|
|
 |
|
#102
04-21-2015, 08:58 PM
|
||||
|
||||
Quote:
Yes +600 No -1000 
|
|
#103
04-21-2015, 09:00 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#104
04-21-2015, 09:14 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#105
04-21-2015, 09:27 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#106
04-22-2015, 06:20 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
At Bookmaker.com all you can get on American Pharoah is 10-1. But you can get 150-1 on Upstart.
ODDS TO WIN THE TRIPLE CROWN IN 2015 AMERICAN PHAROAH +1000 DORTMUND +2100 CARPE DIEM +2400 MUBTAAHIJ +5000 MATERIALITY +5000 FIRING LINE +9000 FROSTED +7250 UPSTART +15000 INTERNATIONAL STAR +20000 EL KABEIR +17500 FAR RIGHT +30000 BOLO +55000 DANZIG MOON +35000 WAR STORY +60000 STANFORD +60000 OCHO OCHO OCHO +60000 ITSAKNOCKOUT +60000 TENCENDUR +70000 MR. Z +80000 MADE FROM LUCKY +65000 KEEN ICE +60000 FRAMMENTO +50000 They have +550 for any horse winninng TC; -750 for no TC. --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
|
|
#107
04-24-2015, 11:18 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Madefromlucky officially demures; Keen Ice moves in, Frammento on deck..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#108
04-24-2015, 11:21 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
5/2/15 (CD): Kentucky Derby (10f)
1. International Star (Maker/Mena) 2. Dortmund (Baffert/M. Garcia) 3. Carpe Diem (Pletcher/Velazquez) 4. American Pharoah (Baffert/V. Espinoza) 5. Frosted (McLaighlin/Rosario) 6. Mubtaahij (de Kock/Soumillon) 7. Materiality (Pletcher/Castellano) 8. El Kabeir (Terranova/Borel) 9. Upstart (Violette/J. Ortiz) 10. Far Right (Moquett/Smith) 11. Itsaknockout (Pletcher/Saez) 12. Firing Line (S. Callaghan/Stevens) 13. Danzig Moon (Casse/Leparoux) 14. War Story (Amoss/Talamo) 15. Tencendur (Weaver/Franco) 16. Stanford (Pletcher/Geroux?) 17. Mr. Z (Lukas/Vasquez) 18. Ocho Ocho Ocho (Cassidy/TBA) 19. Bolo (Gaines/Bejarano) 20. Keen Ice (Romans/Desormeaux) ------------- 21. Frammento (Zito) 22. Bold Conquest (Asmussen) 23. Firespike (Maker) 24. Toasting Master (Romans)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-27-2015 at 01:28 PM.
|
|
#109
04-25-2015, 03:45 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
UPCOMING UNDERCARD STAKES PROBABLES
The following is an early rundown of known possible starters in Derby Week stakes races, according to assistant racing secretary and stakes coordinator Dan Bork: $400,000 ALYSHEBA (GII) (Entries taken April 28; race May 1) – Call Me George, Honor Code, Noble Bird, Ride On Curlin. Possible: Den’s Legacy. $300,000 LA TROIENNE (GI) (Entries taken April 28; race May 1) – America, Frivolous, Molly Morgan, My Miss Sophia, Pearl Turn, Sheer Drama, Stopchargingmaria, Wedding Toast. Possible: Interest Free, Tiz Windy. $200,000 EIGHT BELLES (GIII) (Entries taken April 28; race May 1) – Ekati’s Phaeton, Fancy and Flashy, Lavender Chrissie, Mizz Money, Promise Me Silver, Streetheart, Super Saks, Taylor S. $150,000 EDGEWOOD PRESENTED BY FORCHT BANK (GIII) (Entries taken April 28; race May 1) – Lady Zuzu, Pangburn, Quality Rocks. Possible: B Rockett, Sweet Opportunity, Whimsicality. $150,000 TWIN SPIRES TURF SPRINT (GIII) (Entries taken April 28; race May 1) – Berlino Di Tiger (BRZ), Buster Rose, Channel Marker, Good Deed, Heitai, Positive Side, Power Alert (AUS), Something Extra, Undrafted. $500,000 WOODFORD RESERVE TURF CLASSIC (GI) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – Chocolate Ride, Finnegans Wake, Seek Again, Umgiyo (AUS). $500,000 CHURCHILL DOWNS (GII) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – Bayern, C. Zee, Pants On Fire, Private Zone. Possible: The Big Beast. $300,000 CHURCHILL DOWNS DISTAFF TURF MILE PRESENTED BY LONGINES (GII) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – Coffee Clique, I’m Already Sexy, Lady Lara (IRE), Maid On a Mission, Personal Diary, Sandiva (IRE), Solid Appeal, Strike Charmer, Tepin. $300,000 HUMANA DISTAFF (GI) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – Classic Point, Dame Dorothy, Judy the Beauty, Princess Violet, Sweet Reason, Sweet Whiskey, You Bought Her. Possible: Clearly Confused. $250,000 AMERICAN TURF PRESENTED BY RAM TRUCKS (GII) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – A Lot, Conquest Typhoon, Firespike, Force the Pass, Indianaughty, Metaboss, Tuba, Wireless Future, World Approval. Possible: Royal Son. $200,000 PAT DAY MILE PRESENTED BY LG&E AND KU (GIII) (Entries taken April 29; race May 2) – Competitive Edge, Conquest Bigluck E, Hillbilly Royalty, Pain and Misery, Toasting Master, Where’s the Moon.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#110
04-26-2015, 09:14 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
I'm failing to see what, if anything, separates Am Pharoah and Dortmund by so much over Upstart and Materiality. I get it that Materiality has only had 3 races. But those races were not cakewalks. His (and to a lesser extent Upstart's) last-race BSF's are significantly superior to AP's and Dortmund's. And I get that AP was wound down late in the Ark Derby, but not IMO to a degree that would have flipped the BSF order.
At this point I'm thinking that Am Pharoah and Dortmund will both be significantly overbet. Carpe Diem will be wildly overbet. There should be a lot of value in several of the other horses. --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
|
|
#112
04-27-2015, 01:52 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
As originally indicated by Baffert weeks ago, leaning against running either Maybelline or Luminance in the Oaks after watching them work Monday.. #15 Forever Unbridled and #16 Money'soncharlotte will get in with defections..
Lord Nelson however set for Pat Day Mile after sharp work v. Maybelline.. Kentucky Oaks 1. Condo Commando (Rodriguez) 2. I’m a Chatterbox (Jones) 3. Stellar Wind (Sadler) 4. Birdatthewire (Romans) 5. Lovely Maria (Jones) 6. Include Betty (Proctor) 7. Oceanwave (Catalano) 8. Angela Renee (Pletcher) 9. Sarah Sis (Mason) -- Maybellene -- Possible (Baffert) 10. Eskenformoney (Pletcher) 11. Puca (Mott) 12. Shook Up (Asmussen) -- Luminance -- Possible (Baffert) 13. Forever Unbridled (Stewart) 14. Money'soncharlotte (Breen) ---------------------------------- 15. Danessa Deluxe (Navarro) 16. Callback (Baffert) 17. Wonder Gal (Gyarmati)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-27-2015 at 04:14 PM.
|
|
#113
04-27-2015, 02:01 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#114
04-27-2015, 02:19 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
My early Oaks/Derby Double selection:
Condo Commando By the Moon Stellar Wind Lovely Maria West Coast Belle OVER American Pharoah Mubtaahij Firing Line Stanford Far Right $4.00 Double 100.
|
|
#116
04-27-2015, 02:42 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Condo Commando Oceanwave Stellar Wind Lovely Maria Shook Up
|
|
#117
04-27-2015, 02:44 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#118
04-27-2015, 02:48 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#119
04-27-2015, 03:11 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Boston was damn nice last week though. Actually did do some work too.
|
|
#120
04-27-2015, 04:16 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
Linear Mode
