2015: American Pharoah becomes 12th Triple Crown winner

[Benny]

http://www.sbnation.com/odds/2015/4/...sits-atop-odds

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2015 Kentucky Derby Odds and Updates

Submitted by Mike Dempsey on Wed, 04/15/2015 - 10:15


Odds to Win 2015 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs at Bovada as of April 15:

American Pharoah 2/1
Dortmund 9/2
Carpe Diem 6/1
Materiality 9/1
Mubtaahij 9/1
Firing Line 14/1
Frosted 14/1
International Star 16/1
Upstart 16/1
El Kabeir 25/1
Itsaknockout 25/1
Ocho Ocho Ocho 25/1
One Lucky Dane 25/1
Danzig Moon 33/1
Far Right 33/1
Ocean Knight 33/1
Tencendur 33/1
Imperia 40/1
Mr Z 50/1

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by Benny

http://www.sbnation.com/odds/2015/4/...sits-atop-odds

See All
2015 Kentucky Derby Odds and Updates

Submitted by Mike Dempsey on Wed, 04/15/2015 - 10:15


Odds to Win 2015 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs at Bovada as of April 15:

American Pharoah 2/1
Dortmund 9/2
Carpe Diem 6/1
Materiality 9/1
Mubtaahij 9/1
Firing Line 14/1
Frosted 14/1
International Star 16/1
Upstart 16/1
El Kabeir 25/1
Itsaknockout 25/1
Ocho Ocho Ocho 25/1
One Lucky Dane 25/1
Danzig Moon 33/1
Far Right 33/1
Ocean Knight 33/1
Tencendur 33/1
Imperia 40/1
Mr Z 50/1

With the possible exception of Dortmund and Mr. Z, I'm guessing you get better odds on all of these horses on Derby Day.

There are 19 listed entries and two shouldn't even be listed (imperia and Ocean Knight)...Even if I make the 20th horse 99-1 this still comes to 143%.

[alysheba4]

I like 14-1 with Frosted.

[10 pnt move up]

14/1 on Firing Line is interesting, he feels like one of the top 4.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by tywizard

With the possible exception of Dortmund and Mr. Z, I'm guessing you get better odds on all of these horses on Derby Day.

There are 19 listed entries and two shouldn't even be listed (imperia and Ocean Knight)...Even if I make the 20th horse 99-1 this still comes to 143%.

You're right. That line sucks.

Originally Posted by alysheba4

I like 14-1 with Frosted.

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

14/1 on Firing Line is interesting, he feels like one of the top 4.

Both Frosted and Firing Line are available at 20-1 at 5Dimes.

--Dunbar

[tywizard]

Frosted at 20-1 might be a good price. I expect he becomes a bit of a wise guy horse over the next two weeks.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

You're right. That line sucks.





Both Frosted and Firing Line are available at 20-1 at 5Dimes.

--Dunbar

Unbelievable that you can get 20-1 on a horse that barely lost to one of the big early favorites (Dortmund) the last two times they faced off. Firing Line has every right to turn the tables, too.

[Dunbar]

Here's a list of Derby odds taken from just 2 offshore books: Just 4 are from Bookmaker.com. The rest are from 5Dimes.

This line's odds add to 111%, which is equivalent to a 10% takeout. Considering that it includes about 7 also-eligibles, that's a pretty remarkable number.

AMERICANPHAROAH.. 3.05 --Bookmaker
DORTMUND.. 5
CARPEDIEM.. 10
MUBTAAHIJ.. 12
MATERIALITY.. 14.15 --Bookmaker
FROSTED.. 20
FIRINGLINE.. 20
UPSTART.. 25
INTERNATIONALSTAR.. 25
EL KABEIR.. 40
BOLO.. 50
FARRIGHT.. 50
WARSTORY.. 50
OCHO OCHO OCHO 50
DANZIGMOON.. 50
ONELUCKYDANE.. 50
ITSAKNOCKOUT.. 60.5 --Bookmaker
TENCENDUR.. 60.5 --Bookmaker
Keen Ice.. 66
Madefromlucky.. 66
STANFORD.. 66
Bold Conquest.. 66
Mr. Z.. 66
Frammento.. 66
Metaboss.. 100
Firespike.. 100
ToastingMaster.. 100


Toasting Master? Not sure why he's in this list, but if you discount his chance of making the starting gate, the takeout is 9%.


--Dunbar