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  #1  
Old 04-17-2015, 02:15 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard View Post
With the possible exception of Dortmund and Mr. Z, I'm guessing you get better odds on all of these horses on Derby Day.

There are 19 listed entries and two shouldn't even be listed (imperia and Ocean Knight)...Even if I make the 20th horse 99-1 this still comes to 143%.
You're right. That line sucks.

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I like 14-1 with Frosted.
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
14/1 on Firing Line is interesting, he feels like one of the top 4.
Both Frosted and Firing Line are available at 20-1 at 5Dimes.

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Old 04-17-2015, 02:34 PM
tywizard tywizard is offline
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Frosted at 20-1 might be a good price. I expect he becomes a bit of a wise guy horse over the next two weeks.
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  #3  
Old 04-17-2015, 03:25 PM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
You're right. That line sucks.





Both Frosted and Firing Line are available at 20-1 at 5Dimes.

--Dunbar
Unbelievable that you can get 20-1 on a horse that barely lost to one of the big early favorites (Dortmund) the last two times they faced off. Firing Line has every right to turn the tables, too.
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Old 04-17-2015, 03:48 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Here's a list of Derby odds taken from just 2 offshore books: Just 4 are from Bookmaker.com. The rest are from 5Dimes.

This line's odds add to 111%, which is equivalent to a 10% takeout. Considering that it includes about 7 also-eligibles, that's a pretty remarkable number.

AMERICANPHAROAH.. 3.05 --Bookmaker
DORTMUND.. 5
CARPEDIEM.. 10
MUBTAAHIJ.. 12
MATERIALITY.. 14.15 --Bookmaker
FROSTED.. 20
FIRINGLINE.. 20
UPSTART.. 25
INTERNATIONALSTAR.. 25
EL KABEIR.. 40
BOLO.. 50
FARRIGHT.. 50
WARSTORY.. 50
OCHO OCHO OCHO 50
DANZIGMOON.. 50
ONELUCKYDANE.. 50
ITSAKNOCKOUT.. 60.5 --Bookmaker
TENCENDUR.. 60.5 --Bookmaker
Keen Ice.. 66
Madefromlucky.. 66
STANFORD.. 66
Bold Conquest.. 66
Mr. Z.. 66
Frammento.. 66
Metaboss.. 100
Firespike.. 100
ToastingMaster.. 100


Toasting Master? Not sure why he's in this list, but if you discount his chance of making the starting gate, the takeout is 9%.


--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #5  
Old 04-17-2015, 04:39 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Intl star sweeps la and is 25.1. Hed be worth a few bucks
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Old 04-17-2015, 05:05 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Intl star sweeps la and is 25.1. Hed be worth a few bucks
They got me with Fresian Fire. Fool me twice shame on me.
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Old 04-17-2015, 05:41 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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They got me with Fresian Fire. Fool me twice shame on me.
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Old 04-17-2015, 08:38 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Wasn't Friesan Fire coming off a 7 week layoff?
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  #9  
Old 04-17-2015, 11:08 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
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They got me with Fresian Fire. Fool me twice shame on me.
I think FF had tremendous physical issues though.
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