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  #1  
Old 11-07-2016, 06:41 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
You guys are a lot more optimistic about the election than I am. I think Hillary will win. I don't think she is a sure thing. The IDP poll gives me some hope. They have been the most accurate poll in the last few elections and they have Trump up by 2%. But even if Trump squeaks out a victory in the popular vote, I'm not particularly optimistic about him winning the election. As I have posted before, I think there is plenty of voter fraud out there. That gives Hillary a big edge in a close election.

I know you guys have said that the polls are overrepresented with democrats, but hasn't that been the case in past elections too? In the past few elections, the polls have turned out to be pretty accurate.
These polls have been overweighted because there are, traditionally, more Democrats than Republicans. The past two elections were even more heavily weighted because of the Obama enthusiasm among the African American community, who traditionally have not gone out to vote in the same numbers as whites. They never adjusted these back down, so she has always been showing higher.

Problem - They overplayed their hand in the early voting (EV) states as her turnout has been anemic relative to Republican support. Florida's Dem EV, for instance, is alarmingly much lower than they had expected, and she now needs an Obama-like turnout on tomorrow to carry the state. Nate Sliver has all but given FL to Trump.

The same scenario has played out in NC which has been a solid Left/Leaning Left state until EV closed, it is now a toss up/leaning Right state. CO and NV are in the same boat. She is in serious danger of losing MI and PA, and has unscheduled events there in a desperate attempt to shore up her support.

There is full out panic in the campaign. You can see it in Robbie Mook's face as he is being interviewed today. They know there is no way they are going to get the turnout they need to win AZ, OH, FL, NC. They are struggling to hold leaning left states of NH, NV, CO, MI and, if EV turnout is any indication, will lose all 4.

I didn't think I'd be as confident the evening before ED, but I don't have much doubt about President Trump Wednesday morning.
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  #2  
Old 11-07-2016, 07:53 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Report: Team Hillary surrendering OH, FL, NC

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016...orth-carolina/

Question - would Hillary, Bill, Michelle, POTUS, Springsteen, and Bon Jovi ALL be in Philly tonight because it's a slam dunk? I didn't think so either.

Internal polling suggest that there is strong Trump support *Especially Among Women* in the Philly burbs. I did not think PA was in play but looking at the fire power being deployed in the 11th hour by the HRC campaign, it's pretty apparent they are sh1tting themselves.
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  #3  
Old 11-07-2016, 08:52 PM
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...looking at the fire power being deployed in the 11th hour by the HRC campaign, it's pretty apparent they are sh1tting themselves.

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Old 11-08-2016, 09:04 PM
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MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
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  #5  
Old 11-08-2016, 09:33 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Locked in on CNN for the pure schadenfreude of it all. She needs Obama-like numbers in Detroit and she is nowhere near that.
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  #6  
Old 11-08-2016, 09:47 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Wolf Blitzer just came in his pants because CNN called VA for Clinton. An hour after everybody else did.
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  #7  
Old 11-08-2016, 09:49 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Literally just asked John King "What's HER path to 270"? LOL
NC just called, NYT just called FL.
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  #8  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:36 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Delusional? Yes, about as delusional as Nostradamus.
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  #9  
Old 11-09-2016, 09:41 AM
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Delusional? Yes, about as delusional as Nostradamus.
Just have to get on with it, don't we? I'd like to sack the person who was in charge of rigging the system though. Piss poor job. ;-)

Congratulations Trump

My work here is done

Cheers.
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  #10  
Old 11-09-2016, 09:45 AM
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https://twitter.com/katyperry

This is what some are calling virtual minstrel show. Tainted. Useless person.
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  #11  
Old 11-09-2016, 10:27 AM
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Andrea Mitchell looks as thought she's at a funeral...


and I guess she is.
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  #12  
Old 11-08-2016, 10:57 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
These polls have been overweighted because there are, traditionally, more Democrats than Republicans. The past two elections were even more heavily weighted because of the Obama enthusiasm among the African American community, who traditionally have not gone out to vote in the same numbers as whites. They never adjusted these back down, so she has always been showing higher.

Problem - They overplayed their hand in the early voting (EV) states as her turnout has been anemic relative to Republican support. Florida's Dem EV, for instance, is alarmingly much lower than they had expected, and she now needs an Obama-like turnout on tomorrow to carry the state. Nate Sliver has all but given FL to Trump.

The same scenario has played out in NC which has been a solid Left/Leaning Left state until EV closed, it is now a toss up/leaning Right state. CO and NV are in the same boat. She is in serious danger of losing MI and PA, and has unscheduled events there in a desperate attempt to shore up her support.

There is full out panic in the campaign. You can see it in Robbie Mook's face as he is being interviewed today. They know there is no way they are going to get the turnout they need to win AZ, OH, FL, NC. They are struggling to hold leaning left states of NH, NV, CO, MI and, if EV turnout is any indication, will lose all 4.

I didn't think I'd be as confident the evening before ED, but I don't have much doubt about President Trump Wednesday morning.
As of right now, it looks like you made an amazing call!
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  #13  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:07 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
As of right now, it looks like you made an amazing call!
Learned my lesson from Brexit. Everything ounce of equities I had as of last Friday, is in cash, gold and VIX.

Wednesday is going to be a good day. plus President Trump with a majority house and senate, and medical marijuana in FL.

2017 is going to kick ass.
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  #14  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Learned my lesson from Brexit. Everything ounce of equities I had as of last Friday, is in cash, gold and VIX.

Wednesday is going to be a good day. plus President Trump with a majority house and senate, and medical marijuana in FL.

2017 is going to kick ass.
'memba when I got heat for GOLD?

L U L Z



THE GREAT TRIGGERING OF OUR TIME IS UPON US!
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  #15  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:28 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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'memba when I got heat for GOLD?

L U L Z



THE GREAT TRIGGERING OF OUR TIME IS UPON US!
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  #16  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:34 PM
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https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/s...10935207698432

I'm happy for that patriot ^^
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  #17  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:42 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Watching Megyn Kelly trying to hold it together is even better.
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  #18  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:46 PM
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Me-Again Kelly chose obvious daddy issues over professionalism.

The end.
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  #19  
Old 11-08-2016, 11:27 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Watching Wolf Blitzer, Dana Bash, and Jake Tapper trying to work through complete disillusionment and demoralization is worth everything right now.
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  #20  
Old 11-09-2016, 12:57 PM
kp319 kp319 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
These polls have been overweighted because there are, traditionally, more Democrats than Republicans. The past two elections were even more heavily weighted because of the Obama enthusiasm among the African American community, who traditionally have not gone out to vote in the same numbers as whites. They never adjusted these back down, so she has always been showing higher.

Problem - They overplayed their hand in the early voting (EV) states as her turnout has been anemic relative to Republican support. Florida's Dem EV, for instance, is alarmingly much lower than they had expected, and she now needs an Obama-like turnout on tomorrow to carry the state. Nate Sliver has all but given FL to Trump.

The same scenario has played out in NC which has been a solid Left/Leaning Left state until EV closed, it is now a toss up/leaning Right state. CO and NV are in the same boat. She is in serious danger of losing MI and PA, and has unscheduled events there in a desperate attempt to shore up her support.

There is full out panic in the campaign. You can see it in Robbie Mook's face as he is being interviewed today. They know there is no way they are going to get the turnout they need to win AZ, OH, FL, NC. They are struggling to hold leaning left states of NH, NV, CO, MI and, if EV turnout is any indication, will lose all 4.

I didn't think I'd be as confident the evening before ED, but I don't have much doubt about President Trump Wednesday morning.
I lost a bet on this election, a steak dinner at Peter Lugers in Brooklyn Hats off to you for outperforming every big time pollster around. I hope your horsebets go as well in 2017.
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