Ticket-building efforts were sloppy Wednesday but still was able to eke out some profit with P4 and consos boosting returns. Interesting to note what Mike Welsch pointed out Tuesday regarding power of favorites and likely types as the ‘prime’ portion of the Gulfstream meet starts to draw toward a close. Hope everyone did well..

Highlight Wednesday was obviously the dominant performance of Ron Sanchez’ Social Inclusion over Honor Code. Andy Beyer quickly calculated a 111 figure for the track record performance, the biggest number ever for a non-stake route at GP. As noted Wednesday, it was indeed Rontos Racing that was eager to make the ALW go as signaled by their entering of Specialnightaction and their Pioneerof the Nile colt will most be getting a Derby point audition next out. With the FL Derby just 17 days away however, Manny Azpurua and Sanchez may have to opt for a trip out of town April 5th (Wood Memorial) or 12th (Arkansas Derby).

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Very Cherry Candy 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #4 Darnley Bay 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Amulay 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Prize Taker 5-1 3rd

7th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Notable here is effect of Martin Panza on the condition book as many more “straight” claiming races are being written. Examine PP’s carefully for possible clues to horses that are exiting easier or tougher spots. In this case, Mystic Strike (first time Jacobson) and Aussi Austin (freshened) have been keeping better company..

Best Value: #1 Mystic Strike 5-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #5 Aussi Austin 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Photon 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Writingonthewall 2-1 6th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kilnockagain 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Spinit to Winit 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 Imagine Tomorrow VET SCR
Exotics Use: #6 White Crane 3-1 3rd

9th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f

Conzig well overdue but Domino finally adds blinkers. Linda Rice 2nd timer (37%; $2.66) Cajun Wedding drops in and retains J. Ortiz..

Best Value: #8 Cajun Wedding 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Conzig 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Miss Red Cloud 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Di Lissa 4-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 3,8 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 7 with 3,8 – $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 7 with 3,8 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 3 with 3,8 – $4.00 $1 Pick 4 (2,7/5/3/3) Paid $83.50
5 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 1,5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 7 with 3,8 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 3 with 3,8 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 7 with 1,5 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 3 with 3,8 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 7 with 1,5 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,5 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 1,6 with 3,8 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 4,7 – $2.00

Total: $50.00

Took heartbreaker photo beat in AQU 8th Monday costing P6 hit that was worth $3,000+. Looking back, ticket structure allowed either Rontos Code or Ruthless Alley to win, but not both. Pair of sextet consos and chalky P4 defrayed multi expenses and other bingos made day pleasant enough. Hope everyone did well. Honor Code returns in GP 8th this afternoon which should be interesting. Publisher’s Clearinghouse Carryover now $47,000,000.. Just kidding. It’s close to $3MM, but no one is playing for that anyway..

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7.5f-T/0′ (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Highly likely Marine the first of 5 on the afternoon for Rontos Racing, Manny & Leo Azpurua who will have a special day if able upend Honor Code in the feature with emergent Social Inclusion. El Gran Joyful has a full sister who has 2 of her 3 wins on turf. If fit and ready, has chance to wire in first race as a 4yo..

Most Likely: #4 Marine 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 El Gran Joyful 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Forever Conga 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Ginger Goose 5-2 WON ($4.60)

6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

A lot of speed lined up shoulder-to-shoulder with Evolution, Neno and venerable Guam Typhoon. Hard to believe there isn’t room for stalker-closer success. Confrontation, the least known undefeated horse in America, is back as a 4yo for Tagg and may pick up where he left off. Helooksthepart from capable Jimmy DiVito may sit ideal trip. Rontos-Azpurua runner #2 Border Song (10-1) a mystery horse on main track cutting back while moving off lawn. Posted :46.1 bullet of 86 on March 1 for this. Lezcano a good fit for rally..

Most Likely: #2 Confrontation 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Border Song 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Guam Typhoon 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Helooksthepart 8-1 5th

7th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 7.5f-T/0′ (P4, P3, DD)

Has to work out a trip from the #9 hole, but Mutasadder drops to level of last win.. always an angle worth noting. Plenty of parties interested in the lead here..

Most Likely: #1 Barzini 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #9 Mutasadder 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Cairo Six 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Big Shindig 10-1 4th

8th: Cond/ALW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Was able to snare Social Inclusion in Fountain undercard debut, but note that inside was place to be that Saturday. As noted by Mike Welsch on ATR Tuesday, rail may have been deep and tiring over the weekend, so today’s inside trip for the Pioneerof the Nile colt may be quite different and he has to negotiate two turns for the first time as well. Crafted for route and adds Lasix today too. Rontos has already rebuffed purchase offers for Social Inclusion and likely added Specialnightaction to the entries to make sure this race went; Whether they expected Honor Code in the field is a different question. Honor Code has had some issues getting ready for 3yo unveiling, but seems to be into a steady beat now. Has class edge coming in but doesn’t have to win by any means. The value here is Kaplan’s We’re All Set who has kept good company..

Most Likely: #1 Social Inclusion 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #4 Honor Code 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 We’re All Set 5-1 3rd

9th: MCLM/$75k, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0′ (DD)

Ugly bunch. Late Night Artist a half to Mr. Palmer. You may need to rely on Chad Brown and Street Boss’ 25% ‘first turf’ stats with Bartiromo. Dangerous race..

Most Likely: #5 Bartiromo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #4 Starship Sassy 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Jannes Paul 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Late Night Artist 8-1 2nd

10th: MCLM/$25k, 3yo-F, 5f-T/72′ (Super Hi-5)

Rogue Lady SCR’D seems very shaky, but along with Chief Dante, has kept best company. Shot Girl SCR’D gets Paco and looms the clever price..

POST SCR NOTE: Bill Kaplan 1/60 at meet but Take Charge Annie a half to Mr. Livingstone and may not have to be much to best these at first asking..

Most Likely: #9 Chief Dante 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Take Charge Annie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Concorde’s Fizz 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Guns at Dawn 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Addar 6-1 5th

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-3-8-9
8: 1-4
9: 5
10: 4-5-9

2x3x4x2x1x3 = 144 x .20 = $28.80

<$45 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 – $1.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 9 – $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 9 – $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 – $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 9 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 9 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 4 with 5 with 9 – $1.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 4,7 with 9 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 4,5 – $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 4,5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6,7 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 – $3.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/1/5/10) Paid $10.55 (4OF5)
18 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 1,6,8 with 9 – $3.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 1,2,10 – $3.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/1/5/10) Paid $10.55 (4OF5)

Total: $43.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 1,7 with 4,9 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 1,5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 4 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 1,7 with 4,9 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 4,5 with 1,5 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 1,7 with 4,9 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 4,5 with 1,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 1,7 with 1,5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2 with 4,5 with 4,9 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 2,6 with 4,9 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 2,10 – $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/1/5/10) Paid $148.35

Total: $58.00

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$28,700 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Brad’s Ruby 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Jcs American Dream 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Gingee 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Myfriendthebird 6-1 5th

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Really well-matched field..

Most Likely: #7 Go Olivia Go 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #4 First Penny 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 C C’s Pride 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Guyana Star 7-2 4th

$1 Exacta (7-4) Paid $27.50
$1 Trifecta (7-4-3) Paid $98.75
$1 Superfecta (7-4-3-2) Paid $293.50

6th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Don’t know how trustworthy Rontos Code is on front end and note blinkers come OFF. Got the Moves is making first start out of the Jacobson barn. Could it be Keyaly’s day to break his maiden and go over $100,000 in earnings? We’ve seen several career maidens graduate this winter and he’s the king of the career maidens..

Most Likely: #5 Moonlite Encounter 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Got the Moves 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Keyaly 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Rontos Code 6-5 WON ($5.10)

7th: NY-CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Artie Luvs to Party 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #7 Indy Tune 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pure Attitude 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Precious Metal 5-2 8th

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Finn’s Quest 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Ghareeb 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ruthless Alley 3-1 WON ($5.20)

9th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Schoolyard Dreams 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #8 El Oh El 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Festive Spirit 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 William Thomas 7-2 2nd

<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 -$4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 – $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 – $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 – $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 – $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 3,7 with 1,2 with 1 – $16.00

A’s with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 2,3,8 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $12.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 6,7 with 5 with 5 with 1 – $8.00 $2 Pick 6 1-7-2/7-5-4-1/2 (5 correct) Paid $36.80
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 4 with 5 with 1 – $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 3,4 with 1 – $8.00 $2 Pick 6 1-7-2/7-5-4-1/2 (5 correct) Paid $36.80
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 6,8 – $8.00

Total: $124.00

<$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6,7 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3,5 with 3,4,7 with 1,5 with 1 – $12.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 2,4 with 1 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 3,4,7 with 1,5 with 1 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 5 with 2,4 with 1 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (2/7-5-4-1/2) Paid $25.10
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 3,4,7 with 2,4 with 1 – $6.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 – $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 3,6 with 1 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 1,5 with 3,5,6,7,8,9 – $12.00

Total: $55.00

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD)

Faves look best. Will use others as ‘B’s’ in P4..

Most Likely: #7 The B’s and E’s 5-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Mean Sax 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Sky Masterson 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 He’s Hollywood 8-1 4th

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7.5f-T/36′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Master Wesley won’t be 12-1, but could still provide some value. Irksome 5yo bested our Toy Cannon here by a length and change last March..

Best Value: #2 Master Wesley Late SCR
Next Best: #4 United States Won 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Rapscallion 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Alakazan Alakazan 15-1 3rd

7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Heady pedigrees on display here with Ron the Greek half Zahadoom debuting for Mott & Jack Hammer, Neck n’ Neck half Demander making 2nd start for Miles/Wilkes and Uncle Mo sib Souperfast back again for Mrs. Weber and Mott. Also of note is $1.6MM C. Brown/LaPenta Bernardini colt Sassicia (3-1) who has been a flashy workmate for Tampa Bay Derby player Cousin Stephen (9-2). Big effort would compliment barn pal..

Most Likely: #8 Sassicaia 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Souperfast 5-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Holy Wildcat 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 C J’s Awesome 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Appealing Alex 10-1 7th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD)

Open set of turf maidens and fact that Serpe has drilled Sole Train 5x since January debut catches eye. Tiznow son out of Serpe’s nice I Lost My Choo exits even try versus next out Palm Beach vanquisher Gala Award and will be utterly ignored at the windows..

Best Value: #1 Sole Train 20-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Picozza 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #4 V. E. Day 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Giant’s Passion 8-1 10th

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 8 with 1,9 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 8 with 1,9 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,4 with 8 with 4 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,10 with 1,9 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 8 with 4 – $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 3,10 with 4 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,9 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 4,5 with 1,9 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,4 with 8 with 11,12 – $4.00

Total: $57.00

9th: Gulfstream Park H. (G2), 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Palace Malice 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Golden Ticket 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Falling Sky 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Itsmyluckyday 7-2 4th

10th: FL-ALW, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 R Free Roll 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Unlimited Budget 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Toasting 3-1 WON ($12.60)

11th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 8.5f-T/108′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Golden Rifle 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #6 Magnificent Moon 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Windworthy 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Rontos’ Dream 3-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Dragon Tail 12-1 5th

<$40 P6 Play:

6: 1-2/SCR–4-8-9
7: 3-8-10
8: 1-4-9
9: 8
10: 1-3
11: 3-6

5x3x3x1x2x2 = 180 x .20 = $36.00

<$65 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,10 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 10,11 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 2,4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (2/9,13,14,15,16/1,8/5/3,8,10) Paid $12.20 (4OF5)
12 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 5,7 – $4.00

Total: $62.00

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (9,13,14,15,16/1,8/5/3,8,10) Paid $57.95
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 2,7 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 5 with 3,6 – $3.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11,12 with 8 with 1,3 with 2,7 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 5 with 2,7 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,10 with 8 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2,4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 8 with 1,3 with 5 – $2.00

Total: $49.00

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

11th: 34th Tampa Bay Derby (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Curious assembly of somewhat talented colts and geldings and a race that is crying out for an alternative view. ML faves Surfing U S A (3-1), Conquest Titan (7-2) and Vinceremos (4-1) are all ‘OK’, but how much more imposing are they versus the next set of players on the line, Cousin Stephen (9-2), Matador (8-1) or Hy Kodiak Warrior/East Hall (10-1)? As always, pace will be decisive factor here and it sure feels like it’s liable to be pretty hot. Comebackers Tuscan Getaway and Coltimus Prime will be fresh and part of the pressure with both Pletchers and you can expect Cousin Stephen and Ring Weekend to be stalking the front foursome. Matador, Conquest Titan, Kodiak and East Hall comprise the back end and will all be looking for a way through in the late stages. Fun betting race and I want value..

Best Value: #3 Matador 8-1: Improved 1st dirt in Davis; Should drift up from 8-1.. 5th
Next Best: #8 Cousin Stephen 9-2: Worth another shot at better price.. 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Conquest Titan 7-2: Flattered by Intense Holiday’s Risen Star.. 4th
Super Add: #9 Hy Kodiak Warrior 10-1: Hot-working CRC trainee; G. Saez a liability.. 7th

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: 77th San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Classy set even without Bayern and many rooting for California Chrome to continue storybook run. Midnight Hawk and Kristo arrive here as a matched set and Schoolofhardknocks is impressing everyone coming in to his 3yo debut. Savvy, accomplished David Hofmans would not be here if he didn’t think the Rock Hard Ten colt could hold his own..

Most Likely: #4 California Chrome 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #8 Schoolofhardknocks 9-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Midnight Hawk 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Kristo 5-2 3rd

6th: 11th China Doll, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3)

Excellent cast for $75k with stylish dolls Nashoba’s Gold, Diversy Harbor, On the Backstreets, Anniversary Kitty, etc..

Best Value: #7 NASHOBA’S GOLD 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 On the Backstreets 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Anniversary Kitty 12-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Screen Goddess 8-1 10th

7th: 76th San Carlos (G2), 4+, 7f (P3)

Didn’t like Sahara Sky return at all and he will have to show that he’s near his best before I’ll get back aboard. Stablemate Wild Dude carries mantle until then..

Most Likely: #6 Wild Dude 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Midnight Transfer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Shakin It Up 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Sahara Sky 4-1 WON ($8.80)

8th: 14th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #9 Silentio 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Za Approval 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Suggestive Boy 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Winning Prize 7-2 WON ($9.60)

9th: 77th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+,

Hallmark event has been touted for a few weeks now and it sure feels like it should live up to advance billing. Game On Dude will make lead here and there is potential for Mucho Macho Man to hook him at some point to open the door for Will Take Charge’s stalking voyage. Top pair are interchangeable with the Dude a ‘C’ option..

Most Likely: #2 Mucho Macho Man 9-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Will Take Charge 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Game On Dude 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Hear the Ghost 20-1 5th

10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Storm Fighter 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Oliver’s Tale 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Chief Lion 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Got Even 7-2 6th

11th: OC/C, 4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Utterly murderous finish to the card and the day.. GFL..

Best Value: #10 Footbridge 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Abbey Vale 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Jules Journey 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Presenceofagenius 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Kochees 8-1 11th

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 10 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 5,11 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 10 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 5,11 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 2,4 with 5,11 – $8.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7,8 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 10 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 7 with 3,9 with 10 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 10 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 1,2 with 3,9 with 4,12 – $8.00

Total: $60.00

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Cheap and highly suspect group of maidens. To take a page from The X Files, ‘Trust no one’..

Most Likely: #7 Wild Z Z Z Z 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Devils Peak 5-1 WON ($29.60)
Best Value: #6 Pulpit Spirit 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Larcenyinmyheart 8-1 4th

6th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 7.5f-T/36′ (P5, P3, DD)

Thunder Run should have broken maiden by now, but is circling back toward best effort (KEE, 10/20/13) which wins this..

Most Likely: #1 Thunder Run 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #5 School Yard 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Scat Leader 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Our Mystical Man 12-1 9th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 5f-T/108′ (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Emma Rose (2-1) certainly the horse to beat, but Henny Jenny — half to Dorf’s excellent MSW Zeewat that goes Sat. in the San Carlos — is 20-1 and will have pace to chase. Remember that rain yesterday should have leveled the GP playing field. Big shot if turf to her liking and there’s no reason it shouldn’t be..

Best Value: #5 Henny Jenny 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sweet Emma Rose 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Little Michelle 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Maco Light 12-1 4th

8th: MCLM/$25k, 3yo, 1m-T/36′ (P3, DD)

Mott sending Edge of Midnight to Tampa for debut tells you a lot and now he drops, turfs and adds Lasix. Plenty of turf success for offspring of the dam. Looking for a win and to get claimed. Skylar Blue’s January 15 race would impact this. On a pedigree note, Casselberry drops, turfs and stretches out for Catalano. He is out of Whirl On (Elusive Quality), the last foal of Dancing Mahmoud who dropped the terrific $2MM winner Guided Tour (Hansel). Long before Wise Dan, Guided Tour was Morton Fink’s first ‘big’ horse. Trey Abbott has top/bottom turf bred Shorefellow (Lewis Michael/Dynaformer dam) adding Lasix and blinkers. Duke of Ritchie drops and may be edging forward..

Most Likely: #1 Edge of Midnight 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Skylar Blue 15-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Shorefellow 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Duke of Ritchie 15-1 WON ($39.80)

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD)

May not be enough pace for Lucky Rag Doll, but price will be right. The faves here aren’t as good as they think they are..

Best Value: #7 Lucky Rag Doll 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Calistoga 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Salamera 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Jamaican Smoke 5-2 2nd

10th: CLM/$35k, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/36′ (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Principessa Gina 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Ten Easy Street 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Slazarra 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Solitary 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #2 Magic Lily 15-1 6th

<$25 Rainbow 6 Play:

5: 3-6-7
6: 1-5-6
7: 5-8
8: 1
9: 2-5-7
10: 1-4

3x3x2x1x3x2 = 108 x .20 = $21.60

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 7 with 1,4 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 5,8 with 1 with 7 with 1,4 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1,4 – $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 2,10 with 7 with 1,4 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 2,5 with 1,4 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 7 with 3,7 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1,4 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 5,8 with 2,10 with 7 with 1,4 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 5,8 with 1 with 2,5 with 1,4 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6 with 5,8 with 1 with 7 with 3,7 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 2,10 with 7 with 1,4 – $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 2,5 with 1,4 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 3,7 – $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 2,10 with 2,5 with 1,4 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 2,10 with 7 with 3,7 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 2,5 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 9 with 1 with 7 with 1,4 – $1.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 6,7,9 with 7 with 1,4 – $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 3,4,8 with 1,4 – $6.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,8 with 1 with 7 with 2,6 – $2.00

Total: $75.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 2,10 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 2 with 1,4 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 3 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,10 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1 with 2 with 1,4 – $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1 with 5,7 with 3 – $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 2,10 with 2 with 1,4 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 2,10 with 5,7 with 3 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 2 with 3 – $1.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 6,7,8,9 with 5,7 with 1,4 – $16.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 3,4,8 with 1,4 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 2,5,6,7 – $8.00

Total: $65.00