Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

Day-Night action makes for outageous Saturday

Saturday, June 16th, 2012

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Notmyfirstime 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Dylan Dangerous 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 B Shanny 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 D’ Sauvage 10-1 6th

8th: 38th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Summer Front 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #9 Howe Great 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Spring to the Sky 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Handsome 12-1 8th

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #3 Schillerette 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Satin Sheets 7-5 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Elusive Rumor 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Super Add: #11 Late SCR

10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f T

Best Value: #3 Stone Maker 15-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Carey Princess 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sherry Bay G. 9-5 WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #11 Mattie’s Warrior 15-1 9th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-9
8: 1-5-6-9
9: 1-3-10
10: 3-7-8-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,5/1,11,12,13,14/1/8,12,13) Paid $33.25

COLONIAL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: S/HCP, 3+, 9.5f-T (P4, DD)

Best Value: #2 Cajun Bayou 20-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Sir Rabbit 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Private Tale 8-5 10th
Super Add: #4 Share Out 5-1 3rd

5th: 12th DaHoss, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Slews Answer 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Sleepless Knight 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Concealed Identity 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Lentanor 5-1 5th

6th: 14th Ned Evans All Along (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Pernelle 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Another Smokey 20-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Pachattack 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Snow Top Mountain 5-1 WON ($15.40)

7th: 8th Colonial Cup, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Air Support 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Forte Dei Marmi 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Turbo Compressor 2-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Rahystrada 5-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-4-5-9
5: 3-9
6: 3-4-5
7: 1-2-4-5-7

5x2x3x5 = 150 = $75

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Condurre 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Laope 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Start the Party 5-1 6th
Exotics Use:: #2 Count the Gold 10-1 5th

2nd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Emmy Rules 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Woodford Lady 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Dancin’ Lil 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Holiday Soiree 5-2 WON ($7.20)

3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Astrology 8-5 6th
Best Value: #6 Crystal Moment 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Achaemenes 6-1 WON ($19.40)
Exotics Use: #5 It Happened Again 3-1 5th

4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Incredibly deep and contentious. I make 8 possible for laurels..

Most Likely: #7 Run a Risk 9-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Maid of Heaven 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dos Lunas 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Sisterhood 4-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

1: 3-4-8
2: 3-4-6
3: 1-3-5-6
4: 1-7-8-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

5th: 15th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Using all 5 in multis..

Most Likely: #3 Right to Vote 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Macho Macho 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Master Rick 3-1 5th

6th: 43rd Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

One of the best races of the day. Wide open..

Best Value: #4 Treasured Up 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Centre Court 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Left a Message 8-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Funny Proposition 8-1 8th

<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-6
4: 1-7
5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 2-4-7-9-11

2x2x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50

7th: 37th Fleur de Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sterling Madame 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Royal Delta 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Afleeting Lady 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 St. John’s River 3-1 3rd

8th: 31st Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wise Dan 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Alternation 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Ron the Greek 6-1 WON ($20.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Fort Larned 5-1 8th

<$100 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 2-3-4-5-7-8-9-10-11
7: 1-2-3-5
8: 1

5x9x4x1 = 180 x .50 = $90

$405 CD quad hit makes Thursday swings worthwhile

Friday, June 15th, 2012

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

About half of this field appear capable..

Most Likely: #1 Superstrella 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Lion Prince 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Br. Alexander 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Volcano Run 5-1 WON ($8.20)

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Typical turf sprint hodge-podge with droppers, first off claims, surface switches, et al..

Best Value: #7 Departures 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Decision Point 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Freud’s Debut 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Luigi P 8-1 5th

8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ullapool 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 Bid a Moon 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a Miss Woods 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Princess Mara 4-1 2nd

9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT

I’m a big fan of hard-hitting 7yo Fisherman’s Wharf, but without much pace involved here, Shmooz Talker could be very dangerous on front end while adding Napravnik..

Most Likely: #2 Fisherman’s Wharf 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Shmooz Talker 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #7 Beckham Bend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Congo 8-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5-7-10-12
7: 3-6-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 2-4

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

ARLINGTON PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Ginny’s Classic 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Go Gladys Go 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Kitten 5-2 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #5 Soaring Goddess 5-1 4th

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 High Flying Jake 8-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #6 Lead the Way 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Sahm Like It Hot 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bandini’s Dream 5-1 6th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Proctor’s #7 Squad (5-2) too short to take off long break. Big Tom better 2nd/off anyway. Not impossible, but..

Best Value: #5 Amazing Results 10-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Triple Check 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 All Stormy 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Bwana Brave 8-1 4th

9th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 1m (Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 J S P Pals Forever 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Tribecky 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Darkest Hour 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Neverrguwithrichie 10-1 WON ($10.00)
Hi-5 Play: #11 Lil Carmelita 6-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-7
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-2-5-7-8
9: 6-8-10

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50

Belmont, Churchill draw mid-week attention..

Thursday, June 14th, 2012

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Really well-matched group featuring class droppers, plenty of pace and several interesting prices to consider..

Most Likely: #1 Ezzy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Galaxy Kat 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Al’s Lark 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Missle Motor 8-1 3rd

7th: NY-MSW, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Simple Rules 6th
Best Value: #2 Given Fire 7th
Next Best: #10 Anchovy 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Flirtatious Spring 3rd

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Associate 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #2 Spin Out 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Green Monster 5-2 5th

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #10 Leroidessioux WON-Via DQ ($6.00)
Next Best: #8 Succinct 3rd
Best Value: #13 Padmore Village 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Star Walk 7th

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-5
7: 1-2-3-6-8-9-10
8: 1
9: 2-4-6-8-9-10-13

2x7x1x7 = 98 x .50 = $49

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Governor’s Bridge 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Dr. Jago 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 McKayla’s Wish 7-2 WON ($9.40)

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Outta Tune 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Tiban 6-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #1 (POE) Plasma Beam 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lou Brissie 12-1 4th

7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Judy the Beauty finally returns..

Most Likely: #1 Judy the Beauty 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Well Deserved 3-1 WON ($17.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Wild About Marie 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Cascadilla Falls 5-1 5th

8th: ALW/N1X, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Flashy Green 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Radiant Talent 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Prince Silver 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #4 Red Maserati 10-1 7th

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Old Boots 5-1
Next Best: #9 High Stakes 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Monashee Vision 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Eldridge 5-1
Hi-5 Play: #11 Pandering 5-1 2nd

<$50 P5 Play:

5: 7-9
6: 6-10
7: 1-2-5-6
8: 1-2-5
9: 2-9

2x2x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-9-10
7: 1-2-5-6
8: 1-2-5
9: 2-6-9

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/5/5/9,13,14,15,16) Paid $405.85 

 

Show goes on at Belmont minus attempt at Crown

Saturday, June 9th, 2012

While the injury and retirement of I’ll Have Another cast a stunned pall over Belmont and the racing community Friday, the show goes on Saturday. Many racetrack idioms are attributed to Charlie Whittingham and he certainly was heard saying the harsh but ultimately accurate axiom ‘one monkey don’t the stop the circus’. Another Triple Crown winner will come, but it won’t come this year. One thing this three week lead up to the the ‘Test of the Champion’ managed to do was distinctly identify a plethora of media frauds that don’t understand the game and are not interested in making any attempt to learn. They’ll be plenty of time for a rehashing of the non-racing segment of the Triple Crown season story, but right now let’s attack a fun 13 race/6 stake card Saturday at Belmont Park.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Fun group to start it off. Wilkes’ Forever Vow drops as does Pugh’s Wet One. McPeek’s Uptown Girl goes 2nd off the break and 1st Lasix in U.S., while favored I Dreamt I Was a must 2nd off her own extended absence..

Best Value: #6 Forever Vow 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Wet One 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 I Dreamt I Was 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #10 Uptown Girl 15-1 9th

2nd: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Straightforward group. Would be happy to see Rich Migliore’s group win with Love to Run..

Most Likely: #2 Wild Target 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Love to Run 5-1 WON ($8.90)
Next Best: #3 Tiz Yankee 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Escape Artist 3-1 4th

3rd: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Strange assembly with 7 at the $14k tag..

#8 Ruffino a SCR

Most Likely: #9 Mineswept 7-2 WON ($6.70)
Next Best: #7 Jeter 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Live for Today 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Overextended 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-4) Paid $41.25
$1 Trifecta (9-4-6) Paid $554.50

4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Some OK looking maidens here but key question is what to do with favored Longwood Lake (3-1) who returns under Eddie Coletti’s watch? Meanwhile, 2nd choice Current Design feels to me like one of the day’s more likely winners..

Most Likely: #2 Current Design 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Define 20-1 WON ($27.40)
Next Best: #7 Moonstock 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Ur 12-1 5th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Carbon County 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Quiet Power 20-1 11th
Next Best: #5 In My Eyes 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Adirondack Dancer 2-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-6
3: 3-4-5-6-7-9
4: 2-4
5: 1-5-6

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

6th: Easy Goer, 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$1,000,000 Guaranteed P6 starts here..

At first, there was uncertainty as to this event filling. It not only filled, it’s terrific. Teeth of the Dog is OK, but you hardly want him at 2-1. Plenty of other price options including Romancing the Gold who I thought was on his way to nice things and played in the Illinois Derby..

Best Value: #2 Romancing the Gold 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Brimstone Island 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Teeth of the Dog 2-1 WON ($6.10)
Super Add: #9 Inflation Target 4-1 5th

7th: 34th True North (G2), 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Sprint Division seems to be heating as we get into summer. A case can be made for everyone signed on here with all having races in their PP’s or form that could justify your confidence. While I’m not big on noting jockey decisions, Rosario siding with Pacific Ocean over Smiling Tiger raises an eyebrow..

Most Likely: #7 Caixa Electronica 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #1 Pacific Ocean 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Giant Ryan 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Justin Phillip 10-1 2nd

8th: 19th Just a Game (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tapitsfly 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #5 Hungry Island 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Winter Memories 6-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Dancinginherdreams 12-1 7th

9th: 28th Woody Stephens (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

The 3yo version of the True North and every bit as compelling. Trinniberg’s Calder bullets indicate that the Derby experience took nothing away from him. The Chick Lang runners (Il Vilano/Laurie’s Rocket) could provide great value over the Derby Trial refugees (Hierro/Bourbon Courage). Likewise, there’s value in the trio exiting the 5/12 Belmont ALW (Hardened Wildcat/Brian/Currency Swap). Isn’t He Clever gets back to one turning in the new barn (Asmussen) and has had plenty of time. Power World is going to slip through the cracks in the wagering and may float well above the 8-1 ML. Unbelievable betting affair..

Most Likely: #6 Trinniberg 7-2 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #10 Laurie’s Rocket 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Hardened Wildcat 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Power World 8-1 8th

.10 SUPER: Key 6 first/second with 1-2-7-8-10 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)

10th: 111th Manhattan H. (G1), 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Not the most august field in the history of this great race, but every G1 horse ever had to win their first G1 at some point. Tough to argue with Shug’s year in turf tests so far this year and Boisterous loves this lawn, but there isn’t a lot separating this group. As highlighted by Nick Tammaro on ATR Friday, note the dearth of speed in here. Both Omayad, who Drysdale would not bring without purpose, and Papaw Bodie, who reunites with Napravnik and owns a win over the strip, could take control and go a long way..

Most Likely: #2 Boisterous 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Omayad 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Papaw Bodie 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Desert Blanc 6-1 WON ($14.80)

11th: 144th Belmont Stakes (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

With I’ll Have Another absent, the pressure cooker scenario of this race evaporates and seemingly the prospects for a chaotic result. You would think that everyone involved will now focus on the task at hand as opposed to concentrating on the erstwhile favorite and what he was doing. That should trigger more aggressive riding and an honest pace that gives every running style their chance to succeed. Dullahan’s sharp work adds a positive and versatile dimension to his arsenal and he could not have looked better tuning up for this spot. He inherits the favorites role and is the horse to beat. Union Rags gets his opportunity to quash naysayers opinion of him and feels like the horse that will run the style of race envisioned for I’ll Have Another. Though his pedigree says yes, Paynter does not look like a stayer physically and will be tested by the likes of Unstoppable U and My Adonis. Street Life is a fashionable tab coming in but still feels like a ‘picks up pieces’ type. Atigun and Optimizer look like they have puncher’s chances and are not impossible as exotic boosters. 50-1 Ravelo’s Boy is working sharp at Calder and by far the best of the bombers to use at the bottom of your super..

Most Likely:#5 Dullahan 9-5 7th
Next Best: #3 Union Rags 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Street Life 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Ravelo’s Boy 50-1 9th

<$150 P6 Play:

6: 2-5-6
7: 1-7
8: 1-5
9: 6
10: 1-2-3-4-5-6
11: 5

3x2x2x1x6x1 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (6/7/1/6/4/3) Paid $212.00 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-5
9: 2-6-7-10
10: 1-2-3-4-5-6
11: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/6/4/3) Paid $320.75

12th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Deerslayer isn’t that special and should have plenty of front end company. Looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #9 Count Catamount 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Pegasus Tommy D. 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Deerslayer 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #12 Pin 12-1 7th

13th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Yeesh. Any number of these can win here with many having exchanged plenty of blows..

Best Value: #13 Barnards Galaxy 30-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Frisky Cat 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Gossip Column 7-2 WON ($9.90)
Super Add: #9 Sneaky Kitten 3-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

10: 1-2-3-4-5-6
11: 3-5-9
12: 3-9
13: 2-9-12-13

6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Belmont Crown Weekend starts with Friday Stakes, C/O

Friday, June 8th, 2012

Belmont Week has flown by at a scary pace and it seems the quest for immortality in Saturday’s feature has everyone associated with the sport in a state of great anticipation. In addition to the main event, Friday has managed to enhance the appeal with a P6 carryover on an outstanding sequence that ends with I’ll Have Another pilot Mario Gutierrez getting a 12f audition for the Belmont in the G2 Brooklyn. Sorry to have not been playing the last couple of days, but I hope you’ve been enjoying the coverage from Elmont. teve Crist, Rich Migliore, Nick Tammaro, Ed DeRosa, John Perrotta and more this morning on ATR..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$84k P6 C/O starts here..

Quirky race to start terrific sequence with favorites lukewarm between 7-2 & 4-1. Lightly-raced options are generally appealing in these situations and Angel Penna’s Fear Nothing returns to grass after being rained off for last. A horse like Countnickerbocker from clever Domino is worth a flyer here going to the green out of a modest Irish stake winning mare while dropping down out of state bred MSW company..

Most Likely: #5 Fear Nothing 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Countknickerbocker 30-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Teahuppo 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Hardrocker 4-1 3rd

6th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Brown sharp off layoffs but is Honeymoon Girl that much better here than Julie’s Love and the better priced options?

Best Value: #6 Zapparition 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Honeymoon Girl 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Julie’s Love 5-2 WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #4 Naples Bay 12-1 2nd

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky group with fast, returning 5yo Akira (Aldebaran) and a host of prospective winners. Stray Bullet — curiously also an Aldebaran — has improved tremendously since Jacobson aquisition. City Scamper is headed in the right direction as well and Strikeslinethruit gets a rider upgrade from Curatolo. Mostess Hostess returns as a 4yo and you’re not obligated to use her, but I am. Her dam (Twinkie Zone) was one of my favorite horses to be around in the Del Carroll barn..

Most Likely: #5 Akira 4-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Stray Bullet 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Strikealinethruit 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 City Scamper 4-1 10th

8th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Unremarkable group of state breds. Wouldn’t take much progress for Verde Mont to eclipse these moving to lawn. Lakeman has improved All Zipped Up with turf tries. Bond’s Solengo klogical 2nd of break with Ramon. Snicker Kid is around the money every time and needs to be in exotics should turf suit at all..

Most Likely: #6 Verde Mont 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 All Zipped Up 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Solengo 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 The Snickers Kid 7-2 WON ($8.00)

9th: 29th Jaipur (G3), 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Fell short with old friend Bergerac in Kentucky, but he looks nicely drawn for this spot for Pompa/Brown. Yield Bogey back for 8yo debut and working well..

Most Likely: #7 Bergerac 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Yield Bogey 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Right One 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Upgrade 6-1 WON ($12.00)

10th: 124th Brooklyn H. (G2), 3+, 12f (Brooklyn-Belmont Double)

Entertaining edition of this standard features winners from last 2 years in Birdrun and Eldaafer, both seemingly far off form. #1a Balladry will be SCR’d..

Best Value: #7 Golden Gulch 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Eye On Jacob 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Redeemed 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #1 Arthur’s Tale 8-1 3rd

<$25 Brooklyn-Belmont Double Play:

1-4-5-7-10 with 1-3-4-5-9 = $25 ($50 for $2)

<$300 P6 Play:

5: 2-5-6
6: 5-6
7: 3-5
8: 6-7-10
9: 7
10: 1-4-7-10

3x2x2x3x1x4 = 144 x $2 = $288

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-10
8: 6-7-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-4-7-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72