3/27 (GP): Florida Derby (G1) Day

[FATPIANO]

This is a race to sit back and watch Greatness happen right in front of you. Greatest Honour is the real deal

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

This is a race to sit back and watch Greatness happen right in front of you. Greatest Honour is the real deal

Greatness?

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

This is a race to sit back and watch Greatness happen right in front of you. Greatest Honour is the real deal

....and suddenly, a new contender has emerged

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

....and suddenly, a new contender has emerged

Those 89 BSF's are intoxicating...Take it from a guy who knows intoxication

[moses]

Can someone explain the love for Known Agenda? I don’t dislike him but seems everyone is picking him.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

Can someone explain the love for Known Agenda? I don’t dislike him but seems everyone is picking him.

He seems like a horse on the improve. I think you can throw out the race in the slop and I don’t think the race at Tampa was a fair indicator of his talent.

On the flip side...what do you like about Spielberg? To me he seems like a horse who stepped up in Baffert’s juice den (Oaklawn) and has really never run a race that makes him a contender.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

He seems like a horse on the improve. I think you can throw out the race in the slop and I don’t think the race at Tampa was a fair indicator of his talent.

On the flip side...what do you like about Spielberg? To me he seems like a horse who stepped up in Baffert’s juice den (Oaklawn) and has really never run a race that makes him a contender.

If we look at his last race, the figures put him at the top of this group: 90 Beyer, 114 Timeform, and I believe his thorograph number was the same or similar to Greatest Honour's best. From a trip perspective, he had a bad start in the Southwest, spotted the field about 2 lengths, was wide throughout, and still managed to beat the 3rd place finisher Jackie's Warrior by 4 lengths.

It seems like he's got tactical speed to get himself good position and work out a nice trip in the Florida Derby.

I guess my biggest concern with him is whether we've seen enough of him where he's already hit near his peak and we can't expect another big move from him. But even if he runs a similar race to the Southwest but just has a better trip, then I think he's got a strong chance.

[blackthroatedwind]

There is a very valid argument that Known Agenda's last Beyer fig could be more than 10 points too low.

[moses]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

This is a race to sit back and watch Greatness happen right in front of you. Greatest Honour is the real deal

Spielberg has a very good chance of winning this race.

[robfla]

ML is 9/2 on I Get It in Race 3: The Sanibel Isl. Stakes? Be lucky to get 2:1. I think she lays over this field.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by robfla

ML is 9/2 on I Get It in Race 3: The Sanibel Isl. Stakes? Be lucky to get 2:1. I think he lays over this field.

I don’t see him laying over this field. I think 5 is horse to beat. 4 is faster too and 8 is a major player. 9-2 seems right

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by robfla

ML is 9/2 on I Get It in Race 3: The Sanibel Isl. Stakes? Be lucky to get 2:1. I think he lays over this field.

If she runs back to her last, she will be very tough. Totally eliminated (and lucky not to go down) by the DQ’d winner and still ran on strong at the end. Gary Barber buying her after her last is a good sign IMO as well.

Unless the Mott filly is really good, I agree with you. She stands out. Definitely won’t see 9/2 but you might get 3-1.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by robfla

ML is 9/2 on I Get It in Race 3: The Sanibel Isl. Stakes? Be lucky to get 2:1. I think she lays over this field.

Well we got 5/2

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

This is a race to sit back and watch Greatness happen right in front of you. Greatest Honour is the real deal

Or not

[cakes44]

Funny that there was only 11 horses in the FD, but 3 of them were more than 160-1, and another was 85-1.