Getting lucky helps at BEL; Strong action again Thursday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Couldn’t negotiate tough Belmont carryover Wednesday but did OK on the day via fortuitous $41.60 winner Thomas Hill in the lynchpin 7th. Erratic helmsman Abel Lezcano likely impeded Dominguez and Namron in the stretch on the 20-1 Karl Grusmark trainee, but the result went official without an inquiry or objection and the price triggered juicy multi returns including the $303 late quad and 2 $100+ P3’s. The P6 brought back a nice $70k to 2 winners. Having $14.40 Coach Royal, $20.80 Hlao Roo and Thomas Hill on your ducat deserved every bit of $70k. Hope everybody did well. More excellent weekday action at BEL as well as HOL today!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-1+, 1m (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Purely Majestic 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Evans Rocket 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Earnings Release 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Why Take a Chance 2-1 2nd
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
2yo fillies all debut here including #4 Baby J, the first runner from the first crop of MGSW and SAR 5.5f track record breaker J Be K (Silver Deputy). The former Zayat campaigner was in the news just days ago having been sold by Arkansas farm Trophy Club for stud duty in Argentina. Baby J (6-1) could be very live in this unveiling coming out of Michelle Nihei’s excellent “FTS” barn and being a half to MSW Laureate Conductor (Bernstein) and fast Que Posse (Posse). Mott sends Mrs. Weber’s Seasoned Warrior, a Majestic Warrior bay out of MGSW Saorise making her a half to MGSW Hide and Chic (Seeking the Gold) and MSW Autobahn Girl (A. P. Indy). Mott not famous for sending them out cranked, but this filly has a license to be OK right away and zipped 3f in :35.0 days ago on the BEL training track (2/54)..
Best Value: #4 Baby J 6-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #5 Seasoned Warrior 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Lucky Friend 8-5 4th
3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Baby boys here and while a little against Pletcher filly above, his Discreet Cat colt here for Repole (#5 Onetwentyeight) should be ready at first asking being a half to Tackleberry (Montbrook). Full 3yo sib Please Be Discreet took 4 starts to break maiden earned quickish fig early on..
Most Likely: #5 Onetwentyeight 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Muscles Marinara 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Volastic 2-1 2nd
4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)
Good, well-matched group.
Most Likely: #8 Karakorum Elektra 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2 Shakeira 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Myrtle’s Grey 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Pure Amour 15-1 6th
5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Mightylover 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Jet Set Cat 10-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #10 Alvito 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Manacor 6-1 2nd
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-4-5
3: 5
4: 2-4-6-8-9-10
5: 1-5-6-10
3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)
$1 Pick 4 (4/3,5/8/1) Paid $389.00 ($194.50 for .50)
6th: PASS
7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Preach Tome Daddy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 My Perfect Light 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Considerate 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Christina d’Oro 15-1 2nd
8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)
Brutally tough group with many improving types and honest pace scenario anticipated. I make 6 of the 9 eligible for laurels. Pick and pray..
Most Likely: #9 Vee One Rotate 5-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Saturday’s for Fun 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 English Major 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Forever Faithful 10-1 DNF
9th: Glowing Honor-R, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)
Like the De La Rose in Saratoga, a ‘non Sweepstakes winner on year’ event. I love these. They always draw interesting fields. Violette’s Trix in the City rock solid and a value..
Race hit by heavy SCR’s..
Best Value: #6 Trix in the City 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Whipsaw City 5-2 2nd
10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT
Best Value: #5 Double Berg 5-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #4 Deverell 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Lizzie Bear 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ginagain 4-1
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 3-5-8
8: 2-4-8-9
9: 5-6
10: 2-4-5-8
3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
HOLLYWOOD PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Zuboff 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Royal Meridian 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tizpat 5-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Sarangani 4-1 2nd
6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 John Scott 5-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #8 Rail Trip 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Classic Legacy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Admission 4-1 6th
7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)
Best Value: #1 Doyouseemecoming 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Stirred Up 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Seventh Avenue 5-1 2nd
8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)
As mentioned by Rich Eng, the Baffert filly #7 Executiveprivlege (2-1) comes with big advance press..
Most Likely: #7 Executiveprivlege 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #8 Irish Presence 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Renee’s Queen 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Awesome Annie 5-2 6th
<$50 P4 Play:
5: 1-2-5-6-7-8
6: 1-5-6-8
7: 1-2-5
8: 7
6x4x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36