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#1
08-30-2020, 01:14 PM
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Thanks hoss...
Wagered: $76.00 Returned: $103.90 Best Bet: Race 9 #5 Golden Award - What a great race this Shuvee came up...you could absolutely make a case for any and I've debated several in here...I ultimately want to lean on Golden Award. I've always thought she was really nice and while she really throws up some duds, I like her best races. This is the first time in a while that Mott seems to have her avoiding a need for at least a freshening. Clearly she wasn't ready or up for the Phipps but I felt the Summer Colony showed she is back. I realize Nonna Madeline disposed of her late but I think this has been the target all along and she'll be ready for her best today. Her last work on xbtv was a real eye popper to me...I do think she will have to prove she can rate and it's been a while/she's only done it vs much lesser...I think she's sitting on full go and hasn't shown her absolute best yet. Hoping Nonna Madeline attacks Letruska like she did her in the last and she sits just off/makes first run. Best Value: Race 7 #7 Dancingwthdaffodls - I can actually hardly believe myself for landing on her...I almost dismissed off the perfect trip/weak field for a horse who's shown she doesn't like to win...while the July 30th race has any number of angles for trip handicappers I just think they may all end up overbet. On the other hand a horse who looks like she doesn't want to win or stretch out may go overlooked. I just think she's a different horse since the last layoff...and with a few dirt starts over some subpar turf efforts preceding that she's fairly easy to dismiss. She's ran OK with an improved closing kick since though and seems to be in the best form of her career. While the stretchout might not work I think she has enough speed to find a decent spot maybe in the second flight today...note the 78 Beyer at a mile last Summer (competitive in here) came off the heels of much lesser form. Good luck. 
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#2
09-01-2020, 03:58 PM
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A 2nd place finish from Harris Bay adds $3.20 to the total returns.
Best bets: $60.00 wagered. $30.30 returned. Longshots: $60.00 wagered. $60.30 returned. Total: $120.00 wagered. $90.60 returned. Wednesday September 1. Best bet: Race 6 - #13 - Saratoga Love (9/2 ML). This one is currently listed on the AE list so it's possible that she won't draw into the field. I'll check scratches tomorrow and see. She is by far the fastest horse in the field and should be the early pacesetter, even with the outside post. The expected favorite, Voting Agreement, will have to work out a good trip to be able to catch her and I'm just not sure she is as good as the morning line would indicate. Longshot: Race 9 - #1 Blame the Booze (9/2 ML). I don't know if he even really counts as a longshot but he's the 4th choice in a 6-horse field so let's roll with it. Originally scheduled to run on turf, Blame the Booze's debut was washed off and he won fairly easily in the mud. He's got a tall, strong frame that looks to me like it should take to the turf. Obviously, American Monarch has the Beyer advantage over this field but 7/5 on him is pretty unappealing as he ran only 3 weeks ago and the strength of that field is completely unknown. He finished well after being close to a very slow pace. Blame the Booze, on the other hand, should be forwardly placed with an aggressive ride from Luis Saez and has a very good chance to wire this field, assuming he likes the turf.
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#3
09-02-2020, 11:42 AM
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Best bet: Race 4 - #5 Twelfth Labour (7/2 ML). Longshot: Race 2 - #3 Vinda Machine (20/1 ML).
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#4
09-02-2020, 01:30 PM
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#5
09-02-2020, 01:38 PM
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#6
09-02-2020, 01:57 PM
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Good reasoning, Mo. keep up the good work.
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#7
09-02-2020, 03:42 PM
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Hybrid Mode
