Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-17-2021, 04:52 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,869
Default 7/17: Saratoga (Day 3); Monmouth (Haskell Day ~ .20 X-C P6)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Special Mandatory Pay P5 Starts Here..

Best Value: #3 The Golden Door 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Matty's Express 6-1 WON ($23.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Austrian 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Grape Nuts Warrior 7-2 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Shug unveils $550k Covfefe half #7 Montauk Point here, but 5.5f may be too sharp. Detroit City has advantage of a start under his belt and real speed that may blitz this set. 8-1 and we should get it with some of the connex involved here..

Best Value: #4 Detroit City 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Chattalot 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Uninvited Guest 4-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Seal Beach 6-1 3rd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Brown/Klaravich debut full brother to Charming Kitten & Queens Plate Kitten in Portfolio Company..

Most Likely: #4 Portfolio Company 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #5 Never Say Know 9-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Great Britain 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 James Aloysius 6-1 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Duress 5-1 10th
Next Best: #1e Ownership entry 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Gear Jockey 8-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Battle Station 6-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly fabulous group with huge implications for Jerkens and Travers too. May turn out to be best race of the day anywhere. I;'m not kidding..

Best Value: #5 Ten for Ten 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Beau Liam 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Crowded Trade Gate SCR
Super Add: #7 Witsel 8-1 2nd


Special Mandatory Pay P5 Grid:

4: 3-9 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-5-10/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5 in 6th): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (9/8,9/3,4,11,12/8/1,2,10) Paid $561.50 x 2 = $1,123.00


MTH 8th: Monmouth Cup (G3), 3+, 9f (.20 Shore P6, P3, DD)

.20 Cross Country P6 Starts Here..

Most Likely: #7 Bankit 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Ny Traffic 7-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Bal Harbour 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Night Ops 3-1 2nd


MTH 10th: Molly Pitcher (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Our Super Freak 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Vault 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Bank Sting Gate SCR
Super Add: #6 Bajan Girl 9-2 2nd


MTH 11th: United Nations (G1), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Way too many people are landing on Fantasioso for him to win..

Best Value: #5 Fantasioso 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Arklow 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Master Piece 4-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Tribhuvan 3-1 WON ($5.40)


SAR 9th: Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Expect a scramble with giant field which gives off-the-pace debut winner Ottoman Empire a big chance to run them down at a square price....

Best Value: #7 Ottoman Empire 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Wit 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Headline Report 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Maryland Brando 10-1 10th


MTH 12th: Haskell (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Following Sea 3-1 2nd-Up via DQ
Next Best: #4 Hot Rod Charlie 6-5 6th-DQ'd from Win
Exotics Use: #6 Midnight Bourbon 9-2 DNF-Clipped Heels
Super Add: #3 Mandaloun 2-1 WON-Up via DQ ($8.20)


10th: Diana (G1), F&M-4+, 9f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #6 Summer Romance 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Harvey's Lil Goil 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Althiqa 3-1 WON ($9.90)
Super Add: #7 Lemista 5-2 8th


.20 X-C P6 Grid:

MTH 8: 4-7
MTH 10: 1-3
MTH 11: 1-5
SAR 10: 1-7-9
MTH 12: 1-3-4-6
SAR 11: 5-6-7-8

.20 PLAY: 2x2x2x3x4x4 = 384 x .20 = $76.80


11th: MSW, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #2 Cool Quest 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Askin for a Baskin 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Ducale 7-2 WON ($$3.60)
Super Add: #4 Southern Flag 9-2 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-5-10/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 9 (B), 6 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
11: 2-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $12 (6) + $24 (7-8) + $24 (4-7)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-5-10/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $6 (6)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,10/1,3/8/3,7,9) Paid $27.25


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 07-17-2021 at 05:59 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-17-2021, 07:16 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,762
Default

Good luck Steve.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-17-2021, 12:27 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,869
Default

SAR SCR/CHG'S

MTH SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 07-17-2021, 12:49 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,869
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Good luck Steve.
THX Mose! You too.. Let's all get some today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 07-17-2021, 04:06 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,869
Default

Brutal.. Crowded Trade a Gate SCR.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 07-17-2021, 04:12 PM
Flatterer's Avatar
Flatterer Flatterer is offline
Delaware Park
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Kennett Square, PA
Posts: 184
Default

Way to go Steve on the P5! NICE!!
__________________
33% of the time - favorites win every time
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 07-17-2021, 04:12 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 974
Default thanks steve

followed mid pk 5 and late pk 5 and 4,,nice handicapping
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 07-17-2021, 04:25 PM
essayamx essayamx is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 89
Default

Great work on the mandatory Toga P5 Steve. Good luck the rest of the way!!!

Last edited by essayamx : 07-17-2021 at 05:01 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 07-17-2021, 06:15 PM
ninetoone's Avatar
ninetoone ninetoone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: VA, USA
Posts: 2,287
Default

Anyone else bet Witsel in the SAR 8th? I put a fairly large win bet on him and I'm still reeling...I would have tripled the bet if I could have when he came up alongside the #1 in the stretch...still can't believe he didn’t pass....did he hang, or was the #1 that game???
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 07-17-2021, 06:58 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 974
Default thanks steve

followed mid pk 5 and late pk 5 and 4,,nice handicapping
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 07-17-2021, 09:13 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ninetoone View Post
Anyone else bet Witsel in the SAR 8th? I put a fairly large win bet on him and I'm still reeling...I would have tripled the bet if I could have when he came up alongside the #1 in the stretch...still can't believe he didn’t pass....did he hang, or was the #1 that game???
1 was very game. Big swing in the pick 5 if he gets up.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 07-17-2021, 11:38 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,311
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ninetoone View Post
Anyone else bet Witsel in the SAR 8th? I put a fairly large win bet on him and I'm still reeling...I would have tripled the bet if I could have when he came up alongside the #1 in the stretch...still can't believe he didn’t pass....did he hang, or was the #1 that game???
It was Steve pushing the #1 across the wire
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 07-18-2021, 04:08 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,869
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
followed mid pk 5 and late pk 5 and 4,,nice handicapping
Quote:
Originally Posted by essayamx View Post
Great work on the mandatory Toga P5 Steve. Good luck the rest of the way!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flatterer View Post
Way to go Steve on the P5! NICE!!
Tom, Essay, Tom.. THX guys. That worked out OK. When Crowded Trade SCR'd, I immediately envisioned Witsel quashing the play and we barely avoided that. Pre-SCR, Beau Liam was paying $850-ish, so we got a little extra in the end. Fun, if slightly frantic, day. Hope everyone did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 07-18-2021, 10:45 AM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,516
Default

Nice Job, Steve - Congrats!
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 07-18-2021, 11:35 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,796
Default

Good Work Steve....
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:47 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.