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  #1  
Old 09-23-2013, 05:51 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Plus $170 yesterday. Minus $60 total.

Chargers plus 3....$110/100
Chargers plus 125 money line $100/125
Ravens plus 1.5.....$220/200
Rams plus 3.5......$220/200
Cardinals plus 7.5.....$220/200
Redskins pick....$220/200
Packers minus 3....$110/100
I look at betting football like trying to show a profit betting odds on favorites at the track. A very difficult task indeed. Maybe you will come to that conclusion before you dig yourself too deep a hole.
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  #2  
Old 09-26-2013, 05:28 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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I look at betting football like trying to show a profit betting odds on favorites at the track. A very difficult task indeed. Maybe you will come to that conclusion before you dig yourself too deep a hole.
Im going to show a profit. I have $2000 limit. I will profit. I was almost done after 3 games. 2 games sunday ended on last minute plays to go the other way. Then I was so disgusted I never even played Miami at 4. Ill show a profit.
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  #3  
Old 09-26-2013, 05:32 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220
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  #4  
Old 09-26-2013, 07:17 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220
I have literally waited 2 years for Logan Thomas to start a game like this. I just hope he keeps it up.
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  #5  
Old 09-26-2013, 10:13 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Posts: 11,208
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Minus $540 going into tonight.

Rams plus 3.5, $220/200
Rams moneyline plus 160.....$100/160

Virgina Tech plus 7.5, $330/300
Virginia Tech moneyline plus 220.....$100/220

St Louis is HORRIBLE.

Plus $200 for the night, Minus $340 total.
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  #6  
Old 09-26-2013, 07:08 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Im going to show a profit. I have $2000 limit. I will profit. I was almost done after 3 games. 2 games sunday ended on last minute plays to go the other way. Then I was so disgusted I never even played Miami at 4. Ill show a profit.
if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?
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  #7  
Old 09-26-2013, 07:18 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
if your bankroll is $2000, why are you regularly risking 25% and more in a single day?

even if there was some basis for your confidence that you can bet profitably, the % of bankroll risked is essentially leaving everything to chance.

I don't know what kind of edge you imagine you have but even if it's as high as being able to win 60% (which would be laughable) you risk going broke before that edge could be asserted over the long run.

you've got more than 15% of your bankroll in a single game tonight. and then more than 10% in a second game. who in their right mind bets like that?
I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.
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  #8  
Old 09-27-2013, 01:22 PM
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Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.
Just keep em coming
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  #9  
Old 09-27-2013, 01:29 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
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Location: USA
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I do. Its my style. Fast and out of control. Ill show a profit. I am confident in my system. I use donbest.com to track line movement, I stay against the public 75% of the time, at least. Im staying away from totals. I have a trend of losing totals and now Im finished with them. Ill be fine, Ill profit.
I believe in you.
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  #10  
Old 09-28-2013, 09:34 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
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Minus $340 total.......


LSU plus 3.5, $220/200
Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200
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  #11  
Old 09-28-2013, 10:23 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
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Location: The Natural State
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Minus $340 total.......


LSU plus 3.5, $220/200Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200


you've probably been betting on the 'skins too. thanks, thanks a LOT!
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  #12  
Old 09-28-2013, 06:25 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Minus $340 total.......


LSU plus 3.5, $220/200
Notre Dame plus 3.5, $330/300
East Carolina plus 13.5, $330/300
Purdue plus 3.5, $220/200

thanks. a lot.
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