Breeders' Cup Futures

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

Beaten fav at CD in the Classic?

Maybe, but I was going for the unbeatable superhorse bandwagon. Like I said, if she were somehow equal odds as Lookin at Lucky, I'd be all over her in a head-to-head wager.

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Maybe, but I was going for the unbeatable superhorse bandwagon. Like I said, if she were somehow equal odds as Lookin at Lucky, I'd be all over her in a head-to-head wager.

Got it. Guess it would depend the circumstances between those two. As the Classic looks right now, I would probably lean towards Lucky.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

Got it. Guess it would depend the circumstances between those two. As the Classic looks right now, I would probably lean towards Lucky.

We have no idea how it looks right now. We know of five or six horses pointing to the race. Predicting pace scenarios 2+ months out is futile IMO.

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

We have no idea how it looks right now. We know of five or six horses pointing to the race. Predicting pace scenarios 2+ months out is futile IMO.

True, but what we know of the 5 or 6 horses makes a difference no? We have 2 real closers, one very fast horse (when ridden that way) a solid mid pack stalker who wins a lot more than he loses. And Richards Kid I guess. Just those few make a pretty fun hypothetical scenario. How else can we bet future odds?

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop

True, but what we know of the 5 or 6 horses makes a difference no? We have 2 real closers, one very fast horse (when ridden that way) a solid mid pack stalker who wins a lot more than he loses. And Richards Kid I guess. Just those few make a pretty fun hypothetical scenario. How else can we bet future odds?

I don't usually play futures, but if I do, it's based on ability, not pace, considering we're 2 months from the entry box, plenty of time for horses to fall out of and join the picture.

[Clip-Clop]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I don't usually play futures, but if I do, it's based on ability, not pace, considering we're 2 months from the entry box, plenty of time for horses to fall out of and join the picture.

I am guilty of futures when at the Wynn. I would agree that ability would be the key in making those decisions. I have a tendency to over analyze "big" races too far in advance and wind up making bad bets from what usually winds up as good handicapping. The falling in and out it why they can be generous with the odds and why they are not great bets, which is why I make them in Vegas