Arthurs Ride to regress a little but if getting 7/2 or more I’m going to take a big shot with. Looking back at the Travers I think he actually ran way better than Disarm who still has his fans. The Monmouth effort I initially dismissed a touch but watching back he just seems like a new horse. I don’t get the love I’ve seen from some sharp people on Highland Falls. I get the case to an extent but he blitzed him and showed no signs of anything but wanting more powerful through the wire. Hoping the price is fair.

[seekingthegold]

Remind me to keep my big mouth shut from now on.
I praise the guy for picking tons of winners. Then he never wins another race ever! Holy moly I apologize to anybody else following this thread. I can stop a dam freight train.

[theguarantee]

Originally Posted by seekingthegold

Remind me to keep my big mouth shut from now on.
I praise the guy for picking tons of winners. Then he never wins another race ever! Holy moly I apologize to anybody else following this thread. I can stop a dam freight train.

Haha you're not wrong. I am staggering to the wire this meet.
Will go through the bets and give a final tally tomorrow.
Lets see if we can find something on closing day...

Best Bet Race 8 #3 Surveillance 10/1 - Seems to be in raging form again and his best shot is pretty competitive here, not sure the pace will develop but hoping and the price will be right.

Best Value Race 11 #1 Centuria 15/1 - Child of the Moon can win buti wanted to try to find a Longshot in here as I don't think either of Chad's runners are that great. Romans on the turf at the Spa isn't usually my thing and you have to draw a line through the last...I liked the maiden win a lot though and seemed to be a progressive filly at that point. Met a very difficult group for the level and the trip didn't work out at all two back. Rosario isn't riding well but seems an ideal fit here as I think she will need to save all the ground and get a little lucky...i like getting on the Mellon as I my main theory for tossing the last is she didn't handle the tight turns that well. At the least should provide some value at potentially a very big price.

Good luck.