Dbl Carry, Whitney-Test at Spa, ArlMillion headline day
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Yet another day of hard-to-nab winners tripped a doubl carryover into Saturday’s Whitney-Test card. Caught chalky first three exactas ($12, $18, $15) easily enough to start the day, before 8-1 I’m Your Lady upended the early P4 try. $55 exacta in the 6th (I’ve Got Speed-Natural Speed) was actually a nice boost before West Point firster slipped through the cracks in the 7th and killed an multi-race hopes on the afternoon. Best Value Jet Set Vinny ($16) was OK in the 9th and the $30 late double came in to close out the mediocre effort. Hope you did OK. Pair of big Gr. I’s and $141k carryover highlight the otherwise humdrum card, with Arlington’s Million Day blockbuster slate quite alluring…
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Well-matched bunch..
Most Likely: #1 Global Effect 5-1
Best Value: #9 Brecciate 8-1
Next Best: #3 Mr. Universe 6-1
Super Add: #5 Headache 6-1
2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Stall 2-1 favorite not appreciably better than many of the prices..
Most Likely: #3 Parker’s Project 8-1
Best Value: #1/1a Kelly entry (One goes) 15-1
Next Best: #8 Spell 2-1
Super Add: #4 Cross the Divide 10-1
3rd: NYB-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Good luck.. A collection of non-descript what-not, but at least #8 Western Collection actually finished in front already before DQ negated diploma..
Most Likely: #8 Western Connection 7-2
Best Value: #11 Elsie’s Warrior 9-2
Next Best: #4 Todo K 3-1
Exotics Use: #10 Fort McCoy 5-1
4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Futuristic 7-2
Best Value: #5 Kelode 8-1
Next Best: #3 Thiefontherun 3-1
Super Add: #6 Chief Tomoka 12-1
5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Afrikaner 1-1
Best Value: #5 Argentinian 8-1
Next Best: #11 Coach Fruscio 6-1
Super Add: #3 Rizzi’s Devil 10-1
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 1-3-8
3: 4-8-10-11
4: 3-4-5
5: 2-5
3x4x3x2 = $72
6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Really interesting Empire ALW with elite set of likely types with a couple of bombs sprinkled within. Not in love with Morrison’s Z Cats Meow (#8), but can’t she speed-pop this?
Most Likely: #5 Chorus Music 4-1
Best Value: #4 Exclusive Scheme 6-1
Next Best: #7 Ketubah 5-2
Super Add: #1 Cugatcha 30-1
7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Incredibly hard state-bred ALW.. Trip will be the deciding factor so don’t be afraid to take prices and spread in the P6..
Most Likely: #12 Urban Flight 8-1
Best Value: #9 Solvent 20-1
Next Best: #6 Missinglisalewis 3-1
Super Add: #10 Piazza Di Spagna 8-1
8th: John Hettinger, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 (POE) Kiawah Cat 7-2
Best Value: #4 Complicity 8-1
Next Best: #8 Maram 5-2
Super Add: #10 Project Rose 10-1
9th: 84th Test (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Cat Moves 2-1
Best Value: #1 Pretty Prolific 12-1
Next Best: #5 First Passage 3-1
Super Add: #8 All of Her Twist 12-1
10th: 82nd Whitney (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Asiatic Boy 6-1
Most Likely: #7 Commentator 8-5
Next Best: #4 Macho Again 7-2
Super Add: #6 Dry Martini 8-1
11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)
Most Likely: #5 Stayawaystella 6-1
Best Value: #6 Treat Her Right 10-1
Next Best: #8 Day Trippi 6-1
Super Add: #12 Tutti Va Bene 15-1
$300 P6 Play:
6: 1-4-5-7
7: 6-9-12
8: 1-8
9: 2
10: 2-7
11: 5-6-8
4x3x2x1x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-4-8
9: 1-2-5-8
10: 2-7
11: 5-6-8
3x4x2x4 = $72
Good luck!
SteveB