Two at Toga

[theguarantee]

^I liked Plot the Dots on the turf too -- certainly has a shot on the dirt I guess but now I much prefer others.

Wagered: $40.00
Returned: $41.70

Best Bet: Race 9 #6 Uni - Hesitated to make best bet because I'm unsure on the price...I think it's really hard to figure out how the three main Chad horses will be bet plus Halladay is an X factor...ultimately based on this exercise I'll trust Aragona's ML as he is much better than I at predicting prices and at 3/1 I'll be excited to bet. I just think she is hands down the best horse in the race and while I wish Joel was aboard we are still in great hands...if she's just not the same at 6 years old then oh well but I think the last can be excused and the most recent work heads up with Newspaperofrecord to me says she's all systems go today.
Best Value: Race 8 #5 Winston's Chance - The scratch of It's All Relevant seems to have most (reasonably enough btw) defaulting the race to Blewitt...I get it but I wonder if Winston's Chance isn't the most likely to benefit from that scratch and at a bit better price. I absolutely detest Sea Foam off as basic a trip as can be received and I don't totally trust Blewitt. I actually think Legit is dangerous but being clumped into the entry/a leap of faith makes that one unbettable. Growth Engine is certainly dangerous but I'm confused (and maybe overthinking) the ship to Monmouth in the last/not thrilled with that field. That all leads me to my choice...if you can draw a line through the first off the layoff may well just be an improved/nice horse for Donk. Seems to appreciate the track/distance and with a favorable pace scenario today might be able to get it done and I certainly like to at least hit the board for exotics.

Good luck everyone.