Holiday Cards Nationwide; Belmont Carry Elusive..
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Had winner some where in the selections of the last 6 at Belmont, but it was the kind of day where stringing them together for the P6 ($11k) or P4 ($1,600) was a challenge. Was happy with the runs I made because Smart Engagement wasn’t going to be near the top of my 8th race plays no how, and while I liked Giant Mover enough, the 7th was just too deep.
Well ahead for the Holiday Weekend and fun racing coast to coast again today with many stakes live on ‘At the Races’ later. Please remember the fallen this Memorial Day, and keep badly injured Rene Douglas in your thoughts as well…
Talk to you tonight at 4pm on Sirius 126/XM 104…
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Eldoktori 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Lemon Shore 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Snowstalker 3-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Marq of Love 7-2 6th
$1 Exacta (4-7) Paid $28.25
9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Relatively Ready 5-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Scorch the Torch 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Piazza Di Spagna 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Pavlov’s Dog 30-1 8th
10th: 116th Metropolitan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)
What this edition of the handicap standard lacks in headliners, it makes up for in solid stakes performers looking for a career-defining win..
Most Likely: #11 Bribon 3-1: Tremendous last and typically better 2nd/break.. WON
Best Value: #12 Driven by Success 20-1: Big price on fast NY-bred; Held own in Carter.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Smooth Air 4-1: Got time after Gr. II GP score and colic scare.. 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mr. Sidney 10-1: Gets chance to show mettle on main; May leap forward.. 11th
$1 Exacta (11-2) Paid $16.10
$1 Trifecta (11-2-12) Paid $159.00
11th: CLM/N2L, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super)
Most Likely: #4 Manitowish Waters 2-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Hint 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Clever Martini 8-1 6th
Super Add: #8 High On Candy 10-1 4th
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-4-7-11
9: 2-5-6-7-8-10
10: 11
11: 4-5-11
4x6x1x3 = $72
$1 Pick 4 (4-6-10/11-3/4/6/9/13/14) 4 Correct Paid $170.75
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
10th (5:29pm): 6th Winning Colors (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6f
Most Likely: #5 Dubai Majesty 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Lady Chace 10-1 2nd-DQ’d to 3rd
Next Best: #1 Keep the Peace 5-2 3rd-Up to 2nd
$1 Exacta (5-1) Paid $8.10
$1 Trifecta (5-1-6) Paid $53.10
LONE STAR
POST-SCRATCHES
7th: 13th Dallas Turf Cup H. (Gr. III), 3+, 9f-T (.50 P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Seaspeak 6-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Red Rock Creek 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ernesto 6-1 2nd
8th: 13th Valid Expectations, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, Super)
Most Likely: #2 P.S.U. Grad 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wrenice 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Pious Ashley 5-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Stealth Cat 6-1 4th
9th: 11th Ouija Board Distaff H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Flibberjibit 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Superior Storm 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Wasted Tears 20-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Rustic Flame 9-2 5th
$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $107.70
10th: 13th Lone Star Park H. (Gr. !!!), 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 It’s a Bird 1-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Z Fortune 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Magnum 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Jonesboro 6-1 2nd
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 2-4
8: 1-2-4-5
9: 1-4-5-6
10: 1-7-8
2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4/5/4/7) Paid $204.75
HOLLYWOOD PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #1 Fire Break 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Magna Cum Laude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #12 Seven Below 12-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Noble Courage 6-1 4th
6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Midnight Crush 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 My Maloof Rocker 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Kicken Vixen 7-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Pericia Fina 6-1 5th
7th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Best Value: #10 Nene 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lunch Time 7-2 8th
Super Add: #3 Self Insured 8-1 2nd
8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Temple City 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seminole Native 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Fiery Trippi 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Heroi Do Bafra 5-1 6th
9th: 66th Showmaker Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
SCR #4 Ventura
Best Value: #6 Thorn Song 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Whatsthescript 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 U S Ranger 5-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Hyperbaric 4-1 2nd
10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super High 5)
Most Likely: #5 SCR
Best Value: #13 Candy Coat 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Truly a Delight 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Box Office Star 6-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #7 Domestic Gold 9-2 6th
Very challenging sequence of races.. P6 and P4 both will be difficult to navigate today..
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 1
6: 3-6
7: 4-10
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-6
10: 7-9-13-14
1x2x2x3x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 4-10
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-6-7
10: 7-9-13-14
2x3x3x4 = $72
Good luck!
Steve