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  #1  
Old 06-02-2015, 09:38 AM
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FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Neither Mohammed JC or the Dalai Lama could get him past 10f's
lol. you my friend are in for a BIG susrprise
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  #2  
Old 06-02-2015, 10:45 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
lol. you my friend are in for a BIG susrprise
I am wrong all the time it never surprises me when I am wrong it surprises me when I am right. I still think AP airs.. I am guess 8 to 10 lengths will be margin of victory. Pretty sure Keen Ice will clunk up for 2nd he is OK
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  #3  
Old 06-02-2015, 11:45 AM
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FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
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IF AP wins, he is 3 yr old champ and horse of the year, and will NEVER race again, they will retire him, it would be over and done, and the rest of the year will suck, IF he loses, we get to see him race again, against the the best 3 and 4 yr olds that are racing, I would rather he lose and continue to race and prove how great he could or could not be, and make HOY a real horserace........
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  #4  
Old 06-02-2015, 01:44 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
IF AP wins, he is 3 yr old champ and horse of the year, and will NEVER race again, they will retire him, it would be over and done, and the rest of the year will suck, IF he loses, we get to see him race again, against the the best 3 and 4 yr olds that are racing, I would rather he lose and continue to race and prove how great he could or could not be, and make HOY a real horserace........
If he wins this it will be 5 wins in 12 weeks. What more do you want him to prove?
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  #5  
Old 06-02-2015, 10:04 PM
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dalakhani dalakhani is offline
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Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
If he wins this it will be 5 wins in 12 weeks. What more do you want him to prove?
A win against open company would be nice.
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  #6  
Old 06-03-2015, 05:44 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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A win against open company would be nice.
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  #7  
Old 06-04-2015, 02:17 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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A win against open company would be nice.
But can he do it on a rainy day in Russia?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=13qrK5ZQnXc
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  #8  
Old 06-02-2015, 01:50 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
IF AP wins, he is 3 yr old champ and horse of the year, and will NEVER race again, they will retire him, it would be over and done, and the rest of the year will suck, IF he loses, we get to see him race again, against the the best 3 and 4 yr olds that are racing, I would rather he lose and continue to race and prove how great he could or could not be, and make HOY a real horserace........

so, whether he ever races again or not, depends on how he does in the Belmont???....yeah, sure

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  #9  
Old 06-02-2015, 02:26 PM
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so, whether he ever races again or not, depends on how he does in the Belmont???....yeah, sure

I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
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  #10  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:09 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
I'm in.
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  #11  
Old 11-01-2015, 04:41 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I'm in.
I'm glad you didn't pursue it!
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  #12  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:28 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
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  #13  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:42 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
You are exactly right. I highly doubt there was a clause in the contract stating that Zayat must retire the horse after the Belmont. If the horse comes out of the race in good shape, he will definitely continue to run this year.
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  #14  
Old 06-03-2015, 08:59 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
Dubai World Cup?
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  #15  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:56 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
How much exposure are you willing to take on that????
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  #16  
Old 06-03-2015, 12:22 AM
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hmmm, if BTWind and Rupert are both suggesting I'm wrong, I have to reconsider. And I hadn't seen that there were more incentives beyond the Belmont, as freddymo pointed out.

But I'd still risk 600, to answer IC. PM if interested.

I think people generally underestimate all the things that can go wrong even when an owner wants to make it to a given race. If AP wins the TC, a bad sneeze would send him into retirement.
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  #17  
Old 06-02-2015, 04:56 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
No, I think they will run him ( if healthy ) until at least the end of the year and the BCC - regardless of the Belmont results
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