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Old 08-26-2018, 05:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 8/26: Saratoga (Day 33; Smart N Fancy)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Niko Strong 2-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Espresso Caliente 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Fixit 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Can'tweallgetalong 9-2 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Rotate 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Speedy Solution 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Blahnik 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Miss Rombauer 5-2 5th


3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Wingman 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Acoustic 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Parauari 6-5 3rd
Super Add: #3 Zorzor 5-2 5th


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Maho Bay 2-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Leah's Dream 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Curiousncuriouser 7-2 WON ($7.60)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

KMc looks to have Godolphin's regally bred Enliven (Ghostzapper/It's Tricky) ready at first asking..

Most Likely: #8 Enliven 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Angelia 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Into the South 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Carolina Beach 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
2: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
4: 7 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
5: 4/SCR-8 (A), 3 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

2: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
4: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 5-6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Three Perfections 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Dr. Edgar 2-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lunaire 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Via Egnatia 3-1 5th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Jody's Song 9-2 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #11 Chestnut Street 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Myhartblongstodady 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Miss Jen 10-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Carlino 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #6 Proven Reserves 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Krewe Chief 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Souper Tapit 7-2 2nd


9th: Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Chanteline 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #5 Tillie's Lily 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Faypien 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Just Talkin 6-1 7th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #9 Time Expired 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 American Ninja 8-1 WON ($21.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Spa Jazz 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Joe's Smokin Gun 5-2 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
7: 3-11 (A), 7 (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), 6-8-9-12 (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 NYRA Bets Late P5 (1/3/1/3/3) Paid $6,582.75 (C-A-A-A-A ~ $212 Play)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 8-12 (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/1/3/3) Paid $1,201.25


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-26-2018 at 05:37 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-26-2018, 05:26 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Three Perfections 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Dr. Edgar 2-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lunaire 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Via Egnatia 3-1 5th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Jody's Song 9-2 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #11 Chestnut Street 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Myhartblongstodady 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Miss Jen 10-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Carlino 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #6 Proven Reserves 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Krewe Chief 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Souper Tapit 7-2 2nd


9th: Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Chanteline 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #5 Tillie's Lily 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Faypien 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Just Talkin 6-1 7th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #9 Time Expired 15-1
Next Best: #3 American Ninja 8-1
Exotics Use: #2 Spa Jazz 5-1
Super Add: #8 Joe's Smokin Gun 5-2


P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
7: 3-11 (A), 7 (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), 6-8-9-12 (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 8-12 (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
Steve, awesome job
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-26-2018 at 06:00 PM.
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  #3  
Old 08-26-2018, 05:30 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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Wow. All "A" pick 4 that pays boxcars.
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  #4  
Old 08-26-2018, 05:33 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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And a $532 exacta as a kicker.
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  #5  
Old 08-26-2018, 05:59 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Steve, awesome job
THX Gus! Pretty funny. The quiet Sunday yields what the noisy Saturday didn't. Hope you had a great weekend.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 08-26-2018, 06:00 PM
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Wow; amazing job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always
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  #7  
Old 08-26-2018, 06:11 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Great job Steve!
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Old 08-26-2018, 06:51 PM
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Great job Steve.
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Old 08-26-2018, 06:52 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
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awesome work Steve!
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Old 08-26-2018, 07:00 PM
degenerate5 degenerate5 is offline
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NICE!
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  #11  
Old 08-26-2018, 08:16 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Larry, Jim, Moishe, Billy, DG..

Thanks. An awesome day with a huge Loose on the Lead Travers recap show, our son Zack getting engaged this morning and then celebrating with the fiancee and her folks at the track. Even the DQ couldn’t dampen the spirits. Hope everyone did great and had as pleasant a weekend!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 08-26-2018, 08:18 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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$69k C/O MONDAY!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 08-26-2018, 08:37 PM
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ninetoone ninetoone is offline
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Nice job Steve.
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  #14  
Old 08-26-2018, 09:10 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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Default steve? with all due respect

I follow your a b picks and play them often
I just cant figure as to when to play the c plays and further what race to play therm in
looking at your plays you didn't play the c anywhere but yet you put it down here as a hit
again im not trying to make a bad thing out of it im just trying to understand when to play a [c] thank you
and nice hits im happy for you to have a day like his
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  #15  
Old 08-27-2018, 05:09 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside View Post
I follow your a b picks and play them often
I just cant figure as to when to play the c plays and further what race to play them in looking at your plays
My simplified/abbreviated display of the Steve Crist A-B-C-X method offers wagering suggestions based on your budget.. All A plays are for small budgets; A-B's for medium budgets; Full A-B-C for large budgets.

I simply don't have time between getting off the air at noon Mon-Fri (and 11:15 or so Sundays with TV) to make the SCR adjustments to the selections, adjust the Pick-X grids AND lay out the 12-18 wagers involved in daily A-B-C plays on 4 and sometimes 5 P4-P5-P6's. It's impossible.

If you want to keep it simple, bet the A-B play and then the C's with the A's. It's not the exact Crist methodology, but it's still more efficient than a 'caveman' ticket.

P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
7: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 8-12 (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Bet #1: 1-4-6-7 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72)
Bet #2: 3-8 with 4-8-13 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #3: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 4-5 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #4: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 8-12 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #5: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 5-6-8 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)

Again, the A-B-C method: https://www.drf.com/news/abcs-multi-race-betting
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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