Horse of the Year prediction thread

[Seattleallstar]

Whichever between the trio of SB, CC wins the BC Classic. That will be my choice for horse of the year. I was thinking of Tonalist, but if I were to consider him if he wins the BC Classic, I also would have to be fair to Bayern who I don't think should be horse of the year if he wins BC Classic, but he definitely has to be given consideration

[NTamm1215]

Pretty amazing there's a good chance this will be the first time since 2007 that the HOTY will be the BC Classic winner.

[casp0555]

I agree with IC....Shared Belief or Chrome. Concerns are how much the AA took out of SB and if Chrome can run back close to his TC form before the Belmont.
Wise Dan is a sentimental fav of course...

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Pretty amazing there's a good chance this will be the first time since 2007 that the HOTY will be the BC Classic winner.

If Close Hatches wins the Spinster and the Distaff and her record is perfect for the year (5 G1s and a G3), would you say it's likely that she'll win HOY ONLY IF some longshot jumps up and takes the Classic?

I have only followed the sport since 2004 but I don't remember it ever being so wide open (all year I was kinda hoping for Palace Malice, but alas...)

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

If Close Hatches wins the Spinster and the Distaff and her record is perfect for the year (5 G1s and a G3), would you say it's likely that she'll win HOY ONLY IF some longshot jumps up and takes the Classic?

I have only followed the sport since 2004 but I don't remember it ever being so wide open (all year I was kinda hoping for Palace Malice, but alas...)

You know he is un-retired right?

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by Arletta

You know he is un-retired right?

Yes.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

If Close Hatches wins the Spinster and the Distaff and her record is perfect for the year (5 G1s and a G3), would you say it's likely that she'll win HOY ONLY IF some longshot jumps up and takes the Classic?

I have only followed the sport since 2004 but I don't remember it ever being so wide open (all year I was kinda hoping for Palace Malice, but alas...)

Yes. But, Close Hatches' resume will be tremendous with wins in the Spinster and Distaff.

I will say that if a longshot wins the BCC, and Close Hatches and Wise Dan both win out, there's no question in my mind she is far more deserving than him.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Yes. But, Close Hatches' resume will be tremendous with wins in the Spinster and Distaff.

I will say that if a longshot wins the BCC, and Close Hatches and Wise Dan both win out, there's no question in my mind she is far more deserving than him.

There is no way Wise Dan can win right, his record this year is well...........kinda weak.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

There is no way Wise Dan can win right, his record this year is well...........kinda weak.

I dont think he can win. I dont care if he wins his next two starts.
With Kingman out now the Mile looks soft anyway, unless there is another Euro monster that I dont know about. I guess if they ran Wise Dan in the Classic and he won, that would be a different story.

[King Glorious]

Shared Belief on both accounts.

[Bogey]

It's Shared Belief's to lose at this point, but Tonalist has an outside shot.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Bogey

It's Shared Belief's to lose at this point, but Tonalist has an outside shot.

How is it not Bayern, Shared Belief, Tonalist or Chromes to lose?? If any of them win the Classic they should be HOY.

[Indian Charlie]

Bayern ain't winning the classic, and even if he miraculously did, it would still be a stretch for him to win HOY.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Yes. But, Close Hatches' resume will be tremendous with wins in the Spinster and Distaff.

I will say that if a longshot wins the BCC, and Close Hatches and Wise Dan both win out, there's no question in my mind she is far more deserving than him.

I would love to see Wise Dan win it for a third time but yeah I do agree. Don't think it's going to happen.

Gotta say I'm a little baffled by some of the Shared Belief comments. Don't get me wrong, he is amazing, but I don't see how he is more deserving than say California Chrome.

4 wins from 4 starts, including one allowance race, the Los Al Derby and sure... 2 G1s wins. All were at Cali tracks.

Compare this to CC...7 starts, 5 wins of which 3 were G1s... ran at Churchill, Belmont, Parx, Pimlico and at home... how is SB more deserving?

Maybe it's me...

[cal828]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

I would love to see Wise Dan win it for a third time but yeah I do agree. Don't think it's going to happen.

Gotta say I'm a little baffled by some of the Shared Belief comments. Don't get me wrong, he is amazing, but I don't see how he is more deserving than say California Chrome.

4 wins from 4 starts, including one allowance race, the Los Al Derby and sure... 2 G1s wins. All were at Cali tracks.

Compare this to CC...7 starts, 5 wins of which 3 were G1s... ran at Churchill, Belmont, Parx, Pimlico and at home... how is SB more deserving?

Maybe it's me...

Not that I know much about it, but I got the impression in the past that the big consideration was G-1s at the classic distance of a mile and a quarter or greater. I think that Tonalist, Shared Belief and CC all have 2 each now.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by cal828

Not that I know much about it, but I got the impression in the past that the big consideration was G-1s at the classic distance of a mile and a quarter or greater. I think that Tonalist, Shared Belief and CC all have 2 each now.

SB only has the Del Mar race for the classic distance wins.

Though, obviously if he wins the BCC, that will make it two.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

SB only has the Del Mar race for the classic distance wins.

Though, obviously if he wins the BCC, that will make it two.

Yes, I was mistaken. I just looked at that.

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

Yes. But, Close Hatches' resume will be tremendous with wins in the Spinster and Distaff.

I will say that if a longshot wins the BCC, and Close Hatches and Wise Dan both win out, there's no question in my mind she is far more deserving than him.

Untappable wins the Distaff Close Hatches is a fraud she has not run a fast race ever. IF Beholder doesnt run loose Untappable will crush these hacks

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

I would love to see Wise Dan win it for a third time but yeah I do agree. Don't think it's going to happen.

Gotta say I'm a little baffled by some of the Shared Belief comments. Don't get me wrong, he is amazing, but I don't see how he is more deserving than say California Chrome.

4 wins from 4 starts, including one allowance race, the Los Al Derby and sure... 2 G1s wins. All were at Cali tracks.

Compare this to CC...7 starts, 5 wins of which 3 were G1s... ran at Churchill, Belmont, Parx, Pimlico and at home... how is SB more deserving?

Maybe it's me...

Cal Chrome will be eating sushi in Japan before he wins another race

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by freddymo

Cal Chrome will be eating sushi in Japan before he wins another race

Why thank you, Freddy, for the charming and astonishingly kind thought.

Any predictions on HOY or would you rather predict what kind (of sushi) will be his favorite?