Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Derby season warms in NoLa with G3 Lecomte

Saturday, January 21st, 2012

GULFSTREAM PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108′ (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Some attractive options at bonus totes here. Animal Kingdom full brother Thursby tries to get moving in right direction. Potentially a big day for Team Valor with Crimson China in the 4th, Vamos a Ver in the 8th and the top pair in the 3yo turf stake Kitten’s Joy later..

Best Value: #6 Coach Royal 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Godard 8-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Punctual Jeff 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Saturnus 8-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

A less-engaging than expected 3yo ALW. Not much speed here, so if Juan Leyva can take control, there’s a chance Rev It Up wires them. Lone speed is the first scenario you look for in 7f races. Andy Serling taught me that 15 years ago..

NOTE: Original top tab (Best Value: #1 Rev It Up 8-10) has SCR’d

Most Likely: #6 Angel’s Tune 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tarpy’s Goal 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #5 Rex’s Last Tour 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Dangerous Trick 6-1 2nd

8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 12f-T/48′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Chess match with favored Gondorf inside and trying to take them the trip under Contreras. Gets subtle class relief too from good McKnight and straight N1X tries since coming south. Navy Wings (20-1) an interesting price idea under Kent D. who is very under-rated pilot turf routing. Why is Pletcher running the Maiden in here? Crying for the added ground and no MDN race likely this distance I guess?

Most Likely: #1 Gondorf 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Navy Wings 20-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Seaside Retreat 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Vamos a Ver 4-1 2nd

9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Mostly un-raced set with some solid pedigrees. Storm On the Loose from sharp Catalano is a half to Riley Tucker. Liberty Bound dropped by fleet Larry Jones trainee Hello Liberty who won the G2 Nassau in ’06 ahead of placement behind Bushfire in the G1 Acorn..

Best Value: #7 Storm On the Loose 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Chosen Heir 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Nonno’s Boy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Z Vilna 6-1 2nd

10th: 13th Kitten’s Joy, 3yo, 8.5f-T/108′ (DD, Super)

Feels like the top choices are simply best here..

Most Likely: #5 Lucky Chappy 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Cozzetti 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Howe Great 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Italo 4-2 5th

11th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/48′ (Super, Super Hi-5)

Ugly end to good sequence. Perhaps half of this field can win at a glance and another 3-4 have jump-up potential and be aware of #13 English Beauty should she draw in of AE’s..

Most Likely: #8 Sheerflakesofgold 6-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Green Tea Icecream 8-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Ainsley 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Morediamondsplease 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Imperial Strike 4-1 WON ($11.00)

<$50 P5 Play:

7: 3-4-5-6
8: 1-5
9: 3-7
10: 5-6
11: 4-8-12

4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-5-9
9: 1-2-3-7-8-9
10: 5-6
11: 4-8-12

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 27th Gaudin, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cash Refund 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Gantry 9-5 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #3 Mambo Galliano 8-1 4th

5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Sporting Holiday 6-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Albin 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Atom Splitter 9-2 6th
Super Add: #9 Meldrick 8-1 2nd

6th: 20th Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

All eyes on Stall’s Applauding trying to convert brilliance into two turn aptitude.. SCRATCHED..

Most Likely: #6 Summer Applause 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Inny Minnie 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Yvete Sangalo 12-1 5th

7th: 26th Col. Bradley (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Suntracer 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Dubious Miss 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Lonesome Street 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Mr. Vegas 9-2 WON ($12.40)

8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Proper Empire 5-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Donoharm 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Congenial 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Atlantic Titan 20-1 WON ($64.20)

9th: 66th Louisiana H., 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Thiskyhasnolimit 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Fast Alex 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Gleam of Hope 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Alma d’Oro 3-1 3rd

<$75 P5 Play:

5: 2-3-8-9
6: 6
7: 2-4-6
8: 1-5-6
9: 2-4-6-9

4x1x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

10th: 47th Pan Zareta, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wild About Marie 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #13 Inspired 10-1 WON ($32.80)
Next Best: #10 Flash Mash 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Rapport 5-1 DNF

11th: 68th Lecomte (G3), 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Well-matched though non-descript group start the road to the rich LA Derby. Waiting for word from Bernie Flint regarding Exfactor’s inclusion after he kicked his stall earlier this week and became iffy for today’s event. Suggest using as many as you can afford in the P4..

Most Likely: #2e Zayat entry 6-1 2nd/4th
Best Value: #3 Ted’s Folly 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Bowling 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #11 Shared Property 4-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-5-6
9: 2-4-6-8
10: 5-13
11: 2-3-4-5-8-11

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

AQU, SA C/O’s on nice slates to start raceweek!

Thursday, January 19th, 2012
Was having solid Holiday Weekend up until getting stymied in the anchor leg of the GP P4 Sunday and was subsequently beaten up badly chasing the Santa Anita P6. Two exceedingly tricky P6 sequences Thursday in NY and CA to get the raceweek going…
 
AQUEDUCT
 
POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

As discussed Tuesday with Andy Serling on ATR, Sportswriter (4-1) is new in Rudy Rod barn off Flying Zee dispersal purchase by savvy owner Dubb. Former trainer of that gelding Carlos Martin has the horse to beat in Bizarroworld (2-1). Think I’m Hooked (6-1) turns back after disasterous stretchout try in Runyon. Bulleted for this spot but you have to live with Valdivia in irons. Half Nelson, Little Dale and Cat Paws all with chance. Brutal way to start carryover!

Most Likely: #7 Bizarroworld 2-1
Best Value: #6 Think I’m Hooked 6-1
Next Best: #1 Sportswriter 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Little Dale 8-1

5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Top 3 faves look to be a cut above and well-matched. Cat Sweep broke his maiden this strip and could factor with a forward move..

Most Likely: #2 Same Old Wish 7-2
Next Best: #3 Lindell A. C. 3-1
Best Value: #4 Cat Sweep 6-1

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

I’m not convinced that short-priced Supsa, Full of Intent or Caps Lady are that much better than an alternative like King of the Disco who was aggressively placed and now dives down looking for a win..

Best Value: #7 King of the Disco 15-1
Next Best: #4 Full of Intent 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Caps Lady 5-2
Super Add: #1 Supsa 2-1

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Those that can’t see what purse hike has done for NY entry box should note trainers visiting AQU for this $69k purse: Jeff Runco, Butch Reid, Bennie Perkins Jr., et al. Really fun betting race and an event where it feels like there will be enough pace for stalker-closers to have their chance..

Best Value: #4 Emily Allstar 10-1
Next Best: #8 Great Gracie Dane 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Coco Ecolo 5-2
Super Add: #1 Indian Burn 8-1

8th: Biogio’s Rose-R, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Confusing little group in Empire stake named for the Polish Numbers mare that won 16 times and $800k for the Nastasis under the direction of Bobby Ribaudo (and Kay Jensen early on)..

Best Value: #1 Hard Mystery 8-1
Next Best: #4 Bourbon Street Girl 9-5
Exotics Use: #6 Lion Alexandra 4-1
Super Add: #2 Mill Branch Millie 12-1

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (Super)

If Easy Ending doesn’t run her race stretching out, and Rudy Rod doesn’t have strong numbers first route (1 win in 16 starts), this thing could get blown open..

Most Likely: #7 Easy Ending 2-1
Best Value: #4 Little Larky 10-1
Exotics Use: #1 Wise Choice 15-1
Next Best: #3 Ginger Snapit 4-1

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 1-6-7
5: 2-3-4
6: 7
7: 4-8
8: 1
9: 4-7

3x3x1x2x1x2 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-7
7: 1-2-4-8
8: 1-2-4-6
9: 1-4-7

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Stealcase 2-1
Best Value: #8 Round Midnight 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Big John B 6-1
Super Add: #5 Windsurfer 4-1

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/48′ (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific betting race with a solid but not not invincible fave and 4 well-priced hook-ups..

Most Likely: #2 Corporate Jungle 3-1
Best Value: #6 Exclusive Strike 10-1
Next Best: #8 Eternal Ruler 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Trend 12-1
Super Add: #9 Quantity 6-1

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Maryjean 2-1
Next Best: #2 I Sense Your Luck 9-5
Exotics Use: #4 Purple Starduster 5-2

4th: S/ALW, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Tough to get too creative v. the 3-5 fave, but Clearance Clarence is OK and impressed clockers with last drill..

Most Likely: #4 Ultimate Decision 3-5
Next Best: #3 Clearance Clarence 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 El Tango Ray 7-2

5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Clean Break 2-1
Next Best: #1 Vonn Nez 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 The Grans 5-2

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

P6 play calls for some out-on-limb ideas. Singling Line One..

Most Likely: #10 LINE ONE 6-1
Next Best: #1 Russian River 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Subpeona the Dress 3-1
Super Add: #6 Classy Attraction 20-1

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Arrivederci Caro 8-1
Next Best: #7 Meltarib 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Suances Flower 9-2
Super Add: #1 Really Elegant 15-1

8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Pretty darn good bunch for $40k maidens..

Best Value: #10 Apply 12-1
Next Best: #5 Bull Ring 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Baron Von Red 6-1
Super Add: #9 Sky Fox 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #8 Relentless Heat 4-1

<$150 P6 Play:

3: 2-4-6
4: 3-4
5: 1-3
6: 10
7: 3-5-7
8: 5-10

3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = 4144

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-4
6: 1-10
7: 1-3-5-7
8: 2-4-5-8-9-10

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

$103k SA C/O anchors strong day of action

Sunday, January 15th, 2012

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Looks like Juan Carlos Guerrero will be testing his luck in NY more often given his travails in PA..

Most Likely: #3 Dryfly 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Winaholic 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Game Token 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Midnite Silver 3-1 WON ($4.20)

2nd: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Inside speed was impossible to deal with Saturday, so Coaltown Legend may be up against it trying to close. Good news is there is no shortage of pace here to prompt a collapse. Cohen, who can be maddening to count on, is frequently best on these kinds of horses in this type of situation..

Best Value: #8 Coaltown Legend 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bound by Humor 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Wise Stop 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Mineswept 4-1 WON ($9.70)

3rd: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Predictably quirky cast looking for a second win. He”s a Scrooge and Trackmens Star drop to lowest level while Black Market Money offers an alternative with turnback potential at a square price. Lime Zest has races that can win, but Blake-Baeza tough to take. NOTE: Original choice #11 Trackmens Star a SCR….

Most Likely: #3 He’s a Scrooge 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #7 Black Market Money 12-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Lime Zest 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Solution Finders 7-2 4th

4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Open group kind of an indicator of new face enhancement this winter in NY with Kenneally and McPeek bringing 3 to the heat. Stretchout candidate Sporting Gent (Sharp Humor) is a half to Honest Man (Unbridled’s Song) and Two Seventeen (Thunder Gulch), is a Lew Schaffel homebred from the mare that gave him Sal the Barber (Alphabet Soup)..

Most Likely: #8 Quorum 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Sporting Gent 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Quiet Man 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Two Seventeen 5-1 WON ($15.80)

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Juddmonte-Mott bring Nebraska (Street Cry) back here and stretch out the daughter of the stable’s wonderful Honest Lady (Seattle Slew-Toussaud) whom Bobby Frankel trained to 3 G2 wins and a narrow loss to Kona Gold in the ’00 BC Sprint. Nebraska’s half brother First Defense was also a major SW (G1 Forego), but Street Cry’s aptitude as a sire is 3X more potent routing and the second turn should be the difference in filly’s second start..

Best Value: #2 Nebraska 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Malibu Holiday 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Street Dreams 15-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Down by Law 3-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-8
3: 3-7-10
4: 1-4-6-8
5: 2-5

4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/3,11/6/5) Paid $141.50

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/60′ (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Super competitive group.. #8 Immaculate Cat a SCR..

Best Value: #4 Dracup 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Nandira 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Whipsaw City 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #6 Inaugurate 5-1 4th

9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P3. DD, Super)

Pletcher debuts Varismo, a full sister to Octave and Unbridled Behavior, but must overcome difficult slot for bow. Pompa-Romans Street Sense grey Silverette is a half to Going Ballistic..

Most Likely: #6 Kaleidoscope 6-1 WON ($11.80)
Best Value: #2 Coasting 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Varismo 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Summer Sonnet 8-1 6th

10th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/60′ (DD, Super)

Best Value:#9 Neon Light 12-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Race to Urga 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Safe Crossing 6-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Font 8-1 3rd

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/

Most Likely: #8 Silent Joy 6-1 11th
Best Value: #7 Vision of Romance 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Vixen’s Roar 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Queen for Life 7-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Night Brigade 6-1 6th

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-6-7
9: 1-2-6
10: 2-9-10
11: 1-3-7-8

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 61st Santa Ynez (G2), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

The ‘now’ filly is Reneesgotzip who dazzled in Dec. debut and goes immediately into this ripe GS opportunity for Miller and the Lanni Family. Surprisingly for a Cali stake dash, she appears to be nearly the lone speed. Sadler-Naify’s Rowdy Gal is an under-radar 2 for 2 and the red by Pure Prize (Sire of the perfect Now I Know as well) merits consideration. Baffert hopes to get Candrea to straighten up and fly right with return to sprinting. Small field but well worth watching..

Best Value: #3 Rowdy Gal 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Reneesgotzip 1-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Candrea 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Painted Woman 8-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Glorified 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #9 Carousel 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Dubai Perfecto 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Warren’s Hopeful 15-1 6th

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super):

Ellis’ Duplo Rapido a single for me third off the long break, first on ‘real’ dirt and with ideal style..

Best Value: #3 Duplo Rapido 4-1
Next Best: #5 Merlin Z 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Absolutcat 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Outlaw Kelly 6-1 6th

7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Good group coming down the hill. Oak Kye Why wired $50k types this course in November and would string these out with a repeat, but it’s predictably more involved than that with this quirky layout..

Best Value: #10 Obsess 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Romeo Royale 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Oak Kye Why 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Ten Devils 6-1 3rd

8th: 10th Paseana H., F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Narrow plays have option of singling Ellis-Jay Em Ess mare Vision in Gold who may simply have this group at her mercy. Harty gets Kayce Ace back to dirt for only the 2nd time and Tiznow mare may slip through the cracks. Heavy Exacta under the fave..

Most Likely: #6 Vision in Gold 2-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Kayce Ace 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Briecat 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Fashion Trend 8-1 7th

9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Nonrefundable 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 Just Jumped In 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 G Ten 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Knucklebuster 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Tiz Victorious 8-1 7th

<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2-3
5: 8-9
6: 3
7: 6-7-8-10
8: 6
9: 1-4-8

2x2x1x4x1x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

$72 or $36 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-7
7: 5-6-7-8-9-10
8: 6
9: 1-4-6-8

3x6x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36

Winter action picks up in intensity; AQU C/O

Saturday, January 14th, 2012

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Big question is how to view the 2 similar events 12/15 and 12/28 from which 7 of these exit, and the earlier version may be the right one to gravitate toward. And what do you do with #3 Big Fearless (8-1) off the 13 month break? Really good start to an excellent card..

#5 Able Bellamy (4-1) a SCR..

Most Likely: #4 Hangover Kid 2-1 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #7 Sound of Drums 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Idle American 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Big Fearless 8-1 5th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

#2 Hardened Wildcat (3-1) is out of GSW mare Wild Snitch and half to sharp sprinter Vengeful Wildcat. $325k Darley buy #1a Le Bernardin is by Bernardini and half to an excellent GSW Mott mare some should remember, Taittinger Rose (Menifee)..

Most Likely: #2 Hardened Wildcat 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #3 Rockin Boogie 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e McLaughlin entry 4-1 4th/5th

3rd: Shots are Ringing, 4yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Race torn up by SCR’s of Socialsaul & Rustler Hustler..

Most Likely: #3 San Pablo 3-5 WON ($2.20)
Best Value: #4 Isn’t He Perfect 12-1 2nd

4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$20k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Scorper 3-1 DNF
Best Value: #11 Metaurus 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Dr. W 8-5 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Troponin 12-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Our own Dee Tee filly #10 Ausable Chasm (9-2) adds Ramon Dominguez to try and build on strong try a fortnight ago and could sit a good stalking trip. Contessa is giving away #6 Lake Song (7-2) who would run away if able to approach level of Busanda try a year ago. #9 Stellars Theory (3-1) is the most consistant participant signed on and adds blinkers. #1 Warrior Marie (8-1) broke her maiden under today’s pilot and looks a threat. #12 Rock Glory (20-1) is a big overlay abandoning Husbands for the 7# bug and could juice proceedings with anything close to the August effort at MTH..

Most Likely: #9 Stellars Theory 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Ausable Chasm 9-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Warrior Marie 8-1 WON ($18.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Real Glory 20-1 7th

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-5
3: 3
4: 1-5-7-10-11
5: 1-6-9-10-12

4x1x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/1,3,6/1/1) Paid $81.12

6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Bojan 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Max’s First 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Magenta 5-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Even Frisky 10-1 6th

7th: 35th Ruthless, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Agave Kiss may be OK, but will you be shocked if she gets beat? This feels tricky with a number of out-of-towners and other progressive possibilities. Fun little stake..

Most Likely: #5 Agave Kiss 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #9 Well Kept 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Better Lucky 8-1 5th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

No less than 3 here — Star of New York, Iron Lou, Itsagoodtendollars — run 1st off the claim, with all going to sharp operators. Not a lot of speed involved either, so look for Lopez to hustle Itsagoodtendollars from that wide berth..

Most Likely: #9 Itsagoodtendollars 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Iron Lou 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Star of New York 8-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #7 Summer Share 20-1 6th

9th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Obviously, anything close to the Gulfstream run from Panthro wins here..

Most Likely: #6 Panthro 4-5 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #7 Quiet Eyes 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Pearl of Wisdom 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Officerandafoose 5-1 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-5-10-11
5: 1-9-10
6: 8
7: 5
8: 3-8-9
9: 6-7

4x3x1x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (1/1/1/1,2,3,5/3/5,6,9,11,13,14) Paid $222.50 (5OF6)

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 6-8-12
7: 5-6-7-9-10
8: 3-8-9
9: 6-7

3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Miss Partypants 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Pearl in the Sand 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Colonial Flag 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Hookipa 12-1 9th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ecabroni 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #5 Restructuring Plan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Rise Against 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Arm Force 6-1 4th

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Walker’s Landing 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Versailles Road 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Carnival Ride 12-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Keep Me Informed 8-1 9th

9th: 24th Hal’s Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Jackson Bend 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Sangaree 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Soaring Empire 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Cool Blue Red Hot 12-1 3rd

10th: 57th Ft. Lauderdale (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Yummy With Butter 10-1 6th-DQ’d from 2nd
Next Best: #5 Mutual Trust 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Uptowncharleybrown 15-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Teaks North 8-1 7th

11th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 9f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Summer Kitten 4-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Corbins Village 9-5 7th
Best Value: #6 Roses for the Star 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #15 Wet One 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Hi-5 Play: #3 Another Please 6-1 2nd

<$75 P5 Play:

7: 5-7-8
8: 7-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-4-5-7-10-11
11: 8-9

3x2x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-7-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-4-5-7-10-11
11: 6-8-9-15

4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$20k C/O result of AQU Thursday prices

Thursday, January 12th, 2012
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MDN CLM (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Fortydeuce 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 War Romance 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Kevin Silverlaspia 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Seawalker 3-1 5th

5th: MSW (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 This Hard Land 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #4 Alarmist 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Our Eli 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 John Joe 20-1 5th

6th: OC/N2X, (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 This One’s for Phil 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Laysh Laysh Laysh 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1a Mannington 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 De Price 6-1 2nd

7th: CLM (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Keechi Bullet 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Won Great Classic 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #10 System Restore 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 No Detour 15-1 3rd

8th: CLM (DD, Super)

SCR 1, 8, 9..

Most Likely: #4 The Silver Machine 6th
Best Value: #2 House of Leaves 2nd
Next Best: #7 Downhill Joey WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Shea Goodbye 5th

9th: CLM/N2L (Super)

SCR 1, 2, 7, 9..

Most Likely: #11 Fair Whit 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Perfection Plus 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Chairman Now 9-2 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Worth a Buck 5-2 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 7
5: 3-4-5
6: 4-8
7: 1-4-10
8: 2-4
9: 5-11

1x3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-8
7: 1-4-10
8: 2-4-6-7
9: 4-5-6-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,6,8/1,3,5,9/7/4) Paid $37.37