7/24 (MTH): Lady's Secret S. feat. Rachel Alexandra

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Maybe the dude has one foot in the casket or something - but why go all the way to Joisey to see a paid workout in like 100 degree heat?

Why go to Joisey at all?

To get a headache maybe?

[golfer]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Why go to Joisey at all?

To get a headache maybe?

Hey, some of us here used to live in Joisey, OK?

I thought Queen Martha ran pretty darn good for her 1st dirt attempt, and think she might be OK going forward.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by golfer

Hey, some of us here used to live in Joisey, OK?

I thought Queen Martha ran pretty darn good for her 1st dirt attempt, and think she might be OK going forward.

And now you don't!

[Metal Man]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

DRF says Jackson did not even make the trip to Monmouth. That's strange.

Jess is so old that he forgot he had a horse.

[Smooth Operator]

Didn't catch the fake stake … but, not surprisingly, the so-called hoty continues to prove how overrated she is/was…

[hockey2315]

110 Beyer

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

110 Beyer

Wait - so Queen Martha got a 105 Beyer in her first lifetime dirt attempt?

Even the Euro rejects are getting it done on dirt now I suppose. Maybe she can line up a match race with St. Trinians

[herkhorse]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

110 Beyer

I laughed

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I'm not buying it either ... look at what that figure (RA's supposed 110) would do to the 8th race.

I think it's a pretty cut and dry 102 that RA ran today imo.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I'm not buying it either ... look at what that figure (RA's supposed 110) would do to the 8th race.

I think it's a pretty cut and dry 102 that RA ran today imo.

79. . . New tops for at least 1-2-3 in that race and a new top for Ask The Moon.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

79. . . New tops for at least 1-2-3 in that race and a new top for Ask The Moon.

Yep. Using a 110 for RA's race and a 79 for the 8th race .. here's what the 8th race looks like

13 point new career top for winner Cause I Can

5 point new career top for 2nd place finisher

6 point new top for 3rd place

9 point new top for 4th place

2nd fastest figure in 25 career starts for 5th place

If that race gets a 71 instead of a 79 ... everything falls pretty neatly in line and the numbers look very logical.

Besides the 8th race and RA's race .. you had only one other dirt route - which was race 10.

In that race ...

* The winner got a 16 point career top (1st start of the claim for Rick Dutrow so a big jump up isn't that shocking)

* 2nd place 1 point off of career top, but 6 points better than last time out

* 3rd place 8 points off of career top, but 4 points better than last time out


Shave 8 points from the routes and that means the 1st Dutrow's career top would be just 8 points.. and that the 2nd and 3rd place finishers who were both dusted by a 19/1 shot .. ran just slightly worse than last out.

To me, the figure has to be in the 102-to-104 range. I went with a 102 but there's no way it's any faster than a 105.

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator

Didn't catch the fake stake … but, not surprisingly, the so-called hoty continues to prove how overrated she is/was…

She could have pulled a zenyatta and barely beat the tin cans.

I'm just glad to see the Rachel roadshow continue. She has now raced in more states this year than zenyatta has raced in her entire career. Shipping all the way to Kentucky, only to scratch on the day that Rachel is crowned the queen with a romp in the Oaks, doesn't count. zenyatta's connections weren't scared of the rainy conditions that day - they were scared of being outshined by Rachel Alexandra.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Running a route horse off of a layoff over a wet race track is something that might get you beat.

[TitanSooner]

Originally Posted by DaTruth

zenyatta's connections weren't scared of the rainy conditions that day - they were scared of being outshined by Rachel Alexandra.

oh

my

god

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Running a route horse off of a layoff over a wet race track is something that might get you beat.

The great ones can usually overcome such obstacles.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Yep. Using a 110 for RA's race and a 79 for the 8th race .. here's what the 8th race looks like

13 point new career top for winner Cause I Can

5 point new career top for 2nd place finisher

6 point new top for 3rd place

9 point new top for 4th place

2nd fastest figure in 25 career starts for 5th place

If that race gets a 71 instead of a 79 ... everything falls pretty neatly in line and the numbers look very logical.

Besides the 8th race and RA's race .. you had only one other dirt route - which was race 10.

In that race ...

* The winner got a 16 point career top (1st start of the claim for Rick Dutrow so a big jump up isn't that shocking)

* 2nd place 1 point off of career top, but 6 points better than last time out

* 3rd place 8 points off of career top, but 4 points better than last time out


Shave 8 points from the routes and that means the 1st Dutrow's career top would be just 8 points.. and that the 2nd and 3rd place finishers who were both dusted by a 19/1 shot .. ran just slightly worse than last out.

To me, the figure has to be in the 102-to-104 range. I went with a 102 but there's no way it's any faster than a 105.

Agree with your logic. Didn't do the card, how do the sprints line up? 102-103 sounds right eyeballing it, 110 seems much too high.

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by DaTruth

The great ones can usually overcome such obstacles.

how? by beating some grubs to the feed bag......thats about the extent of todays effort.

[DaTruth]

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

how? by beating some grubs to the feed bag......thats about the extent of todays effort.

How does Queen Martha stack up against Tap Tam, Dance To My Tune, and Anabaa's Creation.

[westcoastinvader]

Originally Posted by westcoastinvader

I do not dislike Rachel Alexandra, but at present I doubt her.

I haven't figured out what to do yet, but I'm putting up between $50 and $100 on exotics banking on she does not win this race, and perhaps runs 3rd or back.

I've been streaking pretty good in 2010, and this will be my only play for tomorrow. Fun money.

If I lose, I'll still be happy that Rachel Alexandra wins.


So I win, regardless.


I like it.

Owning up, I put my $$ where my mouth was and lost.

I had the 2-3-7/2-3-7/all/all super for $120.

My only play of the day, and I was a loser.

That doesn't happen often.

I'm way ahead for gambling on the year, I thought I saw an angle for a shot today with a nice payoff and took it.

And lost.


Heck, it wasn't a great bet, but maybe arguably better odds than a lottery ticket.

No regrets.




I'm very happy that the Rachel Alexandra mystique continues.

[2Hot4TV]

Yesterday wasn't the day to try and beat her. The other girls in the race were slow and not really showing signs of improving.

R.A. did have alook that she was working a job that she doesnt like. I think you can beat her in the near future.