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#1
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![]() Saturday 8/6
Best Bet - Race 6: 2 Disarm 5/2 - Lost a longer writeup due to a computer issue so briefly - just like the race he comes out of and the way he got going late...like Asmussen second timers here, the work pattern since and guessing the Pletcher/Repole entry will be overbet. Best Value - Race 11: 8 Sy Dog 12/1 - Just felt like he didn't like being inside in the stretch in the last. Wasn't a bad ride at all and overall a good trip but hoping Manny today will get him swung out into the clear today. Might be chasing a horse that I thought was going to have a more forward move after that Transyvania but I'm giving one more shot today at what should be a great price in a field that isn't exactly scaring me away. |
#2
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![]() Well I sucked yesterday.
144 wagered but only 108.90 returned. I don’t have much time today so here are my two picks. Best bet: Race 7 - #3 With the Moonlight 5/2 ML Best value: Race 5 - #5 Tribal Queen 6/1 ML |
#3
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![]() Best bet - Race 9 6 Our Flash Drive 7/2
Best value - Race 6 1 Empress Isabel 10/1 |
#4
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![]() Quote:
Total wagered: $152.00 Total returned: $115.50 Wednesday, August 10. Best bet: Race 10 - #7 Running Bee 4/1 ML, Brown/Franco. When reviewing this race, I was originally leaning toward Evan Harlan, who I think will be a nice price and is certainly eligible to win this race. But the more I looked at Running Bee, the more I liked him. Last out winner Capensis moved into the allowance ranks in his next start and though disappointed as the favorite, ran well. The third place finisher last out returned to break his maiden. I think there will be some value here as Brown/Irad will get plenty of interest but I prefer this Chad horse...and note that Brown/Franco have been hot since Belmont and have a positive ROI in their last 51 starts together (last 60 days). I think this one may be a little more forwardly placed this time as there isn't much speed in the race, though Saez and Lezcano could try to battle each other. I'm not sure the pace will matter all that much as I think this one is just better than the others in here and with a good ride from Franco, should win. Best value: Race 5 - #4 Be the Boss 15/1 ML, Trombetta/Castellano. I generally do not like to bet 3YOs against older in turf routes. But, I'll make an exception here if the price is right. This one drops in for a tag and should be running up front early. Javy has been riding well lately so I'll trust him to set the pace and try to make them catch him. |
#5
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![]() Best Bet - Race 5 #2 Parquetry 5/1
Thinking Dylan should work out a nice trip in a field that leaves wanting. Has the back class to beat these hoping the drop is just what the doctor ordered. Best Value - Race 9 #6 Battle Scars 8/1 Had the look of a pretty decent one going back to the initial efforts and assuming something went awry. Returns here and hopefully as an improved animal. Going to try to wake the Atras barn up at what should be a square price today |
#6
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![]() I need to start doing a better job of anticipating interest in these longshots because I wouldn’t have bet my “best value” in a million years at 7/2.
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#7
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![]() Soft morning lines might have something to do with it.
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#8
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![]() Aragona is usually good. He’s missed a few times this meet. It happens.
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