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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Please explain how you crowned Obama as Most Likely winning FL when your own poll says the opposite.
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I didn't crown Obama anything - the professional pollsters crowned him. Again, I posted two extremely accurate and well respected poll aggregators, which you just dismissed out of hand as "lefty" (which is simply false) There is plenty of information on their sites about electoral college voting trends.
As I said, you are looking at today's snapshot number, when you have to look at the current daily trend. Polling is being conducted by multiple organizations on a daily basis now. And Obama is gaining daily, and Romney is falling daily.
In Florida, Dems currently hold the advantage in early voting, 43% to 41%.
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Obama got a slight bump by pollsters reading into Christys endorsement of how he said he was going to open the floodgates of borrowed money (ie. remove all red tape) to save his state. Which the President should. These people need help. Now. That is a position held by all, I hope.
But that won't translate on Tuesday. 80% chance?!! Intrade would dispute this by 15% at least.
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Really, none of that has anything to do with affecting the electoral vote, which determines the winner.
This election was pretty well decided months ago, with only 1 significant blip after that (Obama's bad performance the first debate brought Romney up) but then a solidification for Obama, and falling off of Romney, since then.