Two at Toga

[moses]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

^Big chance for you to get above break even Moses...I was going to select Readyforprimetime myself but I'll pivot for the sake of some originality...saw exactly what you did though.

Wagered: $100.00
Returned: $132.10

Best Bet: Race 9 #3 Lady Lilly - Obviously looks too slow on paper but I think the horse was actually short and won on class alone on debut. Clearly talented and worked OK with Sonneman coming out of the debut...I could be wrong but I feel Steve was targeting this all along for her and expecting a big step up today (which she'll need to take)...perhaps that figure is a bit low with Spun d'Tat subsequent start. Beautiful Memories may well just be too good for these but I want to make her prove it as that debut appears to have been against a really bad group...don't want to knock it too much since she dusted them and earned a nice fig...but that was 5F, she was pulled up subsequently and seems a bit of a headcase even watching works. Esplanade looks OK but those overnight stakes are glorified maiden races. Guana Cay is interesting but I still think may end up best on turf. Small field but one I think will be interesting to watch.

Best Value:Race 7 #1 Portofina - Showed speed against a pretty loaded field in Keeneland two back...totally collapsed late to be fair but maybe a better effort than it appears. I didn't love the ride Kendrick gave her in the last. Made a wild middle move that never works and I thought did enough running to give one more shot at a big price. The inside draw should help and hoping Reylu plays catch me if you can. Ultimately Chocolate Cookie, who can certainly win, ran no better than her last out and drew the 10 while she moves inside...low profile connections for Protofina ensures we should get a nice price.

Good luck.

Thanks. Good luck.

Agreed that Beautiful Memories may just be the best here but I like Lady Lilly as well. I didn’t look super closely at Race 7. I kinda liked your horse and the #3 Sweet Sneak as longshots but decided to avoid maiden races the next couple days.