Two at Toga

[moses]

A 2nd place finish from Harris Bay adds $3.20 to the total returns.

Best bets: $60.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $60.00 wagered. $60.30 returned.
Total: $120.00 wagered. $90.60 returned.

Wednesday September 1.

Best bet: Race 6 - #13 - Saratoga Love (9/2 ML). This one is currently listed on the AE list so it's possible that she won't draw into the field. I'll check scratches tomorrow and see. She is by far the fastest horse in the field and should be the early pacesetter, even with the outside post. The expected favorite, Voting Agreement, will have to work out a good trip to be able to catch her and I'm just not sure she is as good as the morning line would indicate.

Longshot: Race 9 - #1 Blame the Booze (9/2 ML). I don't know if he even really counts as a longshot but he's the 4th choice in a 6-horse field so let's roll with it. Originally scheduled to run on turf, Blame the Booze's debut was washed off and he won fairly easily in the mud. He's got a tall, strong frame that looks to me like it should take to the turf. Obviously, American Monarch has the Beyer advantage over this field but 7/5 on him is pretty unappealing as he ran only 3 weeks ago and the strength of that field is completely unknown. He finished well after being close to a very slow pace. Blame the Booze, on the other hand, should be forwardly placed with an aggressive ride from Luis Saez and has a very good chance to wire this field, assuming he likes the turf.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

A 2nd place finish from Harris Bay adds $3.20 to the total returns.

Best bets: $60.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $60.00 wagered. $60.30 returned.
Total: $120.00 wagered. $90.60 returned.

Wednesday September 1.

Best bet: Race 6 - #13 - Saratoga Love (9/2 ML). This one is currently listed on the AE list so it's possible that she won't draw into the field. I'll check scratches tomorrow and see. She is by far the fastest horse in the field and should be the early pacesetter, even with the outside post. The expected favorite, Voting Agreement, will have to work out a good trip to be able to catch her and I'm just not sure she is as good as the morning line would indicate.

Longshot: Race 9 - #1 Blame the Booze (9/2 ML). I don't know if he even really counts as a longshot but he's the 4th choice in a 6-horse field so let's roll with it. Originally scheduled to run on turf, Blame the Booze's debut was washed off and he won fairly easily in the mud. He's got a tall, strong frame that looks to me like it should take to the turf. Obviously, American Monarch has the Beyer advantage over this field but 7/5 on him is pretty unappealing as he ran only 3 weeks ago and the strength of that field is completely unknown. He finished well after being close to a very slow pace. Blame the Booze, on the other hand, should be forwardly placed with an aggressive ride from Luis Saez and has a very good chance to wire this field, assuming he likes the turf.

With the races off the turf, switching the picks up.

Best bet: Race 4 - #5 Twelfth Labour (7/2 ML).
Longshot: Race 2 - #3 Vinda Machine (20/1 ML).

[gamblin4ever]

Originally Posted by moses

With the races off the turf, switching the picks up.

Best bet: Race 4 - #5 Twelfth Labour (7/2 ML).
Longshot: Race 2 - #3 Vinda Machine (20/1 ML).

Very nice hit on your longshot play

[moses]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Very nice hit on your longshot play

Thanks. With the 5 adding blinkers, the 6 looking like the main speed, and aggressive riders like Carmouche and Lezcano on the other horses, I was hoping for a quick pace that allowed the 3 to reel them in. And the 3 had run at least decently on a wet track before. I definitely didn't expect the 1 to still be there but that couldn't have come together any better for me.

[Alabama Stakes]

Good reasoning, Mo. keep up the good work.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Good reasoning, Mo. keep up the good work.

Thanks. I’m kind of amazed at how much better the ROI and overall results are for my longshots vs my best bets. Not so much ROI but my best bets have not done well.

[Alabama Stakes]

Go for 2 Longshots . It makes things much more interesting .

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

With the races off the turf, switching the picks up.

Best bet: Race 4 - #5 Twelfth Labour (7/2 ML).
Longshot: Race 2 - #3 Vinda Machine (20/1 ML).

Great job with Vinda!

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Great job with Vinda!

Thanks. Maybe off the turf will be good and I’ll find another longshot.