8/26: Saratoga (Day 33; Smart N Fancy)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Niko Strong 2-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Espresso Caliente 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Fixit 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Can'tweallgetalong 9-2 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Rotate 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Speedy Solution 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #1 Blahnik 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Miss Rombauer 5-2 5th


3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Wingman 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Acoustic 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Parauari 6-5 3rd
Super Add: #3 Zorzor 5-2 5th


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Maho Bay 2-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Leah's Dream 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Curiousncuriouser 7-2 WON ($7.60)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

KMc looks to have Godolphin's regally bred Enliven (Ghostzapper/It's Tricky) ready at first asking..

Most Likely: #8 Enliven 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Angelia 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Into the South 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Carolina Beach 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
2: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
4: 7 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
5: 4/SCR-8 (A), 3 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

2: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 1-3-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
4: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 5-6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Three Perfections 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Dr. Edgar 2-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lunaire 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Via Egnatia 3-1 5th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Jody's Song 9-2 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #11 Chestnut Street 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Myhartblongstodady 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Miss Jen 10-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Carlino 4-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #6 Proven Reserves 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Krewe Chief 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Souper Tapit 7-2 2nd


9th: Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Chanteline 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #5 Tillie's Lily 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Faypien 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Just Talkin 6-1 7th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #9 Time Expired 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 American Ninja 8-1 WON ($21.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Spa Jazz 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Joe's Smokin Gun 5-2 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
7: 3-11 (A), 7 (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), - (B), 6-8-9-12 (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 NYRA Bets Late P5 (1/3/1/3/3) Paid $6,582.75 (C-A-A-A-A ~ $212 Play)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 8-12 (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/1/3/3) Paid $1,201.25


Good luck!
Steve

Steve, awesome job

Wow. All "A" pick 4 that pays boxcars.

And a $532 exacta as a kicker.

THX Gus! Pretty funny. The quiet Sunday yields what the noisy Saturday didn't. Hope you had a great weekend.

Wow; amazing job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always:tro::$:

Great job Steve!:tro::$:

Great job Steve.

awesome work Steve!

NICE!:$::$:

Larry, Jim, Moishe, Billy, DG..

Thanks. An awesome day with a huge Loose on the Lead Travers recap show, our son Zack getting engaged this morning and then celebrating with the fiancee and her folks at the track. Even the DQ couldn’t dampen the spirits. Hope everyone did great and had as pleasant a weekend!

$69k C/O MONDAY! :$:

Nice job Steve.

steve? with all due respect
 

I follow your a b picks and play them often
I just cant figure as to when to play the c plays and further what race to play therm in
looking at your plays you didn't play the c anywhere but yet you put it down here as a hit
again im not trying to make a bad thing out of it im just trying to understand when to play a [c] thank you
and nice hits im happy for you to have a day like his

My simplified/abbreviated display of the Steve Crist A-B-C-X method offers wagering suggestions based on your budget.. All A plays are for small budgets; A-B's for medium budgets; Full A-B-C for large budgets.

I simply don't have time between getting off the air at noon Mon-Fri (and 11:15 or so Sundays with TV) to make the SCR adjustments to the selections, adjust the Pick-X grids AND lay out the 12-18 wagers involved in daily A-B-C plays on 4 and sometimes 5 P4-P5-P6's. It's impossible.

If you want to keep it simple, bet the A-B play and then the C's with the A's. It's not the exact Crist methodology, but it's still more efficient than a 'caveman' ticket.

P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
7: 3-7-11 (A), - (B), 4-8-13 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 8-12 (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)

Bet #1: 1-4-6-7 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72)
Bet #2: 3-8 with 4-8-13 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #3: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 4-5 with 3-5 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #4: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 8-12 with 2-3-9 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)
Bet #5: 3-8 with 3-7-11 with 1-6 with 3-5 with 5-6-8 (2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36)

Again, the A-B-C method: https://www.drf.com/news/abcs-multi-race-betting