$63k Belmont carryover the focus after big Saturday..
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
Enjoyed a very strong afternoon of play Saturday with nearly everything working to the good. Lone setback was absense off 4th choice Joey’s Chance on P4 ticket missing $1,600 bonanza, but that frustrator was offset by the $1,635 Super High 5 play in the Hollywood nightcap! After falling short in NY though, the Quad plays got back on track with $792 Arlington and $265 Hollywood hits.
Other niceties on the day included Brass Hat’s crazy 6-1 price ($14.00) in the Louisville H., which was too good to pass up, and the $1,100 superfecta in the Arlington Matron. You needed to box up my P4 uses in the Matron to find that mutuel, which was tripped by 7-1 Euphony whom I tabbed 4th as a Super Add. But the key for me in the race was 42-1 Home’s the Best who rallied belatedly to grab 4th.
Hope you did great! $63k carryover at Belmont today which should be a fun afternoon if the rain stays away…
BELMONT PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: 59th Vagrancy (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Any Limit 2-1: Zipped :58.2; Back on fave oval..
Next Best: #4 Game Face 4-5: Can win obviously, but 4-5?
Best Value: #3 Porte Bonheur 3-1: Legit shot on best..
5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Averymerrymoment 9-5: Moving forward; Fear ‘seconditis’..
Best Value: #4 Driven by Royalty 12-1: Should jump up on proper surface..
Next Best: #9 Refinery Fire 5-1: Passed on 12 hole Thursday; Improving..
Super Add: #6 Kitty’s Wish 10-1: Consistent money-burner always close..
6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Beam of Love 7-2: Contessa now 2 for 67; Red alternating efforts..
Next Best: #3 Collegiate 5-2: 3yo $400k Team Valor buy working well for return..
Exotics Use: #5 Bright Star 3-1: Philly maidenbreaker looks ordinary..
7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Tricky race hinges in no small part on cast members from 4/19 AQU heat won by Ready Formycloseup, (who faded late in the Dame Ellen-Lisa B thriller Thursday). Half a Surprise (2-1), Giant Mover (8-1) and Upper Gulch (8-1) were less than a length apart that day, yet note disparity of early tote on them today…
Most Likely: #2 Gold d’Oro 3-1: Mott miss 9f KEE try was her best yet..
Best Value: #3 Upper Gulch 8-1: Fits well with 4/19 cast; Kelly rolling..
Next Best: #7 Driven Snow 4-1
Exitics Use: #5 Giant Mover 8-1
8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Our Golden Dream 4-1: Tad short when 2nd in soph return..
Best Value: #4 Sax in the City 5-1: Carlos sharp operator off break..
Next Best: #10 Paraiba 3-1
Super Add: #7 Smart Engagement 4-1
9th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Natural Speed 2-1
Next Best: #4 I’ve Got Speed 5-1
Best Value: #5 Can’t Refuse 15-1
Super Add: #1 Kenta Kun 4-1
10th: MYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T
Best Value: #6 Lady at the Lake 6-1: Morrison sod mover an alternative in weak group..
Most Likely: #2 Imthequeenofqueens 3-1: Approaching hopelessness; Last try first turf..
Next Best: #8 Nurse Kiki 7-2
Super Add: #1 (POE) Stormie Gray 8-1
<$250 P6 Play:
5: 3-4-6-7-9
6: 1-3
7: 2-3
8: 1
9: 2-4-5
10: 2-6
5x2x2x1x3x2 = 120 x $2 = $240
<$100 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-5-7-8
8: 1-4
9: 2-4-5
10: 2-6-8
5x2x3x3 = $90
Good luck!
Steve