Two at Toga (2022)

[theguarantee]

Saturday, 7/30

Best Bet - Race 9: 2 Epicenter 3/2
I never usually take such a small price but I think with the presence of both of the Chad runners that this is one of those rare occasions that the horse is still an overlay. I've just always thought he is the class of this bunch and I believe the Preakness a lot of different things conspired against him. Fully expect him to have enjoyed the freshening and get back to proving that he's the best of these today. Appears to be training like he's back to his A game.

Best Value - Race 10: 10 Colosseo 6/1
Obviously this is a total guess but I want to see Capensis do it again today especially given the post. So I started looking and kept poking holes in everyone else. Colosseo led St Mark's Basilica last year and was only beaten under two lengths. So we know there is some ability there. Why this horse is now with Wayne Catalano, what happened after that start or why they targeted this race at Saratoga. I'm going to take the presence of lasix and Rosario today as a positive though...kind of a total guess but feels like a decent spot for one...especially as this card today didn't do a ton for me as most races I either liked the favorites or had no clue.

Good luck.

[moses]

After Day 11.
Total wagered: $104.00
Total returned: $93.30
Record 24 4-6-4

Sunday July 31.
Best bet: Race 8 - #1 L’Imperator 6/1 (Brown/Franco)
Best value: Race 7 - #3 Sanctuary City 10/1 (Ferraro/Carmouche)