GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

 

1st: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Excellent start to a terrific card of racing; One to fear in this deep group is #6 Majestic Blue (8-1) with KMc warming up and Forestry colt likely to get fast/dry track for first time since sharp career bow..

Best Value: #1 Bimini 5-1 3rd
Most Likely: #9 Precious Package 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Majestic Blue 8-1 WON ($14.60)
Super Add: #7 Broken Home 5-2 4th

2nd: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

No real surprises here..

Most Likely: #3 Saint Eligius 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #2 Buzzin Ready 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Manhattan Fox 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Westshore 10-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Quality soph sprint heat with a few notable pedigrees debuting. #1 Bail Out the Banks, from 1st out specialist Violette and yet another horribly named Klarman purchase, is a half brother of the very nice SW Zawzooth and several other slick one turn winning sibs; #7 Al Muhtasib is a $525k Shadwell buy from the dam that brought you Golden Spikes; Romans’ Ghostzapper (0/29 with FTS) colt #10 Dapper Zapper is O/O Checkered Flag, the lovely A.P. Indy mare that produced Zanjero and Victory Plus; #8 Biloxi is a $350k Peachtree debuter from Dutrow that has been facing Swale fave D’ Funnybone in the mornings according to Mike Welsch, and holding his own..

Most Likely: #4 Chasing Ted 7-2 8th
Best Value: #7 Al Muhtasib 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Biloxi 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Scary Good 8-1 3rd

4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Savvy move by Gindl to get G1 winner away from previous conditioner. Appears back on track but faces tough, well-matched group here..

Best Value: #1 Break Water Edison 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #7 Alma d’Oro 6-1 7th
Next Best: #10 It’s Never Too Late 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Todd Got Even 5-1 9th

5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Another tremendous race with some more pedigrees on parade including Indy News, a half to Eddington, The Gift Is Mine, from the mare that produced Elaborate, and Five Fifty Five, a half brother to MGSW Lady of Venice..

Best Value: #12 Launceton 6-1 12th
Most Likely: #4 Our Dark Knight 4-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #3 Pow Wow 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Grand Macho 10-1 3rd

6th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Scolera 4-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #6 Cherokee Queen 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Romacaca 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Kristi With a K 5-1 7th

7th: 40th Bonnie Miss (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating 6 horse field with major league missies grappling for So. FL winter season honors moving towards Kentucky Oaks. Christine Daae reacted to big performance in seasonal debut last time, but still won easily versus lesser. Looms the one to beat in my mind as lone participant having negotiated this trip. Amen Hallelujah won Davona Dale as she pleased, but that effort registers as likely to produce regression here and there’s no room for error against this set. Sadler sends Switch, a West Coast version of Christine Daae, and though she needs a significant forward move in dirt bow, there’s no way I’m leaving her off any ticket. Finally, Joanie’s Catch has been simply remarkable race after race, and there’s no reason to believe she can’t hit the board yet again as she adjusts to every task demanded of her..

Most Likely: #6 Christine Daae 2-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Amen Hallelujah 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Joanie’s Catch 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Switch 4-1 4th

8th: 31st Rampart (G3), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Thankfully not part of the P4 with at least 5 possible to take this..

Most Likely: #8 Unrivaled Belle 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 Bambera 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Don’t Forget Gil 4-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Even Road 10-1 6th

9th: 59th Appleton (G3), 4+, 7.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Rahy’s Attorney 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Boots Ahead 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Kiss the Kid 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Society’s Chairman 5-1 WON ($14.20)

10th: 25th Swale (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Dutrow-Pompa Hutch winner is the most likely winner, but capable Stan Gold rail runner won’t have :45 flat half to deal with today.

Most Likely: #7 D’ Funnybone 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Hear Ye Hear Ye 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Gary D 12-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Silver Craft 15-1 9th

11th: 59th Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Odd edition of normally important Derby Trail prep, clearly affected by silly placement on calendar. Curious bunch assembles and I’m reaching out for prices while being grudgingly respectful of Pletcher-WinStar favorite..

Best Value: #8 Ice Box (15-1): Lone winner at trip gets plus jock switch.. WON ($43.40)
Next Best: #6 First Dude (8-1): Forward going; Forwardly placed for 1st run.. 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Rule (5-2): Clear one to beat but has to respond to 9f.. 3rd
Super Add: #9 Miner’s Reserve (6-1): Being rushed, but likely this talented.. 10th

12th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 The Great McGee 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 E. H. Indy 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Exxel 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Santa 6-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-3-7-8
10: 1-7-8
11: 1-5-6-7-8-9
12: 5-6

4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 $.50 Pick 4 Paid $441.60

AQUEDUCT ($28k CARRYOVER)

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 30th Kings Point H., NYB-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Good Law 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #1 Icabad Crane 7-5 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #6 Manteca 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Naughty New Yorker 6-1 4th

5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 My Honey Laurie 2-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Heavenly Pursuit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1e Baker entry 8-1 3rd/8th
Exotics Use: #4 Royal Waltz 5-1 5th

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Norjac 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Wadi Suki 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Volos 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #7 Cielo Song 30-1 8th

7th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

I don’t know what to say about this unbelievably weak group..

Most Likely: #3 Properlyintroduced 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Waylady 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Green Arrows 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 My Lucky Way 5-2 WON ($6.90)

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Bobby’s Bell 5-2 8th
Next Best: #1 Gellhorn 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Weefc 15-1 WON ($32.80)
Super Add: #9 Hazaam’s Back 5-1 2nd

9th: 18th Cicada (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Bickersons 7-5 6th
Best Value: #7 Romantic Hideaway 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Liam’s Dream 4-1 WON ($13.60)
Super Add: #5 Fuzzy Britches 8-1 4th

10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Liberal 6-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Ponte Vecchio 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Smokin Conrad 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Buffalo Tsunami 7-2 6th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-7-9
6: 3-5
7: 3-8
8: 1-4
9: 4
10: 6-7-11

4x2x2x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-6-8
8: 1-4-5
9: 4-7
10: 6-7-11

4x3x2x3 = $72

MAGNA 5

PRE-SCRATCHES

LEG A – LAUREL 9th: Private Terms, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Don’t Blame the Cat 6-5 5th
Next Best: #4 Plantation 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Regal Warrior 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Target Practice 8-1 7th

LEG B – SANTA ANITA 5th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Beachrock 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Silk Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Cragmont 5-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sirocco Strike 5-1 2nd

LEG C – GULFSTREAM 10th: 25th Swale (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Dutrow-Pompa Hutch winner is the most likely winner, but capable Stan Gold rail runner won’t have :45 flat half to deal with today.

Most Likely: #7 D’ Funnybone 6-5 WON
Best Value: #1 Hear Ye Hear Ye 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Gary D 12-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Silver Craft 15-1 9th

LEG D – SANTA ANITA 6th: Cal-bred OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Samantha’s Rule 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Ms. G. I. Jane 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 A Clever Ten 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Bran Jammas 8-1 9th

LEG E – GULFSTREAM 11th: 59th Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Odd edition of normally important Derby Trail prep, clearly affected by silly placement on calendar. Curious bunch assembles and I’m reaching out for prices while being grudgingly respectful of Pletcher-WinStar favorite..

Best Value: #8 Ice Box (15-1): Lone winner at trip gets plus jock switch.. WON
Next Best: #6 First Dude (8-1): Forward going; Forwardly placed for 1st run.. 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Rule (5-2): Clear one to beat but has to respond to 9f.. 3rd
Super Add: #9 Miner’s Reserve (6-1): Being rushed, but likely this talented.. 10th

<$150 P6 Play:

A: 6
B: 1-2-3-4-8-9
C: 1-7
D: 4-6-7
E: 6-7-8-9

1x6x2x3x4 = $144

With all six winners somewhere in selections, made a sincere run at Wednesday’s Santa Anita carryover stringing 2nd-5th legs together successfully on the play. But winners of the bookend 1st and 6th legs were at the bottom of the tabs and off the play, as Gutierrez nightcap price frustratingly denied even a conso hit or P4 score (live to 3 horses paying $150-$350).

It was one of those sequences where even with an obvious single in Canonize ($3.60 as 4-5 fave), the 2 second choice ($8.00, $10.00) and 2 third choice ($8.80, $9.40) winners combined with the 5th choice upsetter ($17.60) to make negotiating the sextet challenging. But the challenge was rewarded with $42,475 returns. Hope you did OK! Another P6 carryover today though ($74,550), and this one also seems approachable.

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Pleasure to Ride 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Squallcreek 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Zappa 6-1 7th
Super Add: ##1 Fire Break 8-1 3rd

4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super

Most Likely: #7 Blackman Bay 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Country Impact 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Michaels Jila 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Afleet Cowboy 7-2 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Gothic Samurai 7-2 4th
Best Value: #6 On the Virg 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enriched 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Hyades 5-2 3rd

6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Peacock Alliance 4-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Buyer’s Remorse 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Ishmael 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Joyful Success 5-2 5th

7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Mr Gruff 5-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Papa Bear 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Kelly Leak 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Tres Borrachos 6-1 4th

8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Lady Adele 7-5 6th
Best Value: #6 Youvegotthatright 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Pay to Play 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Mary’s Dancer 5-1 5th
High 5 Play: #4 Sweet and Jazzy 6-1 4th

<$200 P6 Plays:

3: 5-7
4: 1-7
5: 2-5-6-8
6: 3-4
7: 2
8: 1-6-7

2x2x4x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

5 Correct Paid 86.40 x 2 = $172.40

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 2-5-6-8
6: 3-4-7
7: 1-2
8: 1-6-7

4x3x2x3 = $72

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 2nd Ocala-FL, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #4 Jessica is Back 4-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Glotona 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sweetsouthernqueen 8-1 4th

Most Likely: #4 Jessica is Back 4-5 WON

9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super) 

Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Taconic Victory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 In Perpetuity 7-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Star of the Town 6-1 4th

 

10th: 66th Gulfstream Park H. (G2), 4+, 1m (DD, Super) 

Wild edition of this race with clear Most Likely in ‘Phil’ but wide open thereafter..

 

Most Likely: #11 This One’s for Phil 9-5 8th
Next Best: #4 Motovoto 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Congressional Page 12-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Grasshopper 15-1 11th

11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super) 

Very difficult nightcap with uncertain turf condition a factor. Mott firster is half to OK Red Birkin and True Birkin, while Shug’s Hit It Rich is a half to excellent SW Spanish Mission..

 

Most Likely: #14 Hey Babe 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Arrowcourse 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Hit It Rich 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Very Expensive 10-1 8th

<$50 P4 Play: 

8: 4-8
9: 1-3-6-13
10: 4-11
11: 3-4-7-9-10-142x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48

 

 

TAMPA BAY DOWNSLady Shakespeare will undoubtedly scratch for perhaps the 4th time this winter.. Doubt race comes off the turf despite the heavy rains yesterday..

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 12th Hillsborough (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) 

 

SCR #1 Reed entry

Most Likely: #4 Cure for Sale 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Liberally 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Phola 8-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Cuff Me 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Imaginary Saint 5-1 9th
Super Add: #2 C C’s Pal 15-1 2ndSCR #5 Musket Man

9th: 27th Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) 

Best Value: #4 Diva Delite 4-1 WON

Best Value: #4 Diva Delite 4-1 WON

10th: 6th Turf Dash, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super) 

 

Best Value: #4 Sneaking Uponyou 10-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Probation Ready 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Turfiste 7-2 7th

11th: 30th Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) 

Surprised this event, which has been a growing Derby Trail season pressence, didn’t draw more interest. PL-SH runners from Sam Davis are joined in the gate by serious Pletcher-WinStar product Super Saver and Albertrani-Padua hopeful Odysseus, with some pressure on the latter to step forward..

 

Most Likely: #6 Super Saver 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Odysseus 7-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Uptowncharleybrown 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Schoolyard Dreams 3-1 2nd8: 1/SCR-4-6-8
9: 3-4
10: 45/SCR-6-9
11: 1-5-6-73x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36

<$75 P4 Play: 

 

 

$0.50 P4 (1,3,5,7,8,10/5,6/4/7) Paid $182.65 Most Likely: #2 Decelerator 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 No Such Word 5-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Beautician 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tap Tap Tapping 15-1 3rd$1 Exacta (1-5) Paid $25.90
$1 Trifecta (1-5-6) Paid $161.80
$1 Superfecta (1-5-6-2) Paid $373.80
Most Likely: #2 Sea Gaze 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Gresham 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Follow the Leader 6-5 WONGet the feeling that Baffert is tinkering with ‘Lucky’ adding blinks at this juncture to see how early in the race it puts the Juvy Champ. Certainly doesn’t have to win in first dirt start, but you don’t want to throw a clunker in with little margin for error on the Derby Trail. Probably a smart bet-against within the race.. Pace may be a bit more heated than anticipated, and sense Noble’s Promise gets desired stalking trip, while late-running Dublin gets a better target than he had in the Southwest.. Intriguing event..

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 23rd Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, Super) 

 

 

9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3) 

 

10th: 50th Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) 

 

Most Likely: #6 Noble’s Promise 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lookin At Lucky 7-5 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Dublin 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Un Oh Bango 5-1 4thMost Likely: #9 Logic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Corralito’s Way 5-2 WON
Best Value: #11 Freedom Camp 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Sargent Marv 6-1 6th

11th: MDN CLM, 3-5yo, 6f (Super) 

 

<$75 P4 Play: 

8: 1-2-5-6
9: 2-5-7
10: 2-6-7
11: 9-104x3x3x2 = $72

 

 

$2 P4 (1/4,7/2/10) Paid $304.10Most Likely: #6 Elegant 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tashzara 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kaysa Deeya 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Kakalina 8-1 8th

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) 

 

5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #9 Massone 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Joshua’s Dream 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mr. Big 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Viscount 4-1 3rd

 

6th: CLM, 4yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #10 A Royal Tizzy 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 My Man Sumo 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 The Final Roar 9-2 4th
Super Add: #8 White Lace Jimmy 6-1 2nd$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $14.00
$1 Trifecta (1-8-10) Paid $32.00
$1 Superfecta (1-8-10-5) Paid $90.30
Best Value: #5 Striking Dancer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Pretty Unusual 12-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Floating Heart 12-1 3rd

 

 

7th: 73rd Santa Margarita (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #8 Zenyatta 1-9 WON

Most Likely: #8 Zenyatta 1-9 WON

8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #6 Top Feeling 5-1 WON
Best Value: #1a Warrens Attack Cat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Pinstripe Kid 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Adam Suances 8-1

Most Likely: #6 Top Feeling 5-1 WON

$1 Exacta (6-10) Paid $78.50Very tough to seperate the top ones, but Sidney’s Candy can get the easy lead and waltz them around the oval..

9th: 73rd San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) 

 

Most Likely: #5 Sidney’s Candy 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Caracortado 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 American Lion 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Interactif 4-1 2ndMost Likely: #9 Tribul Witch 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Joint Agreement 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Good Night Gyrene 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 Racing Rachel 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Lacey Leilah 8-1 4th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) 

 

<$100 P6 Play: 

5: 5-9
6: 10
7: 8
8: 1-6-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 7-9

 

2x1x1x3x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$75 P4 Play: 

7: 8
8: 1-6-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 2-7-8-9-11-13

 

1x3x4x6 = $72

MAGNA 5Best Value: #6 Saay Mi Name 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Dukes Flying Tiger 9-2 8th
Next Best: #1 Vincero 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Ijada’s Run 8-1 3rd

PRE-SCRATCHES

LEG A-LAUREL 10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super) 

 

LEG B-SANTA ANITA 4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #6 Elegant 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tashzara 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kaysa Deeya 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Kakalina 8-1 8th

 

LEG C-GULFSTREAM 9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super) 

Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Taconic Victory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 In Perpetuity 7-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Star of the Town 6-1 4thBest Value: #1 Moscato 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Hunter Creek 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Camisado 9-2 8th

 

LEG D-GOLDEN GATE 4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #2 Dangerous Devil 7-2 WON

Most Likely: #2 Dangerous Devil 7-2 WON

LEG E-SANTA ANITA 5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) 

Most Likely: #9 Massone 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Joshua’s Dream 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mr. Big 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Viscount 4-1 3rd

 

<$100 & <$200 Magna 5 Play: 

A: 6-10 (1-7)
B: 4-6
C: 1-6-13
D: 1-2-6-7
E: 5-9

 

2x2x3x4x2 = $96
4x2x3x4x2 = $192

Big race weekend looms; AQU card inviting

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | 63 comments

Big week of racing starts in earnest today, whetting the appetite for what lies ahead this weekend. Soph standards Tampa Bay Derby and San Felipe will draw today, while the Rebel field assembles Thursday, while the returns of HOY Rachel Alexandra (FG’s New Orleans Ladies) and BC Classic heroine Zenyatta (SA’s G1 Santa Margarita) mark the next steps towards their Apple Blossom showdown April 9. Aqueduct action is pretty intriguing today…

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Jazzy Moves 7-5 2nd
Best Value #5 No Goal 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cast Call 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Lucida 10-1 5th

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky race with several having isolated performances good enough to succeed here..

Most Likely: #5 Sea Holly 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Wise Choice 4-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Crafty Gem 7-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Wynot Siyue 20-1 2nd

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dahlgren Chapel 6-5 WON
Next Best: #3 Digger Karakorum 10-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Four Star General 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Ezzy 4-1 3rd/2nd

7th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Virtues Under Fire 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Nearly There 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 It’s the Big Cat 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Full Tilt Noogie 7-2 WON

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ampart Ridge 2-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Autumnlady 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Spell Check 5-1 5th

9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely #2 Gold Cup Kid 5-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Citizen Bailey 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Fast Spender 10-1
Super Add: #5 Mom Proof 6-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-7
7: 1-4-5-8
8: 5-7
9: 1-2-8

3x4x2x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (5,6/8/4,7,8/2) Paid $79.25

Am driving to Connecticut this morning but wanted to get selections for the Aqueduct double carryover posted… Great afternoon of racing Saturday with several notable performances in NY, FL, Ark and CA. Couldn’t get the Magna ($22k!) or a P4 home yesterday frustratingly, but caught a few P3’a and enough nice numbers here and there to make it a pretty fair day. Hope you did well. Carries at GP and SA today as well and Gus Alonso has his glances at ATR and DT…

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Well Babe 3-1
Best Value: #12 Judicial Leader 10-1
Next Best: #9 Tomorrows Roses 5-1
Super Add: #8 Puddin On the Ritz 15-1

5th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Holy Trouble 10-1
Most Likely: #9 Cherokee Gem 4-1
Next Best: #4 Top Lass 10-1
Super Add: #2 Hot and Bothered 2-1

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Roaring Ghost 3-1
Best Value: #2 Spancill Hill 9-2
Next Best: #5 Nina’s Spirit 5-1
Super Add: #9 Waylady 12-1

.10 SUPER PLAY: 7 with 1-2-5-9 with 1-2-5-9 with All (1x4x3x6 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)

7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Ironman John 2-1
Best Value: #6 Good Karma 4-1
Next Best: #1e Contessa entry 7-2

8th: 55th Stymie, 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Understatement very vulnerable here with many interested in the front end. No free and easy lead here..

Best Value: #2 Reflect Times 12-1
Next Best: #5 Atoned 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Giant Chieftan 10-1
Super Add: #7 Seniors Pride 15-1

9th: NY0MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dreamnote 3-1
Best Value: #2 Buddy System 10-1
Next Best: #5 Gone Home 5-1
Super Add: #6 Grace and Courage 7-2

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-12
5: 4-8-9
6: 7
7: 9
8: 2-3-5
9: 2-4-5-6

2x3x1x1x3x4 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 7
7: 6-9
8: ALL (Expect at least one Pletcher to SCR)
9: 2-4-5-6

1x2x8x4 = $64

Good luck!
Steve