AQU, SA C/O’s on nice slates to start raceweek!

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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Was having solid Holiday Weekend up until getting stymied in the anchor leg of the GP P4 Sunday and was subsequently beaten up badly chasing the Santa Anita P6. Two exceedingly tricky P6 sequences Thursday in NY and CA to get the raceweek going…
 
AQUEDUCT
 
POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

As discussed Tuesday with Andy Serling on ATR, Sportswriter (4-1) is new in Rudy Rod barn off Flying Zee dispersal purchase by savvy owner Dubb. Former trainer of that gelding Carlos Martin has the horse to beat in Bizarroworld (2-1). Think I’m Hooked (6-1) turns back after disasterous stretchout try in Runyon. Bulleted for this spot but you have to live with Valdivia in irons. Half Nelson, Little Dale and Cat Paws all with chance. Brutal way to start carryover!

Most Likely: #7 Bizarroworld 2-1
Best Value: #6 Think I’m Hooked 6-1
Next Best: #1 Sportswriter 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Little Dale 8-1

5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Top 3 faves look to be a cut above and well-matched. Cat Sweep broke his maiden this strip and could factor with a forward move..

Most Likely: #2 Same Old Wish 7-2
Next Best: #3 Lindell A. C. 3-1
Best Value: #4 Cat Sweep 6-1

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

I’m not convinced that short-priced Supsa, Full of Intent or Caps Lady are that much better than an alternative like King of the Disco who was aggressively placed and now dives down looking for a win..

Best Value: #7 King of the Disco 15-1
Next Best: #4 Full of Intent 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Caps Lady 5-2
Super Add: #1 Supsa 2-1

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Those that can’t see what purse hike has done for NY entry box should note trainers visiting AQU for this $69k purse: Jeff Runco, Butch Reid, Bennie Perkins Jr., et al. Really fun betting race and an event where it feels like there will be enough pace for stalker-closers to have their chance..

Best Value: #4 Emily Allstar 10-1
Next Best: #8 Great Gracie Dane 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Coco Ecolo 5-2
Super Add: #1 Indian Burn 8-1

8th: Biogio’s Rose-R, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Confusing little group in Empire stake named for the Polish Numbers mare that won 16 times and $800k for the Nastasis under the direction of Bobby Ribaudo (and Kay Jensen early on)..

Best Value: #1 Hard Mystery 8-1
Next Best: #4 Bourbon Street Girl 9-5
Exotics Use: #6 Lion Alexandra 4-1
Super Add: #2 Mill Branch Millie 12-1

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (Super)

If Easy Ending doesn’t run her race stretching out, and Rudy Rod doesn’t have strong numbers first route (1 win in 16 starts), this thing could get blown open..

Most Likely: #7 Easy Ending 2-1
Best Value: #4 Little Larky 10-1
Exotics Use: #1 Wise Choice 15-1
Next Best: #3 Ginger Snapit 4-1

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 1-6-7
5: 2-3-4
6: 7
7: 4-8
8: 1
9: 4-7

3x3x1x2x1x2 = 36 x $2 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-7
7: 1-2-4-8
8: 1-2-4-6
9: 1-4-7

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Stealcase 2-1
Best Value: #8 Round Midnight 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Big John B 6-1
Super Add: #5 Windsurfer 4-1

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/48′ (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific betting race with a solid but not not invincible fave and 4 well-priced hook-ups..

Most Likely: #2 Corporate Jungle 3-1
Best Value: #6 Exclusive Strike 10-1
Next Best: #8 Eternal Ruler 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Trend 12-1
Super Add: #9 Quantity 6-1

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Maryjean 2-1
Next Best: #2 I Sense Your Luck 9-5
Exotics Use: #4 Purple Starduster 5-2

4th: S/ALW, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Tough to get too creative v. the 3-5 fave, but Clearance Clarence is OK and impressed clockers with last drill..

Most Likely: #4 Ultimate Decision 3-5
Next Best: #3 Clearance Clarence 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 El Tango Ray 7-2

5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Clean Break 2-1
Next Best: #1 Vonn Nez 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 The Grans 5-2

6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

P6 play calls for some out-on-limb ideas. Singling Line One..

Most Likely: #10 LINE ONE 6-1
Next Best: #1 Russian River 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Subpeona the Dress 3-1
Super Add: #6 Classy Attraction 20-1

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Arrivederci Caro 8-1
Next Best: #7 Meltarib 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Suances Flower 9-2
Super Add: #1 Really Elegant 15-1

8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Pretty darn good bunch for $40k maidens..

Best Value: #10 Apply 12-1
Next Best: #5 Bull Ring 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Baron Von Red 6-1
Super Add: #9 Sky Fox 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #8 Relentless Heat 4-1

<$150 P6 Play:

3: 2-4-6
4: 3-4
5: 1-3
6: 10
7: 3-5-7
8: 5-10

3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = 4144

<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-4
6: 1-10
7: 1-3-5-7
8: 2-4-5-8-9-10

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

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