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Old 08-11-2010, 05:57 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
No, absolutely not. JV already rode the other horse and he ran 2nd. I would bet money that he was not offered the mount on the first-timer in this race. That would be the kind of thing that would not go over well for a trainer when he is trying to keep two separate owners happy. It would be one thing if both horses had run and JV had ridden both of them. Then he would have to choose between the two. But in a case where he's already ridden the one horse and the horse ran well, he's not going to be offered the mount on the other horse.

By the way, last week there was a MSW at Saratoga and Pletcher had two first-timers. JV was on one and Cohen was on the other. Simon Bray was handicapping the race on TVG and commented that he was only using the JV horse because Pletcher would definitely put JV on the better of the two horses. I was thinking that I would not necessarily agree considering that the Pletcher/Cohen combo has a much higher win percenatge than the Pletcher/JV combo. The Pletcher/Cohen combo has won at a 37% clip from 113 starts. The Pletcher/JV combo has won at a 24% clip from 523 starts.


Anyway, Simon Bray was totally wrong. The horse with Cohen won the race easily. And I think that horse broke from the rail too.
Accidents happen but the rail and Cohen are hardily a good sign..More Impotantly it is going to take a at least a 85 BSF to win this race and hoping that a colt riden by the B rider breaking from the rail is going to overcome a second time starter drawn well is really hard to swallow. The Nicks is second most likely he always has them ready to fire and Officer is a solid win early sprint stallion.. The Jess/ASS can be good but why would you try and beat the 11? He really looks like a easy winner
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