15 Reasons why AP can't win The Crown

[FATPIANO]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Discounting the fact that he is the most talented 3YO we have . . . here are two reasons that AP will win and essentially make him a lock:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWMv6VHaiBs

and this

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y86kDFaJ2h4

lol

[JJP]

There's one reason I haven't seen listed yet: Espinoza has a terrible record at Belmont. Isn't it something like 2 for 60 something? And a rider like that figures to come if for live mounts. Very significant he has done poorly there.

[DonGuido]

Originally Posted by JJP

There's one reason I haven't seen listed yet: Espinoza has a terrible record at Belmont. Isn't it something like 2 for 60 something? And a rider like that figures to come if for live mounts. Very significant he has done poorly there.

All he has to do is hang on and don't fall off. The horse will do all the work to win . . . if he's going to. Book it!!!

[JJP]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

All he has to do is hang on and don't fall off. The horse will do all the work to win . . . if he's going to. Book it!!!

Didn't they say the same thing last year?

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by JJP

Didn't they say the same thing last year?

no absolutely not

[DonGuido]

Looks like no rain today at Belmont . . . oh me oh my . . . can AP overcome that? But, but wait Equibase shows a 60% chance of rain . . . we'll just have to wait and see . . . and thank you racing gods for trying.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Looks like no rain today at Belmont . . . oh me oh my . . . can AP overcome that? But, but wait Equibase shows a 60% chance of rain . . . we'll just have to wait and see . . . and thank you racing gods for trying.

Are we looking at the same Belmont weather?

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

So, if AP wins the TC, it'll probably be because 8 voters (out of 265 total votes) voted for AP instead of Texas Red. (Otherwise, AP would have had a much smaller chance to win.)

I wish I knew who to thank!

7 of 8.. In other words 2 year old champs for win first 2 legs are a cinch in Belmont

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by jms62

As opposed to the 0-15 historical statistic from modern times when horses are bred-trained and campaigned differently that he is up against.

Correct