3yo recap and updated Derby Chances

[The Indomitable DrugS]

The Tapeta at Presque Isle is some pretty f'in fun sh!t.

I've seen it playing insanely slow - I've seen it playing insanely fast - I've seen some hardcore dead rails for extended periods - I've seen some inside-speed biases that would put old Keeneland dirt to shame for extanded peroids.

For whatever reason though - closers have always performed miserably over it. In general, those are the worst kind of horses you could ever bring in here. Front end and pressing turf horses - can magically improve over PID's Tapeta version. Most dirt horses do a lot better than you might think - just as long as they have some speed.

I have no idea about Dubai's Tapeta. The climate between Erie and Dubai is probably a little bit different.