Upsetters and elusive logicals make for tough going

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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Thought it was going to be a good day when ‘Best Value’ Brecciate won at 7-1 to start the Spa session, but the going turned rough from that point with just a couple isolated winners little exotic or multi success. Was able to salvage the day with excellent Beverly D. and Arlington Million exactas, for which ATR listeners were primed, before Sciacca’s Tutti Va Bene capped the turnaround with a $40.40 win in the Saratoga nightcap. Hope you did OK despite my poor guidance, and are prepared to attack another 11 race set today…

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: NYB-ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super_

Both AE-#11 Tobruk (5-1) and AE-#12 Munition (8-1) move into top rungs should they draw into this good betting race..

Best Value: #9 Burnished Copper 8-1
Most Likely: #3 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2
Next Best: #1 Pegasian 8-1
Super Add: #7 Woodrunner 5-1

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Upper Gulch 6-1
Most Likely: #3 Gold d’Oro 4-1
Next Best: #8 Minishaft 3-1
Super Add: #12 Top Mast 15-1

3rd: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Speight of Hand 8-1
Most Likely: #6 Charlott Humor 4-1
Next Best: #3 Girolamo 3-1

4th: Geyser Spring (R), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Elusive Heat 3-5
Best Value: #6 Luster 6-1
Next Best: #7 Northern Belle 8-1
Super Add: #4 Slam the Cat 12-1

5th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tam Lin 5-2
Best Value: #6 Tizdejvu 10-1
Next Best: #5 Bribon 3-1
Super Add: #8 Inca King 4-1

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-8-12
3: 3-6-8
4: 8
5: 5-6-7-8

4x3x1x4 = $48

6th: Finney, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Smart and Fancy 7-2
Best Value: #6 Sly Storm 12-1
Next Best: #3 Ahvee’s Destiny 4-1
Super Add: #8 Karakorum Elektra 6-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Not a lot to guide you in this

Most Likely: #2 Captain Stone 6-1
Best Value: #11 Rein King 10-1
Next Best: #3 Hudson Landing 12-1
Logical Includes: #1 Middle of the Nite 4-1; #10 Aikenite 5-1

8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+. 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 That’srightofficer 3-1
Best Value: #3 Stopbluffing 8-1
Next Best: #2 Almighty Silver 5-1
Exotics Use: #9 A Zero Trap 8-1

9th: 18th Honorable Miss (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Game Face 1-1
Best Value: #6 All Giving 15-1
Next Best: #4 Porte Bonheur 3-1

10th: 25th A. G. Vanderbilt (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fabulous Strike 2-1
Next Best: #2 Kodiak Kowboy 3-1
Best Value: #1 Go Go Shoot 15-1

11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3_, 5,5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Song for Pupcake 5-1
Best Value: #4 Lady At the Lake 6-1
Next Best: #2 Better Than Swiss 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Lateday Edition 7-2
Super Add: #11 Royal Valentine 12-1

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-5
9: 3-6
10: 1-2-6
11: 2-4-9-12

3x2x3x4 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

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