Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by jms62

Not in the least. I think your best bet picks are right in the sweet spot of win percentage vs price. I'm so anti someone calling the most obvious winner on the card the best bet. Years ago on this board I got into one of those best bet, price contests and was destroying the guy until he hit a 60-1 "Best Bet". It wasn't a shot at you. His "best Bet" ML went up like 8 standard deviations during the later stages.

I’m with you there. Anyone can identify most likely. My goal is to identify a horse that I’m betting that I think is the best bet in terms of likelihood of winning and value. Not a perfect science of course.