so with saratoga coming up

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

On sloppy and muddy tracks, try and focus on horses with good dirt form. So many off the turf races are bet like they are still the grass that there are opportunities.

This is a critical point that is often discussed on NYRA's Talking Horses pregame show. Folks will complain about off-the-turf days yet "value" (as opposed to exclusively using "price") can oft be found on these races.

In order to answer the sloppy/muddy track question, you have to consider whether the race was carded for turf or dirt. Playing turf form on sloppy/muddy dirt is a recipe for losing your bankroll more quickly.

Take a look back at your betting in off-the-turf races and see what you are playing : turf form or MTO entrants.

[ScottJ]

Perfect example to consider in off-the-turf value analysis : Take a look at Race 2 at Belmont today, Friday, July 2nd, an off-the-turf state-bred Maiden Claiming $40000 race at 6 furlongs. If you have handicapped this race under the new conditions and decided that Distractandattack is the horse to beat, review the dirt side of this gelding's races. Having this one in the race creates value as a bet-against.