Two at Toga

[theguarantee]

^lol - I like My Man Flintstone as well today for whatever little that’s worth. Looking forward to seeing Golden Pal run today - needed him to hang on at Ascot for a decent score but still was one of the few profitable races of that meet for me.

I’ll update my record tomorrow. Horrible picks Wednesday and was too busy with work yesterday.

Best Bet Race 9 #7 Kept Waiting - ran too well to lose last out. More worried about Micromillion than Gaelic Gold honestly but hope they both take money as I’d be happy with the 5/2 ML.
BEst Value Race 7 #2 Lady by Choice - Don’t trust the favorites in here and her form is dirtied up certainly off the last trip but the last few rides in general I think have been less than stellar.

[moses]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

^lol - I like My Man Flintstone as well today for whatever little that’s worth. Looking forward to seeing Golden Pal run today - needed him to hang on at Ascot for a decent score but still was one of the few profitable races of that meet for me.

I’ll update my record tomorrow. Horrible picks Wednesday and was too busy with work yesterday.

Best Bet Race 9 #7 Kept Waiting - ran too well to lose last out. More worried about Micromillion than Gaelic Gold honestly but hope they both take money as I’d be happy with the 5/2 ML.
BEst Value Race 7 #2 Lady by Choice - Don’t trust the favorites in here and her form is dirtied up certainly off the last trip but the last few rides in general I think have been less than stellar.

My 2nd best bet would be Kept Waiting...which means it isn’t too late to change your pick! I’m not a huge fan of the ML favorite for race 7 so I was looking to take a shot there but just didn’t have a strong feel on the horses and kinda like #5 Flat Awesome Jenny.

Good luck.

[moses]

I know I had him as my best bet, but even money on the #6 there was pretty ridiculous. He picked up some ground late but it looks like he is not fast enough for 5.5 furlongs.

[moses]

I'm brutally bad at this.

[moses]

Best bets: $32.00 wagered. $11.20 returned.
Longshots: $32.00 wagered. $18.80 returned.
Total: $64.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.

After a nice start, I haven't hit anything since Baffert's Tale of the Union ran 2nd over a week ago now. Yikes!

Best bet. Race 3 - #5 French Reef (4/5 ML). Considering the fact that I haven't picked a single top 2 finisher in a week, I'm going to just go with the horse that I think has the best chance of running top 2 tomorrow. Normally, I'd try to search for a little value...but I've got to do something to end this losing streak. This one is very fast and I don't think the others will be able to keep up. But you may want to bet a few dollars against him, just in case my streak continues.

Longshot. Race 7 - #2 Plot the Dots (8/1 ML). Last time out, Trombetta sent this one into stakes company for his turf debut. Bumped a couple times at the start, he was wide throughout and seemed to run out of gas toward the end of the race. But he'll now get much needed class relief and Rosario can hopefully work out a nice trip for him to close into what looks like a pretty honest pace. He's got that tall, leggy frame that we often see from Uncle Mo progeny and I always like to see that for turf routers. Given that the connections thought highly enough of him to throw him into a stakes race, I think he could be dangerous here.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Best bets: $32.00 wagered. $11.20 returned.
Longshots: $32.00 wagered. $18.80 returned.
Total: $64.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.

After a nice start, I haven't hit anything since Baffert's Tale of the Union ran 2nd over a week ago now. Yikes!

Best bet. Race 3 - #5 French Reef (4/5 ML). Considering the fact that I haven't picked a single top 2 finisher in a week, I'm going to just go with the horse that I think has the best chance of running top 2 tomorrow. Normally, I'd try to search for a little value...but I've got to do something to end this losing streak. This one is very fast and I don't think the others will be able to keep up. But you may want to bet a few dollars against him, just in case my streak continues.

Longshot. Race 7 - #2 Plot the Dots (8/1 ML). Last time out, Trombetta sent this one into stakes company for his turf debut. Bumped a couple times at the start, he was wide throughout and seemed to run out of gas toward the end of the race. But he'll now get much needed class relief and Rosario can hopefully work out a nice trip for him to close into what looks like a pretty honest pace. He's got that tall, leggy frame that we often see from Uncle Mo progeny and I always like to see that for turf routers. Given that the connections thought highly enough of him to throw him into a stakes race, I think he could be dangerous here.

Actually felt pretty good about these picks so it figures that 1-3-5-7 are off the turf. Without comment, I'll switch my picks to:

Best bet. Race 5 - #11 Likeable (4/1 ML)
Longshot. Race 10 - #2 Kid Chocolate (15/1 ML)

[theguarantee]

^I liked Plot the Dots on the turf too -- certainly has a shot on the dirt I guess but now I much prefer others.

Wagered: $40.00
Returned: $41.70

Best Bet: Race 9 #6 Uni - Hesitated to make best bet because I'm unsure on the price...I think it's really hard to figure out how the three main Chad horses will be bet plus Halladay is an X factor...ultimately based on this exercise I'll trust Aragona's ML as he is much better than I at predicting prices and at 3/1 I'll be excited to bet. I just think she is hands down the best horse in the race and while I wish Joel was aboard we are still in great hands...if she's just not the same at 6 years old then oh well but I think the last can be excused and the most recent work heads up with Newspaperofrecord to me says she's all systems go today.
Best Value: Race 8 #5 Winston's Chance - The scratch of It's All Relevant seems to have most (reasonably enough btw) defaulting the race to Blewitt...I get it but I wonder if Winston's Chance isn't the most likely to benefit from that scratch and at a bit better price. I absolutely detest Sea Foam off as basic a trip as can be received and I don't totally trust Blewitt. I actually think Legit is dangerous but being clumped into the entry/a leap of faith makes that one unbettable. Growth Engine is certainly dangerous but I'm confused (and maybe overthinking) the ship to Monmouth in the last/not thrilled with that field. That all leads me to my choice...if you can draw a line through the first off the layoff may well just be an improved/nice horse for Donk. Seems to appreciate the track/distance and with a favorable pace scenario today might be able to get it done and I certainly like to at least hit the board for exotics.

Good luck everyone.