HollyPark Carry a Challenge; Early BEL P4 covers day..
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Was rolling through the Belmont card adroitly Wednesday before the tricky 7th (Titan of Industry) stopped my run. Previously though, the $240+ early P4 was a winner for $48 which more or less guaranteed a profit for the afternoon. The P4 was nearly a bigger score with 2nd choice (Best Value) Thunder Minister coming agonizingly close to catching top tab (Most Likely) Lemon Shore. Thunder Minister was 18-1 and would have tripled the Quad payout. The $56 exacta ($1) was OK.
Tagg-Lael’s Rollers, in whom I had no interest, blew out the feature, recapturing some of his lost luster from recent outings. The nightcap saw top pick (Most Likely) Chick in Slacks taken down in favor of the third choice (Next Best) Pea Stone from Bruce Levine and prominent Albany, NY area owner Roddy Valente. Behind those two came Nurse Kiki (Super Add) and American Prayer (Best Value as 1st time turf from Tom Bush), for all the necessary elements of the $381 Super ($1).
Hope you did well Wednesday… $125k Carryover at Hollywood this afternoon as weather turns nasty in the Eastern half of the country for the duration of the week (!).
HOLLYWOOD PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Smooth Performer 3-1: Likely fastest if set off break..
Best Value: #3 Life by R R 6-1: 3rd off break; Note MDN win this oval..
Next Best: #6 Birdie Birdie 2-1: Canani miss exits hot set; Must improve..
Exotics Use: #7 Tidal Dance 15-1: 2nd/layoff; Fast CRC races noted..
4th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Papoose La Moose 4-1
Best Value: #7 Al N Con 5-1
Next Best: #5 Practical Magic 7-2
Super Add: #1 Free Lunch 12-1
5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Dailies 4-1: Walsh moves improving Arch filly up again..
Best Value: #1 Andalacia 12-1: Gallagher good 2nd Lasix with imports..
Next Best: #8 Hameilaeme 5-2
Super Add: #3 Always Auditioning 3-1
6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Spacy Tracy 9-2: Aced diploma with big fig off long break..
Next Best: #1 Sweetpea 5-2: Mullins miss got rest off blowout MDN score..
Best Value: #5 Martini Mixer 8-1
Super Add: #2 Joint Agreement 8-1
7th: Robert Kerlan Memorial H., 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)
Terrific minor stake as feature with well-matched cast of characters; Look for prices in the exotics mix..
Most Likely: #2 Delta Storm 3-1: Working sharp for seasonal debut..
Best Value: #4 Wild Diplomat 15-1: Overlaid gelding can stalk and go..
Next Best: #5 Candy Pull 12-1: Better on Holly lawn than down SA hill..
Super Add: #6 Nericon King 20-1: Aussie invader in care of slickster..
8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #15 Senor Afortunado 3-1
Best Value: #12 Flatter Me Again 20-1
Next Best: #6 Magna Cum Laude 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 All Money No Love 5-2
High 5 Play: #9 Don’t Forget Muq 12-1
<$300 P6 Play:
3: 2-3-4-5-6-7
4: 7-8
5: 1-6
6: 1-9
7: 2
8: 6-12-15
6x2x2x2x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
<$75 P4 Play:
5: 1-3-6-8
6: 1-9
7: 2-4-5
8: 6-12-15
4x2x3x3 = $72
Good luck!
Steve