Churchill Downs Saturday May 6th

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by jms62

I got a feeling Thunder Snow is going to bounce back and run big at a huge overlay. Belmont spoiler?

Incredibly disappointing Derby 2017 for me since my key horse lasted about 50 yards this year.

Might have gotten a couple of feet farther than Looking at Lucky from the rail ... amazingly, Looking at Lee managed to work the rail into the money.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by ScottJ

Incredibly disappointing Derby 2017 for me since my key horse lasted about 50 yards this year.

Might have gotten a couple of feet farther than Looking at Lucky from the rail ... amazingly, Looking at Lee managed to work the rail into the money.

What do you thing happened ? I was wondering if he didnt like the mud which surely was much colder than any mud he was on. I was very relieved it wasnt because of a breakdown.

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by jms62

What do you thing happened ? I was wondering if he didnt like the mud which surely was much colder than any mud he was on. I was very relieved it wasnt because of a breakdown.

Same here...when I saw TS bucking, I thought maybe he cracked his head into the gate...hope he is alright.

We should have known that Lanerie would ride the rail and save all the ground, nice finish, maybe Lee will get the 1 hole for the Belmont

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by jms62

What do you thing happened ? I was wondering if he didnt like the mud which surely was much colder than any mud he was on. I was very relieved it wasnt because of a breakdown.

Pouring over news articles today, there was some speculation that the girth/saddle had slipped. I have watched the replay several times and the number of frames with Thunder Snow was obviously limited.

The overhead shows that Thunder Snow broke with the field and suddenly started bucking when pinching up between horses. I thought perhaps that Looking at Lee squeezed in to beat the upcoming running rail, but it was hard to tell.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by jms62

What do you thing happened ? I was wondering if he didnt like the mud which surely was much colder than any mud he was on. I was very relieved it wasnt because of a breakdown.

It was 25 degrees Celsius that day and hadn't been raining during the card. I always thought that the "muddy" track condition was dubious.