Thoro-Graph year-end free data promo & Q/A thread

[golfer]

Originally Posted by senator L

I'll be betting Clearbrook. Just like the way she runs.
Doesn't seem like it is coming up too tough and the 4 and 12
will be over bet imo though the 12 will be one to beat.
Looks like a who ever can run a "3" should get the job done.
Am I right in reading Clement is only at 4% with 5 years old and up
between nov and jan - that means running a new best

Correct, but that 4% is only getting them to run new tops. He gets pairs 43%, and wins at a 21% rate. So there is a good chance Tabreed won't run better than a 5, BUT, with a ground saving trip, who's to say a 5 can't win? The key thing to remember is the horse who gets the best figure does NOT always win. Due to ground loss, weight carried, and other assorted issues.
By the way, Clearbrook's top of 4.75 is basically the same. Even TG doesn't guarantee their figures to a .25 point accuracy. Which is not to say I don't think Clearbrook will win, I actually haven't handicapped the race yet.

In fact, I'd love for Thorograph to do a study on how often the horse that gets the best fig in a race actually wins?