WED - Gulfstream Park (R1-R5 PK5/PK4)

[Bogey]

Gulfstream Park

POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R1 - Md 20k (Turf 8F)

#1 South Pointe Drive (6-1) 2ND
#9 Fine Spirit (4-1)
#6 Trump's Kitten (10-1) 4TH
#4 Good Solution (3-1) WON $5.60

R2 - Clm 12.5k

#5 Starship Apollo (5-2) 2ND
#1 Mr Atila (9-5) 3RD
#4 Drop Kick (6-1) 4TH

R3 - Clm 12.5k

#6 Jamaican (3-1) 4TH
#4 Summer Spice (12-1) 2ND
#2 Wild Scat Blue (9-2)
#1 Bad Student (7-2)

R4 - Clm 16k (Turf 5F)

#4 Pango (4-1) 4TH
#3 Sleeping Giant (3-1)
#7 Tenacity Zip (10-1) WON 12.80
#1 Black Jet (5-2) 3RD

R5 - Clm 6.25k

#5 Midnight Miracle (7-2) 4TH
#9 Trappe Me Later (20-1) 3RD
#4 Pocket of Candy (2-1) WON $4.20
#2 Tiz Possible Dear (5-2) 2ND

PK5 - 1 4 6 8 9 / 1 3 5 / 1 2 4 6 / 3 4 / 5 = $60

PK4 - 1 3 5 / 1 2 4 6 / 3 4 / 4 5 9 = $36

Good Racing Luck

[moses]

Good luck Gus.

Looking at the rest of the card, I see some value available in Race 6. The #6 Sturgeon is listed as the 2-1 ML favorite and gets Irad aboard so I think we’ll see some money on him. He has been claimed 5 times since August and enters the Delgado barn who wins 29% of races immediately after the claim. But I’m against him as I think this field is very, very close and look at some of the others at higher odds.

The #7 Joyful Heart gets some class relief and first time reporting as a gelding. This horse only has 1 win in 11 starts but finished 3rd behind Opry and Somelikeithotbrown in the G3 With Anticipation after setting the pace and has losses to A Thread of Blue, English Bee, and Bulletin...so I’m not going to hold his record against him. His recent works have been very nice. He’s listed at 10-1.

The #3 Kantharos’ Image started slow and then looked like he was shot out of a cannon, splitting horses down the stretch on his 1st off the layoff last time out. He’s listed at 8-1.

And of course there’s the #4 Zorb who has never run on grass but who has flashed enough early speed and has enough turf pedigree where it wouldn’t be a total shock if he ran well. Looks like the connections had previously tried to get him on the turf. He’s listed at 10-1.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by moses

Good luck Gus.

Looking at the rest of the card, I see some value available in Race 6. The #6 Sturgeon is listed as the 2-1 ML favorite and gets Irad aboard so I think we’ll see some money on him. He has been claimed 5 times since August and enters the Delgado barn who wins 29% of races immediately after the claim. But I’m against him as I think this field is very, very close and look at some of the others at higher odds.

The #7 Joyful Heart gets some class relief and first time reporting as a gelding. This horse only has 1 win in 11 starts but finished 3rd behind Opry and Somelikeithotbrown in the G3 With Anticipation after setting the pace and has losses to A Thread of Blue, English Bee, and Bulletin...so I’m not going to hold his record against him. His recent works have been very nice. He’s listed at 10-1.

The #3 Kantharos’ Image started slow and then looked like he was shot out of a cannon, splitting horses down the stretch on his 1st off the layoff last time out. He’s listed at 8-1.

And of course there’s the #4 Zorb who has never run on grass but who has flashed enough early speed and has enough turf pedigree where it wouldn’t be a total shock if he ran well. Looks like the connections had previously tried to get him on the turf. He’s listed at 10-1.

Nice analysis. Good luck Moses. #3 Kantharos' Image figures to sit a nice stalk and pounce trip.

[moses]

Feeling like gambling so I’m going to try for the Pick 3 here.

$1 1,3,4 / 5 / 3,4,7

[moses]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Nice analysis. Good luck Moses. #3 Kantharos' Image figures to sit a nice stalk and pounce trip.

I think this will be a tougher bunch here...but he should definitely have plenty of pace to close on. Could be really nice value.

[moses]

Gus - you’ve been nailing some of these nice running longshots. Summer spice went off 20-1 and finished 2nd. Tenacity Zip was bet down from 10-1 to 5-1 and won. Trappe Me Later just went off at 80-1 and ran 3rd.

[moses]

Going to end up betting Zorb and will probably regret it as he looks a little more like a router than a sprinter to me...but 8 of his 9 starts are under a mile and I’m just hoping he likes the grass. 10-1? Let’s roll the dice.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by moses

Gus - you’ve been nailing some of these nice running longshots. Summer spice went off 20-1 and finished 2nd. Tenacity Zip was bet down from 10-1 to 5-1 and won. Trappe Me Later just went off at 80-1 and ran 3rd.

Thanks, Moses - couldn't connect the dots, but there's plenty of value with these deep fields.